Oscars 2012 Category Breakdown: Best Supporting Actor & Best Supporting Actress

Continuing my breakdown of all the Oscar categories for this year, I come to the Supporting categories.

We know what they are, the categories are pretty simple. There’s not much to say about them in general, and specifically — one of the categories is completely locked, and the other is completely up in the air, more so than I’ve seen in about a decade. The last time I remember a Supporting Actor race this open was maybe… 2001? Most of the time, it’s either locked or between two obvious contenders. Not since 2001 was it this wide open this close to Oscar night.

So, that’s what we’re gonna do, start with Supporting Actor and work to Supporting Actress. I’ll give all the previous winners, then jump into this year’s nominees and rank what I think the likelihood of each nominee winning is.

We’re starting with Best Supporting Actor:

Best Supporting Actor

Year

Best Supporting Actor Winners

Other Nominees

1936

Walter Brennan, Come and Get It

Mischa Auer, My Man GodfreyStuart Erwin, Pigskin ParadeBasil Rathbone, Romeo and JulietAkim Tamiroff, The General Died at Dawn

1937

Joseph Schildkraut, The Life of Emile Zola

Ralph Bellamy, The Awful TruthThomas Mitchell, The HurricaneH.B. Warner, Lost HorizonRoland Young, Topper

1938

Walter Brennan, Kentucky

John Garfield, Four DaughtersGene Lockhart, AlgiersRobert Morely, Marie AntoinetteBasil Rathbone, If I Were King

1939

Thomas Mitchell, Stagecoach

Brian Aherne, JuarezHarry Carey, Mr. Smith Goes to WashingtonBrian Donlevy, Beau GesteClaude Rains, Mr. Smith Goes to Washington

1940

Walter Brennan, The Westerner

Albert Basserman, Foreign CorrespondentWilliam Gargan, They Knew What They WantedJack Oakie, The Great DictatorJames Stephenson, The Letter

1941

Donald Crisp, How Green Was My Valley

Walter Brennan, Sergeant YorkCharles Coburn, The Devil and Miss JonesJames Gleason, Here Comes Mr. JordanSydney Greenstreet, The Maltese Falcon

1942

Van Heflin, Johnny Eager

William Bendix, Wake IslandWalter Huston, Yankee Doodle DandyFrank Morgan, Tortilla FlatHenry Travers, Mrs. Miniver

1943

Charles Coburn, The More the Merrier

Charles Bickford, The Song of BernadetteJ. Carrol Naish, SaharaClaude Rains, CasablancaAkim Tamiroff, For Whom the Bell Tolls

1944

Barry Fitzgerald, Going My Way

Hume Cronyn, The Seventh CrossClaude Rains, Mr. SkeffingtonClifton Webb, LauraMonty Woolley, Since You Went Away

1945

James Dunn, A Tree Grows in Brooklyn

Michael Chekhov, SpellboundJohn Dall, The Corn is GreenRobert Mitchum, The Story of G.I. JoeJ. Carrol Naish, A Medal for Benny

1946

Harold Russell, The Best Years of Our Lives

Charles Coburn, The Green YearsWilliam Demarest, The Jolson StoryClaude Rains, NotoriousClifton Webb, The Razor’s Edge

1947

Edmund Gwenn, Miracle on 34th Street

Charles Bickford, The Farmer’s DaughterThomas Gomez, Ride the Pink HorseRobert Ryan, CrossfireRichard Widmark, Kiss of Death

1948

Walter Huston, The Treasure of the Sierra Madre

Charles Bickford, Johnny BelindaJosé Ferrer, Joan of ArcOskar Homolka, I Remember MamaCecil Kellaway, The Luck of the Irish

1949

Dean Jagger, Twelve O’Clock High

John Ireland, All the King’s MenArthur Kennedy, ChampionRalph Richardson, The HeiressJames Whitmore, Battleground

1950

George Sanders, All About Eve

Jeff Chandler, Broken ArrowEdmund Gwenn, Mister 880Sam Jaffe, The Asphalt JungleErich von Stroheim, Sunset Boulevard

1951

Karl Malden, A Streetcar Named Desire

Leo Genn, Quo VadisKevin McCarthy, Death of a SalesmanPeter Ustinov, Quo VadisGig Young, Come Fill the Gap

1952

Anthony Quinn, Viva Zapata!

