Analyzing the 85th Academy Award Nominations

Oscar nominations morning has come and gone, and no more are we left with what can and what might be, only what is and what will.

What we’re left with is what are, and what will be, our Oscar nominations for the year in film that is 2012. Of course there are surprises and omissions, as there usually are, but looking at this list, I’m struck by one thing – this was pretty fun. I haven’t even looked at anything past the nominations list until now (how I did, how much stuff came out of left field), since that’s what this article is for, but I can say – all of this was quite fun. There’s definitely something to be said for them pushing up the nominations. On the other hand, I can’t help but wonder what these would have looked like with another week.

But, whatever. These are our Oscar nominees, and now, the best we can do was see how we did in guessing what they’d be, and what the categories are gonna look like going forward.

Here’s my analysis of the 85th Academy Award nominations:

We’ll start with Best Picture. Nine nominees this year, and honestly – I did really well. I guessed eight of them, and I avoided almost all the traps.

Best Picture

Amour

Argo

Beasts of the Southern Wild

Django Unchained

Les Misérables

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Silver Linings Playbook

Zero Dark Thirty

The only thing I missed was, I put Moonrise Kingdom on instead of Amour, though I knew a strong amount of love for that film could propel it on the list. But even if I did fully believe it was going to happen, I’d have had it as my #10, so I still would have missed it. I got my first eight dead-on. And I’m very proud of that.

As for what got left off – I’m kind of surprised The Master didn’t make a showing here. It got three acting nominations, and I kind of figured that was a likely scenario, which is why I thought it would sneak on here. But, it didn’t get a writing nomination (though they do tend to not nominate Paul Thomas Anderson for his writing), and I have a feeling the amount people who did love this film wasn’t strong enough to give it the #1 votes it needed to make it on, since there weren’t enough people who had it on their lists otherwise.

Then – Skyfall. I saw this one coming. The moment that Javier Bardem didn’t get the Supporting Actor nomination. They announced that category first during the presentation, and I just knew that it wasn’t gonna happen. I had a hunch here all along – the Producer’s Guild always nominates successful films like that, and they almost never make it on the final list. I kept it as my first alternate in the hopes that it might make it, when I should have had Amour, the film I knew to have a more hardcore fan base, there instead. Not that it ultimately matters, since again, it would have been my #10. So it all ultimately falls by the wayside and I still would have gotten 8/9, which is still better than how I did last year.

Now, in terms of analyzing the actual category – to spoil some things, in case you really don’t know by now – the films with the most total nominations were Lincoln, Life of Pi and Silver Linings Playbook. And they, along with Beasts of the Southern Wild and Amour got the Best Director nominations. You have to figure your two major frontrunners here are Lincoln and Silver Linings Playbook. And Beasts of the Southern Wild has the role of a major spoiler. Only three films have actually won Best Picture without being nominated for Best Director: Wings, Grand Hotel and Driving Miss Daisy. So it seems pretty clear that it’s gonna be between Lincoln and Silver Linings. I suspect Lincoln already has this one in the bag, and it’s gonna be a pretty ho-hum Oscar night. I can’t imagine the old folks of the Academy (read: most of them) are gonna go for anything else. Then again, Silver Linings – it could start sweeping and win out, and then people are gonna be like, “What the fuck?” and start calling it a horrible choice. Those really seem to be your main options here – either it’s gonna be the boring choice or the choice that everyone’s gonna question. Otherwise we’re getting some sort of crazy shocker (which I think they want). It’s too early to tell, but – everyone’s gonna keep a REAL close eye to what the Producer’s Guild and DGA do in a few weeks.

Still though, I went 8/9, which is pretty awesome, and had the ninth nominee as my dark horse. So I was right there. And I don’t dislike any of the nominees. Which is incredible. This is the first time since they upped the nominees list that’s been the case. (I’m talking everything, not most things. I hated The Kids Are All Right in 2010, even though otherwise I liked everything else that year.) So, for the most part, I’m cool with what they want to give it to (since I know Amour won’t win when it’s gonna win Foreign and I just don’t feel like they’re gonna go with Life of Pi. It never felt that way. So other than that (and maybe Zero Dark Thirty), I’m good. Let whatever win.)

