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Oscars 2016: BAFTA Nominations

BAFTA nominations time. This is where we see cultural divides — which films do well with Americans but not with the Brits, and get an idea of what those surprise acting nominees are gonna be.

Generally they’re pretty much in line, but you know, every little bit helps.

Here are the BAFTA nominees:

Best Film

Arrival

I, Daniel Blake

La La Land

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

This makes sense. I’d say those four are the frontrunners for Best Picture as I’ve seen it so far, and they always have the one token British nominee (which is also a really good film at that) in there. Solid list all around.

I’d be pretty surprised if La La Land didn’t win this. Moonlight doesn’t seem like it would resonate over there as much as it would here. I would see Manchester as the bigger spoiler, but maybe I’m wrong. I still figure this is another 2011 scenario. The Artist did win BAFTA too. This has been shaping up like a 2011 scenario for the past six weeks.

Outstanding British film

American Honey

Denial

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

I, Daniel Blake

Notes on Blindness

Under the Shadow

Nice to see American Honey on here. Great job. Denial — sure. Whatever. Fantastic Beasts is nice to see. Daniel Blake being on twice dilutes any chance it has, though I get how they vote these things. No idea what Notes on Blindness is, and Under the Shadow, maybe I’ve heard about because it was the Foreign Language submission.

Either way, I’m guessing Daniel Blake wins this, though I’d love to see American Honey sneak in there.

Best Director

Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals

Ken Loach, I, Daniel Blake

Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

No Best Director for Moonlight. Wow.

Tom Ford does seem like he might sneak on there for the Oscars too. So I’m not so surprised. But at the expense of Barry Jenkins. That tells you everything you need to know.

Chazelle should win this, unless they go out on a limb and give it to Ford or Loach. But I doubt it. I think they’re already sold on this one.

Best Actor

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge

Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Jake Gyllenhaal, Nocturnal Animals

Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Four of these people seem locked for the Oscars. At this point, it would be surprising if Mortensen wasn’t nominated.

The fifth spot is still open. Gyllenhaal continues his streak of precursor nominations and being shut out at the Oscars (I’m assuming). I don’t particularly think he should be nominated, but this keeps him in the conversation. So that’s nice.

Casey Affleck should win this, unless they really decide to go all in on La La Land. Which I doubt.

Best Actress

Amy Adams, Arrival

Emily Blunt, The Girl on the Train

Natalie Portman, Jackie

Emma Stone, La La Land

Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Emily Blunt now has both SAG and BAFTA nominations. And yet, doesn’t it feel like she has no chance at the Oscar nomination?

I thought for sure I’d see Huppert here, and, much like 2012, I think that’s how the Oscars will go. Remember when Helen Mirren basically swept the precursors for Hitchcock, yet you knew there was no real chance she’d be nominated? And then Emmanuelle Riva was nominated instead. Or 2014, with Jennifer Aniston. And Marion Cotillard got on instead. This is setting up to be exactly like that.

Otherwise, Adams, Portman and Stone are locked. Meryl will likely get on because she’s Meryl, even though they better fucking not leave off Ruth Negga, which would be a goddamn shame.

They’ll probably give this to Portman, but keep an eye out for Emma Stone, who could mount a nice campaign in a year that is currently not locked.

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water

Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins

Dev Patel, Lion

Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

This might be your category. I haven’t seen Michael Shannon get a whole lot of support elsewhere, and with the Globe win, Aaron Taylor-Johnson has to be considered a major contender.

Lucas Hedges is also a strong contender for Manchester. I guess that knocks off Hugh Grant. Curious to see where this ends up. But this category does seem much more interesting than the others.

No real idea who wins. Taylor-Johnson doesn’t seem like he’s gonna sweep his way to the Oscars. Ali sounds like the more solid bet. But I honestly have no idea at this point.

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis, Fences

Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Nicole Kidman, Lion

Hayley Squires, I, Daniel Blake

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Davis, Harris, Kidman, Williams — all basically locked. The only question is that fifth spot.

Hidden Figures, maybe. Maybe a Janelle Monae sneak on? Octavia Spencer has the precursors to work. Is there someone else I’m not thinking of? We’ll see. This weekend is when I start actually thinking about it.