Richard Burton, My Cousin RachelArthur Hunnicutt, The Big SkyVictor McLaglen, The Quiet ManJack Palance, Sudden Fear

1953

Frank Sinatra, From Here to Eternity

Eddie Albert, Roman HolidayBrandon de Wilde, ShaneJack Palance, ShaneRobert Strauss, Stalag 17

1954

Edmund O’Brien, The Barefoot Contessa

Lee J. Cobb, On the WaterfrontKarl Malden, On the WaterfrontRod Steiger, On the WaterfrontTom Tully, The Caine Mutiny

1955

Jack Lemmon, Mister Roberts

Arthur Kennedy, TrialJoe Mantell, MartySal Mineo, Rebel Without a CauseArthur O’Connell, Picnic

1956

Anthony Quinn, Lust for Life

Don Murray, Bus StopAnthony Perkins, Friendly PersuasionMickey Rooney, The Bold and the BraveRobert Stack, Written on the Wind

1957

Red Buttons, Sayonara

Vittorio de Sica, A Farewell to ArmsSessue Hayakawa, The Bridge on the River KwaiArthur Kennedy, Peyton PlaceRuss Tamblyn, Peyton Place

1958

Burl Ives, The Big Country

Theodore Bikel, The Defiant OnesLee J. Cobb, The Brothers KaramozovArthur Kennedy, Some Came RunningGig Young, Teacher’s Pet

1959

Hugh Griffith, Ben-Hur

Arthur O’Connell, Anatomy of a MurderGeorge C. Scott, Anatomy of a MurderRobert Vaughn, The Young PhiladelphiansEd Wynn, The Diary of Anne Frank

1960

Peter Ustinov, Spartacus

Peter Falk, Murder, Inc.Jack Kruschen, The ApartmentSal Mineo, ExodusChill Wills, The Alamo

1961

George Chakiris, West Side Story

Montgomery Clift, Judgment at NurembergPeter Falk, Pocketful of MiraclesJackie Gleason, The HustlerGeorge C. Scott, The Hustler

1962

Ed Begley, Sweet Bird of Youth

Victor Buono, What Ever Happened to Baby Jane?Telly Savalas, Birdman of AlcatrazOmar Sharif, Lawrence of ArabiaTerence Stamp, Billy Budd

1963

Melvyn Douglas, Hud

Nick Adams, Twilight of HorrorBobby Darin, Captain Newman, M.D.Hugh Griffith, Tom JonesJohn Huston, The Cardinal

1964

Peter Ustinov, Topkapi

John Gielgud, BecketStanley Holloway, My Fair LadyEdmond O’Brien, Seven Days in MayLee Tracy, The Best Man

1965

Martin Balsam, A Thousand Clowns

Ian Bannen, Flight of the PhoenixTom Courtenay, Doctor ZhivagoMichael Dunn, Ship of FoolsFrank Finlay, Othello

1966

Walter Matthau, The Fortune Cookie

Mako, The Sand PebblesJames Mason, Georgy GirlGeorge Segal, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?Robert Shaw, A Man for All Seasons

1967

George Kennedy, Cool Hand Luke

John Cassavetes, The Dirty DozenGene Hackman, Bonnie and ClydeCecil Kellaway, Guess Who’s Coming to DinnerMichael J. Pollard, Bonnie and Clyde

1968

Jack Albertson, The Subject Was Roses

Seymour Cassel, FacesDaniel Massey, Star!Jack Wild, Oliver!Gene Wilder, The Producers

1969

Gig Young, They Shoot Horses, Don’t They?

Rupert Crosse, The ReiversElliott Gould, Bob & Carol & Ted & AliceJack Nicholson, Easy RiderAnthony Quayle, Anne of the Thousand Days

1970

John Mills, Ryan’s Daughter

Richard S. Castellano, Lovers and Other StrangersChief Dan George, Little Big ManGene Hackman, I Never Sang for My FatherJohn Marley, Love Story

1971

Ben Johnson, The Last Picture Show

Jeff Bridges, The Last Picture ShowLeonard Frey, Fiddler on the RoofRichard Jaeckel, Sometimes a Great NotionRoy Scheider, The French Connection

1972

Joel Grey, Cabaret

Eddie Albert, The Heartbreak KidJames Caan, The GodfatherRobert Duvall, The GodfatherAl Pacino, The Godfather

1973

John Houseman, The Paper Chase

Vincent Gardenia, Bang the Drum SlowlyJack Gilford, Save the TigerJason Miller, The ExorcistRandy Quaid, The Last Detail

1974

Robert De Niro, The Godfather Part II

Fred Astaire, The Towering InfernoJeff Bridges, Thunderbolt and LightfootMichael V. Gazzo, The Godfather Part IILee Strasberg, The Godfather Part II

1975

George Burns, The Sunshine Boys

Brad Dourif, One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s NestBurgess Meredith, The Day of the LocustChris Sarandon, Dog Day AfternoonJack Warden, Shampoo

1976

Jason Robards, All the President’s Men

Ned Beatty, NetworkBurgess Meredith, RockyLaurence Olivier, Marathon ManBurt Young, Rocky

1977

Jason Robards, Julia

Mikhail Baryshnikov, The Turning PointPeter Firth, EquusAlec Guinness, Star WarsMaximilian Schell, Julia