Best Director

Michel Haneke, Amour

Ang Lee, Life of Pi

David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

Seven Spielberg, Lincoln

Ben Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild

This shocked everyone. No one expected Zeitlin to get on here. I, for one, thought a month ago that I was gonna be upset by this. Beasts of the Southern Wild getting all these nominations. But you know what? I wasn’t. It came and it happened, and I was proud more than anything. I was proud of the film and of him and all the alums of my school who made the film. I realized the only thing I was upset about were the people online who were talking about the film, which is something I’ve always had a problem with – people. I’m incredibly happy he got on and I think it livens up the category. This film no longer detracts from categories for me. It adds to them. That’s always what makes me hate nominees, when I see them and go, “They shouldn’t be here. They’re not gonna win, and they’re just taking up space.” (Or when I just don’t like them as a choice.) Like Helen Mirren. She would have been a horrible choice this year. And as such, the category is better without her. Or like 2009, with The Blind Side. I liked the movie, but I hated the nomination because it felt like it took away from something else. Nothing this year really feels that way, especially Beasts of the Southern Wild, which is why I love the nominee (even though some personal choices got left off, but you’re always gonna complain about that with the Oscars).

That said – I, along with a lot of people, only got 2/5 here. They went WAY off of the DGA list. No Affleck, no Bigelow, no Hooper. They didn’t go Tarantino, they didn’t go Anderson (either). I had David O. Russell as my alternate, knowing rabid support of the film (which we saw pretty early, once Jacki Weaver’s name was announced) could easily take him on instead of someone like Affleck or Hooper. And I knew that Haneke had a legitimate shot if the film was gonna get the Picture nomination, since the DGA and Oscar lists often differ when there’s a cult-ish type director involved or a foreign director. Almodovar and David Lynch both missed the DGA and made the Oscar list in the past decade (or so. Technically now it’s not the past decade). So this is more of a surprise than anything. The Zeitlin nomination, though, is a shocker, and completely alters what people think about the Best Picture race (which is why it’s so exciting). I don’t think too many people saw this coming. Some might have picked it knowing it would be a shocker, but I don’t think many people actually saw this as a legitimate possibility. Plus, who’d have thought Kathryn Bigelow and Ben Affleck would be left off?

You know what this tells me? It tells me that Hollywood really doesn’t want to vote for a woman. They only did it because it “was time.” It’s like when they give black people Oscars. It takes an enormous groundswell of support for it, and then they’re almost shamed into it, like peer pressure. They don’t give a shit normally, but now that all eyes are them, that’s when they do it. Now, granted, I wouldn’t have nominated her either this year (Bigelow, I’m talking about) – the film was way too long and the first 90 minutes were literally about following a lead that might have lead to Bin Laden – but you figured she’d have gotten on anyway. So it tells me that they didn’t really want to do it the first time. It’s like when Geoffrey Fletcher won for Precious and then no black people were nominated the year after that. It kind of tells you they have that viewpoint of, “That was our good deed, now let’s go back to what we usually do.” So in that sense, its disappointing. (Though, on the other hand, there are more female directors in Hollywood than Kathryn Bigelow. So let’s not pretend like just nominating her all the time makes it a step forward for all female directors. Once we get a few in there over a short period of time, that’s steps will have been taken.)

Aside from Bigelow – Tom Hooper was always the nominee with the biggest chance of falling off, and I figured that he was gonna be the casualty if Russell got on. Which is ironic, and I’m pretty sure I mentioned that yesterday – watch them nominate him and give him the win in a category I didn’t think he should be nominated in, and watch them not nominate him for a film he should probably win for. It’s hilarious. And then Affleck, I figured he might not have enough support within the branch to get the nomination. Haneke is someone who’s been doing this for years and years and has a lot of admirers. Affleck has made three well-received films, but doesn’t have that Clint Eastwood status yet. Though I thought he might get on with that Kevin Costner love, of having directed a sure-fire contender. But apparently it’s not so. (Though never count out a film with an Editing nomination.)

Anyway, we’ll see what the DGA has to say (Spielberg, unless something actually insane happens), and as it stands, I got 2/5 here. Not a good showing for me. (But to be fair, that’s gonna happen when they go wildly different from the DGA list.)

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables

Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Denzel Washington, Flight

I do believe this guy got all five correct here. Thank you, BAFTA.

Oh, no, I didn’t. I went with Hawkes. (FUCK!) Though I guess I was playing it safe this year. Oh well, I’m happily wrong. That’s really the benefit of playing it safe in the way that I did.

