The Box Office Report – November 30-December 2
Last week, in Box Office…
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 2 won the weekend, to no one’s surprise. It made $43.6 million over the weekend and $64.4 million Wednesday-Sunday. They’ve made $230 million after two weekends. Yawn.
Skyfall (fuck yeah, Skyfall!) finished second, making $35.5 million over the weekend and $50.5 million Wednesday-Sunday. They’ve made $220 million after three weekends. (Yes! I love when a Bond film makes a domestic profit.)
Lincoln finished third (I’m so proud of this film. This movie is so talky that I assumed America wouldn’t give a shit. I’m so happy they’re going to see it), making $25.7 million over the weekend and $34.8 million Wednesday-Sunday. They’ve almost made their $65 million budget back domestically and will probably end up in profit on this. Good for them.
Rise of the Guardians opened to fourth, which has to be considered a disappointment, and $23.8 million for the weekend and $32.3 million Wednesday-Sunday. Decent, but I bet they were expecting more.
Life of Pi opened to fifth and $22.5 million for the weekend and $30.6 million Wednesday-Sunday. That’s pretty solid. They spent $120 million on this, though. I’m really curious to know if they ever expected to get that back.
Wreck-It Ralph fell to sixth (don’t worry, it only dropped 11% in its fourth weekend) and $16.6 million for the weekend and $22.8 million Wednesday-Sunday. It’s about $15 million shy of its $165 million budget at the moment. That means it’ll end up being profitable.
Red Dawn opened to a pretty strong seventh place and $14.3 million for the weekend and $21.7 million Wednesday-Sunday.
Then Flight finished eighth. $8.5 million for the weekend and $11.2 million Wednesday-Sunday. It’s made $70 million off a $30 million budget, and I couldn’t be happier for them.
Nothing else made $5 million for the weekend, though Silver Linings Playbook finished ninth and made $5.7 million Wednesday-Sunday and Argo finished tenth and made $5.1 million Wednesday-Sunday.
So that’s a top ten. Argo’s gonna hit $100 million, too, which is pretty cool.
Anyway, new releases…
Killing Them Softly is opening. I saw this. It’s really good. That said, I can’t see this making more than like, $10-11 million on a good weekend. But even so, let’s hope for a good weekend.
The Collection is also opening. I honestly had no fucking idea what this was until just now. I had to look it up. It’s the sequel to the 2009 film The Collector, which I knew about and was actually considering seeing at one point. I didn’t even know this was being made. I doubt it’ll make $5 million.
Other than that, though, this is pretty much another weekend for Twilight and Skyfall to clean up. Which brings us to the holdovers…
Breaking Dawn will possibly not win the weekend. It should drop more than 50%. The previous entry dropped 60% in its third weekend. A 60% drop for this is $17.2 million. So let’s call it $17-18 million. What I’m curious about is what happens next weekend with this. But still, $17 million might not be enough to win the weekend, since…
Skyfall is gonna probably only drop about 50%, which puts it at closer to $18 million. It’s gonna be a tight race between these two, and it would be real interesting to me to see Skyfall win one weekend, finish second for the next two, then win the next two. Though it’ll probably only win one. Either way, though, that’s pretty awesome, that this might win its first and fourth weekends.
Lincoln looks like it’ll hold well. A 50% drop puts this around $13 million, which would be really solid for this film. I’m proud of them. I hope they hold well.
Rise of the Guardians, I imagine, on a solid weekend, drops 50%, which puts it around $12-13 million, and that’s being generous. I’ll still imagine it’ll end up in that range regardless.
Life of Pi might hold well. A 50% drop is $11 million, and a 45% drop is $12 million. So let’s assume it’ll be in that area.
Wreck-It Ralph has a chance to hold real well. But I imagine it’ll do 50% and make around $8-9 million.
Red Dawn — $7 million on a good weekend. I expect around $5.5-6.5 million.
And Flight — maybe $5 million?
As for Silver Linings — it doesn’t seem like it’ll crack $5 million, but you never know.
And that’ll do it for this weekend. I love that most of the films are quality. This is my favorite time of the year.