1978

Christopher Walken, The Deer Hunter

Bruce Dern, Coming HomeRichard Farnsworth, Comes a HorsemanJohn Hurt, Midnight ExpressJack Warden, Heaven Can Wait

1979

Melvyn Douglas, Being There

Robert Duvall, Apocalypse NowJustin Henry, Kramer vs. KramerFrederic Forrest, The RoseMickey Rooney, The Black Stallion

1980

Timothy Hutton, Ordinary People

Judd Hirsch, Ordinary PeopleMichael O’Keefe, The Great SantiniJoe Pesci, Raging BullJason Robards, Melvin and Howard

1981

John Gielgud, Arthur

James Coco, Only When I LaughIan Holm, Chariots of FireJack Nicholson, RedsHoward Rollincs, Ragtime

1982

Lou Gossett Jr., An Officer and a Gentleman

Charles Durning, The Best Little Whorehouse in TexasJohn Lithgow, The World According to GarpJames Mason, The VerdictRobert Preston, Victor Victoria

1983

Jack Nicholson, Terms of Endearment

Charles Durning, To Be or Not to BeJohn Lithgow, Terms of EndearmentSam Shepard, The Right StuffRip Torn, Cross Creek

1984

Haing S. Ngor, The Killing Fields

Adolph Ceasar, A Soldier’s StoryJohn Malkovich, Places in the HeartPat Morita, The Karate KidRalph Richardson, Greystroke: The Legend of Tarzan, Lord of the Apes

1985

Don Ameche, Cocoon

Klaus Maria Brandauer, Out of AfricaWilliam Hickey, Prizzi’s HonorRobert Loggia, Jagged EdgeEric Roberts, Runaway Train

1986

Michael Caine, Hannah and Her Sisters

Tom Berenger, PlatoonWillem Dafoe, PlatoonDenholm Elliott, A Room with a ViewDennis Hopper, Hoosiers

1987

Sean Connery, The Untouchables

Albert Brooks, Broadcast NewsMorgan Freeman, Street SmartVincent Gardenia, MoonstruckDenzel Washington, Cry Freedom

1988

Kevin Kline, A Fish Called Wanda

Alec Guinness, Little DorritMartin Landau, Tucker: The Man and His Dream River Phoenix, Running on EmptyDean Stockwell, Married to the Mob

1989

Denzel Washington, Glory

Danny Aiello, Do the Right ThingDan Aykroyd, Driving Miss DaisyMarlon Brando, A Dry White SeasonMartin Landau, Crimes and Misdemeanors

1990

Joe Pesci, Goodfellas

Bruce Davidson, Longtime CompanionAndy Garcia, The Godfather Part IIIGraham Greene, Dances with WolvesAl Pacino, Dick Tracy

1991

Jack Palance, City Slickers

Tommy Lee Jones, JFKHarvey Keitel, BugsyBen Kingsley, BugsyMichael Lerner, Barton Fink

1992

Gene Hackman, Unforgiven

Jaye Davidson, The Crying GameJack Nicholson, A Few Good MenAl Pacino, Glengarry Glen RossDavid Paymer, Mr. Saturday Night

1993

Tommy Lee Jones, The Fugitive

Leonardo DiCaprio, What’s Eating Gilbert GrapeRalph Fiennes, Schindler’s ListJohn Malkovich, In the Line of FirePete Postlethwaite, In the Name of the Father

1994

Martin Landau, Ed Wood

Samuel L. Jackson, Pulp FictionChazz Palminteri, Bullets Over BroadwayPaul Scofield, Quiz ShowGary Sinise, Forrest Gump

1995

Kevin Spacey, The Usual Suspects

James Cromwell, BabeEd Harris, Apollo 13Brad Pitt, Twelve MonkeysTim Roth, Rob Roy

1996

Cuba Gooding Jr., Jerry Maguire

William H. Macy, FargoArmin Mueller-Stahl, ShineEdward Norton, Primal FearJames Woods, Ghosts of Mississippi

1997

Robin Williams, Good Will Hunting

Robert Forster, Jackie BrownAnthony Hopkins, AmistadGreg Kinnear, As Good as It GetsBurt Reynolds, Boogie Nights

1998

James Coburn, Affliction

Robert Duvall, A Civil ActionEd Harris, The Truman ShowGeoffrey Rush, Shakespeare in LoveBilly Bob Thornton, A Simple Plan

1999

Michael Caine, The Cider House Rules

Tom Cruise, MagnoliaMichael Clarke Duncan, The Green MileJude Law, The Talented Mr. RipleyHaley Joel Osment, The Sixth Sense

2000

Benicio del Toro, Traffic

Jeff Bridges, The ContenderWillem Dafoe, Shadow of the VampireAlbert Finney, Erin BrockovichJoaquin Phoenix, Gladiator

2001

Jim Broadbent Iris

Ethan Hawke, Training DayBen Kingsley, Sexy BeastIan McKellen, The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the RingJon Voight, Ali

2002

Chris Cooper, Adaptation.