But anyway – Day-Lewis and Cooper were mortal locks (especially given how strong a showing Cooper’s film had), and Hugh Jackman was also pretty much a lock as well. Denzel seemed like he wasn’t going anywhere, and it was really between Phoenix and Hawkes for that fifth spot. And I was never fully sold on the Hawkes performance as much as I was with the Phoenix performance. I heard actors come out and say they loved the performance. That’s why it was strange to me to see him left off SAG. But the BAFTA love, and the fact that the Academy actor’s branch is smaller than SAG’s – it was an easy switch.

Either way – it was between six people, and no one is surprised. I got 4/5 and this was my perfect category. So it’s a fair trade-off.

And Daniel Day-Lewis isn’t losing. Even when Hugh Jackman wins the other Golden Globe and people think he has a shot – until someone else wins SAG, it ain’t happening. Day-Lewis has it in the bag.

Best Actress

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Naomi Watts, The Impossible

Shit. I was gonna change Mirren to Riva but didn’t get the chance to before I fell asleep. That one’s on me. I was never sold on Mirren and was gonna take a shot with Riva. Would have had 4/5. Oh well.

Chastain and Lawrence were locks, and Watts had a lot of support and is well-liked. So that was an easy #3. Cotillard’s exclusion is a bit shocking, but not once you see the love of Beasts of the Southern Wild. I, personally, love the two nominations. This is the most exciting and interesting version of this category we could have gotten. So I, for one, love that aspect of it. Throw in the kid and the living legend (who’s as old as the Oscars are!). It’s better than Helen Mirren and a performance that’s basically a supporting performance in a movie that almost nobody saw (and a movie that’s not all that great, either. It’s just okay) that would have only gotten on there because she’s Marion Cotillard. So I’m a huge fan of this category. It’s much more interesting to me now.

Jennifer Lawrence seems like a mortal lock to win this at the moment. We’ll see what changes, but – I can’t see her losing right now, given how Silver Linings has performed, nominations-wise.

Anyway, I went 3/5 here. Not bad.

Best Supporting Actor

Alan Arkin, Argo

Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

Oh I called this shit. I mean, I missed which Django nominee was gonna get it, but I called this shit. I took Bardem right the fuck off. Might have been a bit overeager on DiCaprio, but I did say I thought one of the Django nominees was gonna get it, given the lack of SAG ability to see the film before voting.

I love this category, by the way. Love it. Five terrific nominees, and while I could quibble about them – why bother? I went 4/5, and outside of missing one nominee for another from the same film, I basically nailed this one. Five actors we all love, five great films — what’s to quibble bout? It works.

Hard to pick a favorite now, too. They all seem like contenders, don’t they? You figure it’s gonna be either De Niro or Jones, right? Hoffman doesn’t seem like a contender, and you can never count out Christoph. I’m real curious to see where this one ends up.

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, The Master

Sally Field, Lincoln

Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables

Helen Hunt, The Sessions

Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook

No Ann Dowd. That’s a shame. I didn’t catch that one this morning. I was so caught up in Weaver getting nominated that I didn’t think it meant Dowd wasn’t. That sucks. I also got 3/5 here. I had Dowd and I had Maggie Smith instead of Amy Adams, for whatever reason. I like the category a lot better this way.

3/5, but the category turned out better with me being wrong. Let me also point out that this is the first time a film has been nominated in all four acting categories since – jesus – Reds? Yeah, I think it’s Reds. And then Coming Home, and Network. Maybe there’s another one around there too. But that’s a big deal. First in thirty years. (None of those films won Best Picture, in case you were wondering.)

Also – Anne Hathaway. End of discussion.

Best Original Screenplay

Amour

Django Unchained

Flight

Moonrise Kingdom

Zero Dark Thirty

Man got 4/5 here. And that’s because I kept The Master on there instead of Flight. I can’t claim to have made that a last second change, since my last second change was putting Amour on instead of Flight, so basically I had 4/5 no matter which way I did it. Again I thought the typical lack of PTA love trend was gonna be bucked. Can’t win ’em all.

Still – this category they got right. Not crazy about Zero Dark Thirty, given that most of my problems with the film were in its structure and approach, but it was gonna happen. And it’s solid enough to where I don’t dislike it. So, ultimately, I love the category, and with the exception of maybe a Looper surprise (which wasn’t happening), it couldn’t have turned out any better.

