Oscars 2014: CAS Awards
The Cinema Audio Society handed their awards out tonight.
That’s Sound Mixing, for those who don’t know. And Sound Mixing is the entire sound design of a film, for those who don’t know. Not the creation of the sounds, but rather everything you hear when you experience a movie.
The CAS category and the Oscar category matched 4/5, with both having Birdman, Interstellar, Unbroken and American Sniper, and CAS having Guardians of the Galaxy with the Oscars having Whiplash as the fifth nominee.
Which means that whatever wins is most likely a good bet to take the category at the Oscars.
The CAS Awards have, over their 21 years of existence, matched the winner of the Oscar for Sound Mixing 13 times. The 8 differences don’t really have a pattern to them.
For instance — 1994, Forrest Gump wins CAS but loses the Oscar to Speed. Sure, Speed is a great choice, but who would think a Best Picture winner would win a guild but lose the Oscar?
And then 2001, Fellowship wins CAS, but loses the Oscar to Black Hawk Down. Kind of a weird one, in that Fellowship was more widely viewed, you’d think. But again, kind of an obvious choice for a winner.
2002, Road to Perdition wins CAS but Chicago wins the Oscar. Which makes sense, since Oscar loves a musical.
2003, Master and Commander wins CAS, but Return of the King wins the Oscar, because it swept.
2004, The Aviator wins CAS but Ray wins the Oscar, because Oscar loves a musical.
But then, 2005, Walk the Line wins CAS but loses the Oscar to King Kong. Oscar loves a musical, but not as much as a big, loud, Peter Jackson film. But then again, Peter Jackson lost in 2001. So where’s the logic?
Then, 2007, No Country wins CAS, but loses the Oscar to Bourne Ultimatum, which won three Oscars that year. Again, a Best Picture winner wins the guild but goes down at the ceremony.
2010, True Grit wins CAS but loses to Inception at the Oscars. Because Christopher Nolan. And because True Grit got shut out entirely.
So those are your eight times. After all that, we should, knowing what wins CAS, have a pretty good gauge on how that will fare when it comes to the Oscars.
And… can you tell I typed all this out while waiting for them to announce the award? Because I did. Apparently they take long ass breaks in between their awards.
The winner of the CAS Award this year is…
Seriously, how can you run long on a show that isn’t televised and can be done in 90 minutes?
I’m just gonna guess while I wait, because this is crazy.
Guardians won’t win because it’s not nominated.
Unbroken would win if it got any traction at the Academy. But it didn’t. So if it wins here, then it’s a True Grit scenario where you can completely ignore the result. but I’d be shocked if it won CAS.
Then, American Sniper seems to be fading in terms of win support. So I can’t see that doing anything.
Birdman, I’d give a shot. And if it does win, then I’d start to consider it part of the Forrest Gump, No Country territory, where it seems likely to go down to a bigger and louder nominee. Since, you know what Best Pictures also won for Sound Mixing? The English Patient, Titanic, Gladiator, Chicago, Return of the King, Slumdog Millionaire, and The Hurt Locker.
War film, big boat sinking, war/combat film, musical, epic battle film, Indian music, and war film.
So a Birdman win would mean pretty much nothing to me here.
Interstellar is the only choice, I think. I feel like it’s gonna either win the Oscar, or lose to Whiplash because it’s a musical. Oscar loves a musical, and Oscar loves a big, loud action film (especially a Christopher Nolan action film). So I feel like it comes down to those two, with Interstellar having the edge at the moment, since seemingly they vote for those kinds of movies first, because when they think about sound, they think big and loud. And Whiplash isn’t exactly a musical, per se. So slight edge to Interstellar.
But that would be a lot easier to say if they ANNOUNCED THE FUCKING AWARD.
Christ, it’s 10 after 10. Are you gonna make this a three hour award show? What’s going on?
10:15 — they gave the Animated Feature award to Big Hero 6. Whoopie.
Still don’t think that beats How to Train Your Dragon at the Oscars, but it’s at least a solid second choice. At this point, I don’t even give a fuck. This was a bad year for animated film.
Does this mean I have to wait another forty-five minutes for the next category?
10:25 — I’m watching The Last Five Years. Gotta say — really liking it. Normally I don’t update on movies watched until the reviews articles go up. I just put everything in the giant list up below the header. But since this fucking guild is taking their sweet ass time in announcing their awards (which only like, thirty people are even following right now), this is what I’ve got to talk about. Especially since, this time of year… movies… ehh, not the best.
10:30 — I’m prepping the stuff that’s to come after the Oscars. It’s gonna get real fun around here starting in March.
HEY, FUCKING FINALLY
The winner was Birdman.
So, everything I said up there about it not likely to win probably holds true.
Then again, for Sound Mixing… maybe. There’s a lot of sound design there.
Who the hell knows at this point?
It’s either Birdman, Interstellar or Whiplash. Whiplash seems unlikely but also somewhat possible.
Let’s see if Interstellar can rebound at the MPSE Awards.