Ed Harris, The HoursPaul Newman, Road to PerditionJohn C. Reilly, ChicagoChristopher Walken, Catch Me if You Can

2003

Tim Robbins, Mystic River

Alec Baldwin, The CoolerBenicio del Toro, 21 GramsDjimon Hounsou, In AmericaKen Watanabe, The Last Samurai

2004

Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby

Alan Alda, The AviatorThomas Haden Church, SidewaysJamie Foxx, CollateralClive Owen, Closer

2005

George Clooney, Syriana

Matt Dillon, CrashPaul Giamatti, Cinderella ManJake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback MountainWilliam Hurt, A History of Violence 

2006

Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine

Jackie Earle Haley, Little ChildrenDjimon Hounsou, Blood DiamondEddie Murphy, DreamgirlsMark Wahlberg, The Departed

2007

Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert FordPhilip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s WarHal Holbrook, Into the WildTom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

2008

Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight

Josh Brolin, MilkRobert Downey, Jr., Tropic ThunderPhilip Seymour Hoffman, DoubtMichael Shannon, Revolutionary Road

2009

Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

Matt Damon, InvictusWoody Harrelson, The MessengerChristopher Plummer, The Last StationStanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones

2010

Christian Bale, The Fighter

John Hawkes, Winter’s BoneJeremy Renner, The TownMark Ruffalo, The Kids are All RightGeoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech

2011

Christopher Plummer, Beginners

Kenneth Branagh, My Week with MarilynJonah Hill, MoneyballNick Nolte, WarriorMax von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

This year’s nominees are:

Alan Arkin, Argo

Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

I like the category. Not my ideal category, but in terms of what was going to happen and my personal choices, I’d really only have switched Arkin with Leo and then I’d think we hit a perfect category. Because the other performances I loved that were supporting this year aren’t ones that caught traction (Walken, Gandolfini, McGregor), so I’m not gonna claim that they should be on when there’s really no reason for it. At least there’s a case for Leo. But anyway, I’m satisfied with the category. I think it’s pretty strong. Not top ten all time strong, but in the top 20%.

This category is wide the fuck open. Precursors are across the board. Waltz wins BAFTA and the Globe, Jones wins SAG, Hoffman wins BFCA. Completely all over the place. However, I think I have a bit of a handle on this one. Everyone’s gonna disagree because no one knows what the fuck to do, but based on what I’ve seen and what I know and what I suspect, here are what I think your rankings for this category are:

5. Arkin. We love him, he’s great, he’s a lot of fun in the movie. But once you’re nominated, it’s a whole new ballgame. He’s basically playing himself in the movie, as he’s been doing, to great success (and an Oscar) recently. He’s not gonna get any votes, and I think we all consider him an easy #5 in this category.

4. Hoffman. I know he has the BFCA win, but to be honest, I don’t know how many people are gonna vote for him over everyone else. Of course, in a logjam scenario, sure, it could happen, but I just feel like he’s one of those guys that is always fourth for a vote. Charlie Wilson’s WarDoubt — the performances are solid, but no one really ever wants to vote for him. Same here. He’s also kind of a lead, but the film is kind of off-putting to some, and Phoenix is getting a lot of attention — I don’t know. I don’t see him pulling more votes than the other three. It could happen, but I see more reasons for people to vote for the other three than for him. In a wide vote, he may have more support, but I don’t know. I still see more support for the other three for a win. I don’t think he’s in there.

3. De Niro. He has no precursors at all. But he is Robert De Niro, and this is his first nomination in over twenty years, I believe. 1991, Cape Fear, right? People want to reward a guy like that, especially the older section of the Academy. He’ll get his votes. Plus, if they’re gonna give the film something (and it’s not Jennifer Lawrence), it could be him. Personally though, I don’t see it happening. He has no widespread support for the win, and I think the nomination is more the reward. He’d needed to have won another award before this for me to seriously consider him a major contender. Now, I think is stature makes him a prime upset candidate at best.

2. Waltz. Disregarding the Globe win (because it’s meaningless), the BAFTA win is big, because it shows solid Brit support. That goes a long way. Maybe not for a win, but there are enough people in the Academy who love him and love his performances and love Quentin’s movies (specifically that movie) to vote for him. Between him and who’s left, I see a real photo finish happening, whereupon either one could legitimately take it. I, personally, think he’s a lead (and also don’t think he did as good a job as Leo did in the film), but I still see a shit ton of people voting for him. I still don’t think he’s the favorite (even if he is right there), because…

1. Jones. He has the SAG win, which is a big deal. That shows widespread support. Plus the film has widespread support, and the performance is the one everyone talked about from when the film debuted months ago, and the character is one that just fits this award — he has everything going for him. The only thing working against him are the people who are like, “God, Lincoln is such a boring choice,” and they go and vote for Waltz. That’s the only thing going against him. The older section of the Academy already has their votes cast. It’s tight, but I think right now he can be considered the favorite to take it home. I think it’s him and Waltz, but right now, I say he has the edge.