4/5 and I’m very happy with the category. Also, I have to figure this is Tarantino’s to lose, with maybe Amour as the spoiler. I don’t really see much else winning. (Though if Mark Boal fucks over Quentin two times in a row, that’s gonna be upsetting, especially since Django was a better script than Basterds and Zero Dark Thirty is no Hurt Locker.)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Argo

Beats of the Southern Wild

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Silver Linings Playbook

Got 4/5, and my alternate got on instead of the film I guessed, which was Les Misérables, which was only getting on if the film got a shitload of nominations. I knew I was likely to get it wrong and guessed it anyway. I’m satisfied with 4/5.

Either way – like this category a lot. I got 4/5 and that’s terrific. Completely satisfied so far outside of maybe Best Director, and most of that is because of how badly I did in guessing it.

This is still between Lincoln and Silver Linings. You have to figure Lincoln takes this. Argo is a spoiler, but it doesn’t have much footing after the showings of the other two. Still can’t rule it out, though. It was always going to be between those three.

Best Editing

Argo

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Silver Linings Playbook

Zero Dark Thirty

Did 4/5 here, and only missed Les Mis instead of Silver Linings, since Silver Linings jumped up and got the Director nod and made itself the major contender Les Mis wasn’t all along. (Once Les Mis didn’t get Director, there was no way it was getting on here. You could just tell it wasn’t gonna get all those nominations. Which — all right. Now I don’t have to defend the film and can just love it. I’d have hated if it swept everything and made everyone hate it more. I’m satisfied with this (even though I’m still holding out hope it can win, just so I can say a big fuck you to everyone. Not that a fuck you is warranted. It’s just because now I don’t have to be on the defensive. So going way on the offensive feels like the right course of action. If it happens, it would be more like a, “Fuck YEAH!” than anything else). Still shocked I got as many as I did. Very happy. Silver Linings was my dark horse, so I wasn’t that far off with it, either.

For the win – this could go anywhere. Zero Dark Thirty is still a major contender to take this, as is Argo. Even Life of Pi could sneak up and take it, but honestly, I can’t see that doing so well overall. If it weren’t for the Visual Effects nomination, I could see that getting shut out completely.

So this one’s wide open. Either way, 4/5, and no surprises.

Best Cinematography

Anna Karenina

Django Unchained

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Skyfall

3/5, and I’m so glad. Little upset Les Mis didn’t get it, but I love that Django and Anna Karenina did. I’ll take that. Love this category.

AND GODDAMNIT GIVE IT TO ROGER DEAKINS ALREADY.

Best Original Score

Anna Karenina

Argo

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Skyfall

Sigh… they fucked over Cloud Atlas. But instead – Skyfall. And that’s worth it. I’m so fucking happy they nominated that for score.

So, I got 4/5, and the fifth nominee is one I love dearly. I’ll take that every day plus Sunday. (Also, I should have known – it’s always my favorite score of the year that never gets nominated. Always. Except last year, but that was a handcuff situation because how are you gonna not nominate a silent film score? Outside of that, it’s actually every year now for most of the past decade.)

Who wins? Never count out John Williams. Thomas Newman has never won, and Desplat seems unlikely. I’d go with Williams as an overwhelming favorite, Danna as a second choice, with Marianelli as an interesting and likely spoiler, having won for Atonement. That one seems perfectly situated to jump up and take it.

Best Original Song

“Before My Time,” from Chasing Ice

“Pi’s Lullaby,” from Life of Pi

“Suddenly,” Les Misérables

“Everybody Needs a Best Friend,” from Ted

“Skyfall,” from Skyfall

Should have known – they always nominate the host if they can. That one’s on me. So I got 3/5, also missing “Before My Time” – which is just one of those music branch things, I don’t feel bad about that at all. Happy I got “Pi’s Lullaby.” Surprised Brave got shut out. But whatever. 3/5, I’m satisfied.

Also, if Paul Williams is still alive, but he doesn’t get nominate for an Oscar…

Fucking give Adele the award already.

Best Animated Feature

Brave

Frankenweenie

ParaNorman

The Pirates! Band of Misfits

Wreck-It Ralph

The Pirates? Who the fuck saw that coming?

