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Oscars 2015: PGA Awards

Well now isn’t this interesting.

The PGA announced their awards tonight, and those in the Oscar know keep a close eye on this since this basically tells you which way Best Picture is gonna go.

A lot of people assumed Spotlight was going to take it because it was the slow-chugging frontrunner up to this point. A bunch of people figured The Revenant was going to win because of the Globes win and all the nominations it got.

And then the PGA went with The Big Short. And now everyone’s starting to see the reality of it actually winning Best Picture set in.

The PGA nominated The Big Short, Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, Ex Machina, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, The Revenant, Sicario, Spotlight and Straight Outta Compton. So that’s 7 of your 8 Best Picture nominees (sans Room).

And to go back through the years:

Year PGA Oscar
2014 Birdman Birdman
2013 12 Years a Slave/Gravity 12 Years a Slave
2012 Argo Argo
2011 The Artist The Artist
2010 The King’s Speech The King’s Speech
2009 The Hurt Locker The Hurt Locker
2008 Slumdog Millionaire Slumdog Millionaire
2007 No Country for Old Men No Country for Old Men
2006 Little Miss Sunshine The Departed
2005 Brokeback Mountain Crash
2004 The Aviator Million Dollar Baby
2003 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
2002 Chicago Chicago
2001 Moulin Rouge A Beautiful Mind
2000 Gladiator Gladiator
1999 American Beauty American Beauty
1998 Saving Private Ryan Shakespeare in Love
1997 Titanic Titanic
1996 The English Patient The English Patient
1995 Apollo 13 Braveheart
1994 Forrest Gump Forrest Gump
1993 Schindler’s List Schindler’s List
1992 The Crying Game Unforgiven
1991 The Silence of the Lambs The Silence of the Lambs
1990 Dances with Wolves Dances with Wolves
1989 Driving Miss Daisy Driving Miss Daisy

In 26 previous years where the PGA gave out awards, they’ve been different from the Oscars 7 times.

You’ll also notice that they have not missed in 8 years. If there’s a year to miss, this is the one. Because in all previous years, we were looking for confirmation that the film we all expected to win was going to win. This is a year where we actually were looking to the PGA for an answer as to what the frontrunner was going to be. And I think we have our answer. It’s got Director, Screenplay and Editing nominations. It’s got a crazy amount of support, getting nominations all over the place and popping up everywhere. At this point, it becomes about what can possibly beat it.

The DGA is going to make things interesting in about ten days. Because I don’t see how McKay wins Director too. So does that mean they give it to Inarritu, two in a row? Or do they go Miller? Or does McCarthy win, and really throw us all for a loop? Maybe McKay does win, and this shit is just in the bag, and the only surprises left on the night are whether The Revenant or Mad Max is gonna win in those tech categories.

Oh, also Inside Out won for Animated Feature and Amy won for Documentary. Does anyone not think either of those are going to win their respective categories?

The other interesting thing to note is that Lady Gaga performed her song at the ceremony, which leads me to believe Academy Award winner Lady Gaga is something that’s coming in the very near future. (Because what’s going to beat her? The Spectre song? Also, that first sentence of the parenthetical may have been a very poor choice of words.)

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