Onto Supporting Actress…

Best Supporting Actress

Year

Best Supporting Actress Winners

Other Nominees

1936

Gale Sondergaard, Anthony Adverse

Beulah Bondi, The Gorgeous Hussy

Alice Brady, My Man Godfrey

Bonita Granville, These Three

Maria Ouspenskaya, Dodsworth

1937

Alice Brady, In Old Chicago

Andrea Leeds, Stage Door

Anne Shirley, Stella Dallas

Claire Trevor, Dead End

Dame May Whitty, Night Must Fall

1938

Fay Bainter, Jezebel

Beulah Bondi, Of Human Hearts

Billie Burke, Merrily We Live

Spring Byington, You Can’t Take It With You

Miliza Korjus, The Great Waltz

1939

Hattie McDaniel, Gone With the Wind

Olivia de Havilland, Gone With the Wind

Geraldine Fitzgerald, Wuthering Heights

Edna May Oliver, Drums Along the Mohawk

Maria Ouspenskaya, Love Affair

1940

Jane Darwell, The Grapes of Wrath

Judith Anderson, Rebecca

Ruth Hussey, The Philadelphia Story

Barbara O’Neil, All This, and Heaven Too

Marjorie Rambeau, Primrose Path

1941

Mary Astor, The Great Lie

Sarah Allgood, How Green Was My Valley

Patricia Collinge, The Little Foxes

Teresa Wright, The Little Foxes

Margaret Wycherly, Sergeant York

1942

Teresa Wright, Mrs. Miniver

Gladys Cooper, Now, Voyager

Susan Peters, Random Harvest

Agnes Moorehead, The Magnificent Ambersons

Dame May Whitty, Mrs. Miniver

1943

Katrina Paxinou, For Whom the Bell Tolls

Gladys Cooper, The Song of Bernadette

Paulette Goddard, So Proudly We Hail!