Oh wait, it’s by the animation crew who did Wallace and Gromit. Remember – it’s more about who you are than what you did. Plus, who actually cared about Rise of the Guardians? And I guess they had no statements to make, so nobody bothered to vote for The Painting or The Rabbi’s Cat.

Pretty sure we all got 4/5 here.

Also, Wreck-It Ralph all the way.

Best Production Design

Anna Karenina

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Les Misérables

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Son of a bitch. I guessed Django and got burned. Of course The Hobbit got on. That was my alternate.

Still, 4/5 and I was right there. I’m good. And I’m rooting for Les Mis and Anna Karenina here. Either one, really. Not sure what’s the favorite. Lincoln seems to be the only other choice.

Best Costume Design

Anna Karenina

Les Miserables

Lincoln

Mirror Mirror

Snow White and the Huntsman

Went with one Snow White film, the other got on too. All I missed was Django. And I was expecting to get 3/5 here and I got 4/5, so I’m good.

Ha ha… Academy Award nominee Snow White and the Huntsman.

It’s gotta be Anna Karenina, right? 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Hitchcock

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Les Misérables

Hitchcock instead of Lincoln. They love them some transformations.

I went 2/3 and guessed right with Men in Black not making it. I’m cool with knowing I got that. Also, I said that two Best Picture nominees never make it on, so I knew what I was doing.

As for a win – no clue. Hitchcock might actually win this.

Best Visual Effects

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Life of Pi

Marvel’s The Avengers

Prometheus

Snow White and the Huntsman

How did I do here? 4/5, actually. Wow. Go me. Snow White and the Huntsman was actually my last guess in the category, so I don’t feel bad about that at all. (Multiple Academy Award Nominee Snow White and the Huntsman.) Weird they shut out Dark Knight Rises entirely. Like, entirely entirely. They must have really not liked that movie. (Or got pressured into nominating the previous entry. Which seems more likely to you?)

A Best Picture nominee has never lost in this category. Just sayin’.

Best Sound Editing

Argo

Django Unchained

Life of Pi

Skfyall

Zero Dark Thirty

I expected to do horribly here, and… I got 4/5. Fucking wow. Dark Knight Rises got shut out in favor of Argo. Interesting.

Still, I got 4/5 and man, am I happy. Gotta figure Skyfall or Zero Dark Thirty takes this.

Best Sound Mixing

Argo

Les Misérables

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Skyfall

Got 3/5. They left off Zero Dark Thirty in favor of Life of Pi, which, now that I’m outside the bubble of guessing shit – is just a better decision all around. And then Argo gets on both instead of The Hobbit. Why am I seeing legitimate support for Argo everywhere except Best Director? I don’t think you can count this movie out at all. It would make history, but at this point, based on the nominations, I’m not ruling it out entirely. (Also, them leaving off The Hobbit makes perfect sense. 5 nominations means very respected, but only the techs. 3 nominees means — your film was not very good, but it was so big and well-made we had to give you something.)

Anyway, 3/5, and I did pretty well, all things considered. Gotta figure Les Mis to be the favorite here. (The favorite that probably loses, knowing the Academy.)

Best Foreign Language Film

Amour

Kon-Tiki

A Royal Affair

No

War Witch

The Intouchables gets left off. You know… I watched it, and I wasn’t blown away by it. This doesn’t shock me. So then Kon-Tiki gets on like I figured, and War Witch is the number five. So, I got 3/5 here. Meh. Expected for the foreign category. I’ll take the 3 and move on.

By the way… one of these films is also nominated for Best Picture, so…

Best Documentary Feature

5 Broken Cameras

The Gatekeepers

How to Survive a Plague

The Invisible War

Searching for Sugar Man

How did I do here? Do I want to know?

Oh, not so bad. 3/5. Broken Cameras and Invisible War instead of The Imposter and This Is Not a Film. I’ll take 3/5.

No idea what wins. Let’s go with Sugar Man, because of all the love I see for it everywhere.

Not that I’m ever gonna see any of these.

Best Documentary Short-Subject

Inocente

Kings Point

Mondays at Racine

Open Heart

Redemption

4/5. They leave off The Education of Mohammad Husssein in favor of Kings Point. Okay. There were actually only six choices, so it was impossible not to get at least 4/5 in this one.

You’re crazy if you think anything but Open Heart wins this. (Maybe crazy like a fox, but still crazy.)

Best Live-Action Short

Asad

Buzkashi Boys

Curfew

Death of a Shadow

Henry

The category I hate most. I got 3/5. They left off Bryce Dallas Howard. Wow. What ever happened to the soft blanket that is nepotism within the Academy?

And 9meter got left off in favor of Henry, which I said, they love them some altar boy films in this category. I said it. Didn’t guess it, of course, since who the fuck knows what they do, but I said it.

3/5, and I’ll fucking take it.

Best Animated Short

Adam and Dog

Fresh Guacamole

Head Over Heels

Maggie Simpson in “The Longest Daycare”

Paperman

They nominated Fresh Guacamole. A two-minute short, and they nominated it. Good for them. I’ll be wrong for that. It was great.

I had Longest Daycare as an alternate, so I knew what I was doing. I’m glad Eagleman Stag didn’t make it. I put it on hoping to be wrong, and I was. What better way to be wrong?

So, I got 3/5 — the two locks, and Head Over Heels, which I thought was a shoo-in to be left off. So I kind of like this category, though I haven’t really watched many of the nominees, and the one that I guessed, Dripped, I was hoping would get on so I could watch it. It looks great. But otherwise, I like the category and I’m glad I pulled 3/5 for it. So that’s cool. (Also, watch them give it to Adam and Dog.)

Also notice how I hit 3/5 in every single category but Best Director?

– – – – – – – – – –

Here’s the total number of nominations for the films (with at least two):

Lincoln — 12 nominations (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Score, Production Design, Costume Design and Sound Mixing)

Life of Pi — 11 nominations (Picture, Director, Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Score, Song, Production Design, Visual Effects, Sound Mixing and Sound Editing)

Les Misérables — 8 nominations (Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Song, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling and Sound Mixing)

Silver Linings Playbook — 8 nominations (Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Screenplay and Editing)

Argo — 7 nominations (Picture, Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Editing, Score, Sound Editing and Sound Mixing)

Amour — 5 nominations (Picture, Director, Actress, Screenplay and Foreign Language Film)

Django Unchained — 5 nominations (Picture, Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Cinematography and Sound Editing)

Skyfall — 5 nominations (Cinematography, Score, Song, Sound Editing and Sound Mixing)

Zero Dark Thirty — 5 nominations (Picture, Actress, Screenplay, Editing and Sound Editing)

Anna Karenina — 4 nominations (Cinematography, Score, Production Design and Costume Design)

Beasts of the Southern Wild — 4 nominations (Picture, Director, Actress, Screenplay)

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey — 3 nominations (Production Design, Makeup & Hairstyling and Visual Effects)

The Master — 3 nominations (Actor, Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress)

Flight — 2 nominations (Actor and Screenplay)

(Multiple Academy Award Nominee) Snow White and the Huntsman — 2 nominations (Costume Design and Visual Effects)

And if you want a quick list, with just numbers:

12 nominations — Lincoln

11 nominations — Life of Pi

8 nominations — Les Misérables and Silver Linings Playbook

7 nominations — Argo

5 nominations — Amour and Django Unchained and Skyfall and Zero Dark Thirty

4 nominations — Anna Karenina and Beasts of the Southern Wild

3 nominations — The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey and The Master

2 nominations — Flight and Snow White and the Huntsman

– – – – – – – – – –

So… how did I do?

I don’t even know. Let’s count.

I got 8/9 on Best Picture, 2/3 on Best Makeup and Hairstyling, then everything else was a five-nominee category. I got 12 4/5s, 9 3/5s, and one 2/5.

This has to be my best year overall. Has to be. Let’s count it up.

Out of 122 total nominees, I correctly guessed… 87 of them.

Last year I did 81/119. So definitely better than last year. And, let me mention, I was one laziness vote away from picking up another on Best Actress, one “fuck it” vote away from all five Best Actors, and then I had one nominee half-right, but had a different person from the same film in their place, so I could have hit 90. I was that close.

That’s fucking great. Last year was 68%, this year was 71%. I cracked 70%, people. And I didn’t look at shit this year. I went purely on instinct, logic, and experience. (No joke, I didn’t read what other people guessed until I put my article up. And I already told you I never changed anything, so that’s pretty fucking good.)

So that’s what we’re looking at now.

Don’t worry, I’ll be studying this list like a motherfucker over the next…45 days.

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