Anne Revere, The Song of Bernadette

Lucille Watson, Watch on the Rhine

1944

Ethel Barrymore, None But the Lonely Heart

Jennifer Jones, Since You Went Away

Angela Lansbury, Gaslight

Aline MacMahon, Dragon Seed

Agnes Moorehead, Mrs. Parkington

1945

Anne Revere, National Velvet

Eve Arden, Mildred Pierce

Ann Blyth, Mildred Pierce

Angela Lansbury, The Picture of Dorian Grey

Joan Lorring, The Corn is Green

1946

Anne Baxter, The Razor’s Edge

Ethel Barrymore, The Spiral Staircase

Lillian Gish, Duel in the Sun

Flora Robson, Saratoga Trunk

Gale Sondergaard, Anna and the King of Siam

1947

Celeste Holm, Gentleman’s Agreement

Ethel Barrymore, The Paradine Case

Gloria Grahame, Crossfire

Marjoria Main, The Egg and I

Anne Revere, Gentleman’s Agreement

1948

Claire Trevor, Key Largo

Barbara Bel Geddes, I Remember Mama

Ellen Corby, I Remember Mama

Agnes Moorehead, Johnny Belinda

Jean Simmons, Hamlet

1949

Mercedes McCambridge, All the King’s Men

Ethel Barrymore, Pinky

Celeste Holm, Come to the Stable

Elsa Lanchester, Come to the Stable

Ethel Waters, Pinky

1950

Josephine Hull, Harvey

Hope Emerson, Caged

Celeste Holm, All About Eve

Susan Olson, Sunset Boulevard

Thelma Ritter, All About Eve

1951

Kim Hunter, A Streetcar Named Desire

Joan Blondell, The Blue Veil

Mildred Dunnock, Death of a Salesman

Lee Grant, Detective Story

Thelma Ritter, The Mating Season

1952

Gloria Grahame, The Bad and the Beautiful

Jean Hagan, Singin’ in the Rain

Collette Marchand, Moulin Rouge

Terry Moore, Come Back, Little Sheba

Thelma Ritter, With a Song in My Heart

1953

Donna Reed, From Here to Eternity

Grace Kelly, Mogambo

Geraldine Page, Hondo

Marjorie Rambeau, Torch Song

Thelma Ritter, Pickup on South Street

1954

Eva Marie Saint, On the Waterfront

Nina Foch, Executive Suite

Katy Jurado, Executive Suite

Jan Sterling, The High and the Mighty

Claire Trevor, The High and the Mighty

1955

Jo Van Fleet, East of Eden

Betsy Blair, Marty

Peggy Lee, Pete Kelly’s Blues

Marisa Pavan, The Rose Tattoo

Natalie Wood, Rebel Without a Cause

1956

Dorothy Malone, Written on the Wind

Midred Dunnock, Baby Doll

Eileen Heckart, The Bad Seed

Mercedes McCambridge, Giant

Patty McCormack, The Bad Seed

1957

Miyoshi Umeki, Sayonara

Carolyn Jones, The Bachelor Party

Elsa Lanchester, Witness for the Prosecution

Hope Lange, Peyton Place

Diane Varsi, Peyton Place

1958

Wendy Hiller, Separate Tables

Peggy Cass, Autie Mame

Martha Hyer, Some Came Running

Maureen Stapleton, Lonelyhearts

Cara Williams, The Defiant Ones

1959

Shelley Winters, The Diary of Anne Frank

Hermione Baddeley, Room at the Top

Susan Kohner, Imitation of Life

Juanita Moore, Imitation of Life

Thelma Ritter, Pillow Talk

1960

Shirley Jones, Elmer Gantry

Glynis Johns, The Sundowners

Shirley Knight, The Dark at the Top of the Stairs

Janet Leigh, Psycho

Mary Ure, Sons and Lovers

1961

Rita Moreno, West Side Story

Fay Bainter, The Children’s Hour

Judy Garland, Judgment at Nuremberg

Lotte Lenya, The Roman Spring of Mrs. Stone

Una Merkel, Summer and Smoke

1962

Patty Duke, The Miracle Worker

Mary Badham, To Kill a Mockingbird

Shirley Knight, Sweet Bird of Youth

Angela Lansbury, The Manchurian Candidate

Thelma Ritter, Birdman of Alcatraz

1963

Margaret Rutherford, The V.I.P.s

Diane Cilento, Tom Jones

Edith Evans, Tom Jones

Joyce Redman, Tom Jones

Lilia Skala, Lilies of the Field

1964

Lila Kedrova, Zorba the Greek

Gladys Cooper, My Fair Lady

Edith Evans, The Chalk Garden

Grayson Hall, The Night of the Iguana

Agnes Moorehead, Hush… Hush, Sweet Charlotte

1965

Shelley Winters, A Patch of Blue

Ruth Gordon, Inside Daisy Clover

Joyce Redman, Othello

Maggie Smith, Othello

Peggy Wood, The Sound of Music

1966

Sandy Dennis, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Wendy Hiller, A Man for All Seasons

Jocelyne LaGarde, Hawaii

Vivien Merchant, Alfie

Geraldine Page, You’re a Big Boy Now

1967

Estelle Parsons, Bonnie and Clyde

Carol Channing, Thoroughly Modern Millie

Mildred Natwick, Barefoot in the Park

Beah Richards, Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner

Katharine Ross, The Graduate

1968

Ruth Gordon, Rosemary’s Babby

Lynn Carlin, Faces

Sondra Locke, The Heart Is a Lonely Hunter

Kay Medford, Funny Girl

Estelle Parsons, Rachel, Rachel

1969

Goldie Hawn, Cactus Flower

Cahterine Burns, Last Summer

Dyan Cannon, Bob & Carol & Ted & Alice

Sylvia Miles, Midnight Cowboy

Susanna York, They Shoot Horses, Don’t They?

1970

Helen Hayes, Airport

Karen Black, Five Easy Pieces

Lee Grant, The Landlord

Sally Kellerman, MASH

Maureen Stapleton, Airport

1971

Cloris Leachman, The Last Picture Show

Ann-Margret, Carnal Knowledge

Ellen Burstyn, The Last Picture Show

Barbara Harris, Who Is Harry Kellerman and Why Is He Saying Those Terrible Things About Me?

Margaret Leighton, The Go-Between

1972

Eileen Heckart, Butterflies are Free

Jeannie Berlin, The Heartbreak Kid

Geraldine Page, Pete ‘n’ Tillie

Susan Tyrrell, Fat City

Shelley Winters, The Poseidon Adventure

1973

Tatum O’Neal, Paper Moon

Linda Blair, The Exorcist

Candy Clark, American Graffiti

Madeline Kahn, Paper Moon

Sylvia Sidney, Summer Wishes, Winter Dreams

1974

Ingrid Begman, Murder on the Orient Express

Valentina Cortese, Day for Night

Madeline Kahn, Blazing Saddles

Diane Ladd, Alice Doesn’t Live Here Anymore

Talia Shire, The Godfather Part II

1975

Lee Grant, Shampoo

Ronee Blakley, Nashville

Sylvia Miles, Farewell, My Lovely

Lily Tomlin, Nashville

Brenda Vaccaro, Jacqueline Susann’s Once is Not Enough

1976

Beatrice Straight, Network

Jane Alexander, All the President’s Men

Jodie Foster, Taxi Driver

Lee Grant, Voyage of the Damned

Piper Laurie, Carrie

1977

Vanessa Redgrave, Julia

Leslie Browne, The Turning Point

Quinn Cummings, The Goodbye Girl

Melinda Dillon, Close Encounters of the Third Kind

Tuesday Weld, Looking for Mr. Goodbar

1978

Maggie Smith, California Suite

Dyan Cannon, Heaven Can Wait

Penelope Milford, Coming Home

Maureen Stapleton, Interiors

Meryl Streep, The Deer Hunter

1979

Meryl Streep, Kramer vs. Kramer

Jane Alexander, Kramer vs. Kramer

Barbara Barrie, Breaking Away

Candice Bergen, Starting Over

Mariel Heminway, Manhattan

1980

Mary Steenburgen, Melvin and Howard

Eileen Brennan, Private Benjamin

Eva Le Gallienne, Resurrection

Cathy Moriarty, Raging Bull

Diana Scarwid, Inside Moves

1981

Maureen Stapleton, Reds

Melinda Dillon, Absence of Malice

Jane Fonda, On Golden Pond

Joan Hackett, The Last Laugh

Elizabeth McGovern, Ragtime

1982

Jessica Lange, Tootsie

Glenn Close, The World According to Garp

Teri Garr, Tootsie

Kim Stanley, Frances

Lesley Ann Warren, Victor Victoria

1983

Linda Hunt, The Year of Living Dangerously

Cher, Silkwood

Glenn Close, The Big Chill

Amy Irving, Yentl

Alfre Woodard, Cross Creek

1984

Peggy Ashcroft, A Passage to India

Glenn Close, The Natural

Lindsay Crouse, Places in the Heart

Christine Lahti, Swing Shift

Geraldine Page, The Pope of Greenwich Village

1985

Anjelica Huston, Prizzi’s Honor

Margaret Avery, The Color Purple

Amy Madigan, Twice in a Lifetime

Meg Tilly, Agnes of God

Oprah Winfrey, The Color Purple

1986

Dianne Wiest, Hannah and Her Sisters

Tess Harper, Crimes of the Heart

Piper Laurie, Children of a Lesser God

Mary Elizabeth Mastrantonio, The Color of Money

Maggie Smith, A Room with a Vier

1987

Olympia Dukakis, Moonstruck

Norma Aleandro, Gaby: A True Story

Anne Archer, Fatal Attraction

Anne Ramsey, Throw Momma from the Train

Ann Sothern, The Whales of August

1988

Geena Davis, The Accidental Tourist

Joan Cusack, Working Girl

Frances McDormand, Mississippi Burning

Michelle Pfeiffer, Dangerous Liaisons

Sigourney Weaver, Working Girl

1989

Brenda Fricker, My Left Foot

Anjelica Huston, Enemies, a Love Story

Lena Olin, Enemies, a Love Story

Julia Roberts, Steel Magnolias

Dianne Wiest, Parenthood

1990

Whoopi Goldberg, Ghost

Annette Bening, The Grifters

Lorraine Bracco, Goodfellas

Diane Ladd, Wild at Heart

Mary McDonnell, Dances with Wolves

1991

Mercedes Ruehl, The Fisher King

Diane Ladd, Rambling Rose

Juliette Lewis, Cape Fear

Kate Nelligan, The Prince of Tides

Jessica Tandy, Fried Green Tomatoes

1992

Marisa Tomei, My Cousin Vinny

Judy Davis, Husbands and Wives

Joan Plowright, Enchanted April

Vanessa Redgrave, Howards End

Miranda Richardson, Damage

1993

Anna Paquin, The Piano

Holly Hunter, The Firm

Rosie Perez, Fearless

Winona Ryder, The Age of Innocence

Emma Thompson, In the Name of the Father

1994

Dianne Wiest, Bullets over Broadway

Rosemary Harris, Tom & Viv

Helen Mirren, The Madness of King George

Uma Thurman, Pulp Fiction

Jennifer Tilly, Bullets over Broadway

1995

Mira Sorvino, Mighty Aphrodite

Joan Allen, Nixon

Kathleen Quinlan, Apollo 13

Mare Winningham, Georgia

Kate Winslet, Sense an Sensibility

1996

Juliette Binoche, The English Patient

Joan Allen, The Crucible

Lauren Bacall, The Mirror Has Two Faces

Barbara Hershey, Portrait of a Lady

Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Secrets & Lies

1997

Kim Basinger, L.A. Confidential

Joan Cusack, In & Out

Minnie Driver, Good Will Hunting

Julianne Moore, Boogie Nights

Gloria Stuart, Titanic

1998

Judi Dench, Shakespeare in Love

Kathy Bates, Primary Colors

Brenda Blethyn, Little Voice

Rachel Griffiths, Hilary and Jackie

Lynn Redgrave, Gods and Monsterds

1999

Angelina Jolie, Girl, Interrupted

Toni Collette, The Sixth Sense

Catherine Keener, Being John Malkovich

Samantha Morton, Sweet and Lowdown

Chloe Sevigny, Boys Don’t Cry

2000

Marcia Gay Harden, Pollock

Judi Dench, Chocolat

Kate Hudson, Almost Famous

Frances McDormand, Almost Famous

Julie Walters, Billy Elliot

2001

Jennifer Connelly, A Beautiful Mind

Helen Mirren, Gosford Park

Maggie Smith, Gosford Park

Marisa Tomei, In the Bedroom

Kate Winslet, Iris

2002

Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago

Kathy Bates, About Schmidt

Queen Latifah, Chicago

Julianne Moore, The Hours

Meryl Streep, Adaptation

2003

Renée Zellweger, Cold Mountain

Shohreh Aghdashloo, House of Sand and Fog

Patricia Clarkson, Pieces of April

Marcia Gay Harden, Mystic River

Holly Huntet, Thirteen

2004

Cate Blanchett, The Aviator

Laura Linney, Kinsey

Virginia Madsen, Sideways

Sophie Okonedo, Hotel Rwanda

Natalie Portman, Closer

2005

Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener

Amy Adams, Junebug

Catherine Keener, Capote

Frances McDormand, North Country

Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

2006

Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls

Adriana Barraza, Babel

Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal

Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine

Rinko Kikuchi, Babel

2007

Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There

Ruby Dee, American Gangster

Saoirse Ronan, Atonement

Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone

2008

Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona

Amy Adams, Doubt

Viola Davis, Doubt

Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler

2009

Mo’Nique, Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire

Penelope Cruz, Nine

Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air

Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart

Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air

2010

Melissa Leo, The Fighter

Amy Adams, The Fighter

Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech

Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit

Jackie Weaver, Animal Kingdom

2011

Octavia Spencer, The Help

Berenice Bejo, The Artist

Jessica Chastain, The Help

Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids

Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs

This year’s nominees are…

Amy Adams, The Master

Sally Field, Lincoln

Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables

Helen Hunt, The Sessions

Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook

Decent, but unspectacular, is how I’d describe this category. Given how barren the landscape was for female performances in 2012, I’d say they acquitted themselves to a solid B+ grade when you take everything into account. On its own, the category is like a B/B-, leaning toward a B given how it looks on paper.

The category is also locked about as tightly as Best Actor is.

Here are the rankings as I see them:

5. Weaver. It was a shocker nomination, so no one should be surprised. No precursors, no traction, and nothing going for her except some British/Australian love and love for the film. She doesn’t really do that much in it, and it’s not a performance anyone really wants to vote for. It’s clearly your #5. No chance at all.

4. Adams. She’s been nominated a bunch, but this is her weakest nominated performance. Junebug, in my opinion, was good enough to win, but she was too new to. Then Doubt, she was good enough to win and could have, but didn’t. The Fighter — solid, but no win. Now — I’m questioning the nomination. She’s fine in the film, but her character, like Weaver’s, has nothing to do. She mostly just comes on screen and says she doesn’t trust Joaquin Phoenix. It’s a dutiful wife role. No major dramatic moments, nothing really to work with except the film and her reputation. I love her, but there’s nothing here worth voting for. And she’s won no precursors, and is really only here because the year was so weak. She has no shot at winning. At all.

3. Hunt. She’ll get votes. But the film is too slight, the nudity is too much, and there’s too much working for the other two nominees to even consider her having more than like a 1% chance at this. I don’t even have to say anything. We should all know this by now. Why waste time?

2. Field. She plays Mary Todd Lincoln. She’ll get votes. Personally, I thought she also had little to do in the film, and it was distracting that she was like twenty years older than Mary Todd was during the events of the film. The casting always seemed strange to me. But, here she is. I like that she was nominated, and she fits in the category, but at best I’d give her like an 7% chance of actually winning it.

1. Hathaway. Come the fuck on. She’s got this shit on lockdown. She’s swept every major award, the performance is breathtaking, she sings a song in one take and acts the fuck out of it, she’s completely charming, people love her, she does everything right — it’s hers. It’s completely hers. Move on. You got another on on your tally. Waste time on the other categories.

– – – – – – – – – –

So those are the Supporting categories. Tomorrow we do the screenplays, and two categories that are deceptively simple and deceptively complex. That is, one if deceptively simple and the other is deceptively complex. And I’m still not sure which is which.

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One response

  1. kaejae

    I disagree with the comment that Amy Adams has won no precursor awards. She actually won several including Chicago, Los Angeles and National Society of Film Critics Awards which are pretty prestigious.

    February 21, 2013 at 4:02 am

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