Viola Davis should cruise to an easy win.

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water

I, Daniel Blake

La La Land

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

This makes sense for them. Most of these should be nominated. Not gonna speculate on who wins, because this is different from what the US does. Moonlight is going Adapted, I think they said.

It should be Manchester or Moonlight, but I’m not ruling out a La La Land sweep at this point.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

Hidden Figures

Lion

Nocturnal Animals

Yeah, that looks about right.

Probably Nocturnal. I feel like they’re gonna get Tom Ford something. But Arrival makes the most sense, I’d think.

Outstanding Debut by a British Writer, Director or Producer

The Girl with All the Gifts

The Hard Stop

Notes on Blindness

The Pass

Under the Shadow

THE GIRL WITH ALL THE GIFTS WAS AMAZING.

That’s all.

Best Foreign Language Film

Dheepan

Julieta

Mustang

Son of Saul

Toni Erdmann

They’re not in sync with the Oscars, so sure.

Son of Saul is still the best film on this list, just saying.

Best Documentary

The Beatles: Eight Days a Week – The Touring Years

The Eagle Huntress

Notes on Blindness

13th

Weiner

Sure.

They’ll probably give it to 13th.

Best Animated Film

Finding Dory

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

Zootopia

Great. The four movies we’re all assuming get on. Big help, guys.

Still figuring Zootopia wins the whole thing, but I’m rooting for Kubo or Moana. Not that this really means a whole lot to me. BAFTA isn’t typically a big help in these things.

Best Score

Arrival

Jackie

La La Land

Lion

Nocturnal Animals

Arrival isn’t eligible, but nice to see it on there.

This might be 3/5 of your Oscar list.

La La Land will win.

Best Cinematography

Arrival

Hell or High Water

La La Land

Lion

Nocturnal Animals

La La Land or Arrival, I’m guessing. Otherwise, cool.

Also, damn, they loved them some Nocturnal Animals, didn’t they?

Best Editing

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land

Manchester by the Sea

Nocturnal Animals

Sounds okay. Editing doesn’t seem as tied to Picture as it does for the Oscars. Though this clearly tells you which films they liked best.

No clue what wins. Probably La La Land or Hacksaw.

Best Production Design

Doctor Strange

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Hail, Caesar!

La La Land

Nocturnal Animals

Production Design too on Nocturnal? Okay.

I don’t particularly love all the nominees, but sure. They sound okay on paper, so fine. Not sure there’s much of a correlation, but maybe there’s an odd or end that could influence a potential nominee.

No idea what wins. I imagine La La Land, just because you’d think the musical had nice sets and stuff, but they could go any way.

Best Costume Design

Allied

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Florence Foster Jenkins

Jackie

La La Land

Cool.

I like how this is all Allied gets.

Florence might win. Though Jackie looks like a clear frontrunner all around.

Best Makeup and Hair

Doctor Strange

Florence Foster Jenkins

Hacksaw Ridge

Nocturnal Animals

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Florence Foster Jenkins is the only one shortlisted, if memory serves. Which pretty much tells me all I need to know.

Best Visual Effects

Arrival

Doctor Strange

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

The Jungle Book

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Sounds fine to me. I can’t really look at them for nominees, as far as I know. I’ll see if I can, but right now, I don’t think of any correlation between BAFTA Visual Effects and Oscars. But this list seems okay.

Best Sound

Arrival

Deepwater Horizon

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land

Now this I know is meaningless for the Oscars. It’s one category. This means nothing to me except — Deepwater? What? That’s a random pull for them.

Best Animated British Short

The Alan Dimension

A Love Story

Tough

Sure?

Best British Live-Action Short

Consumed

Home

Mouth of Hell

The Party

Standby

K.

EE Rising Star award

Laia Costa

Lucas Hedges

Tom Holland

Ruth Negga

Anya Taylor-Joy

Nice category.

– – – – – – – – – –

The more interesting article is coming in about thirty minutes.

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3 responses

  1. Elle wasn’t BAFTA-eligible this year. It will be next year. So Huppert’s chances shouldn’t be too much changed by this.

    Also, Mirren may have gotten some nominations for Hitchcock, but Huppert has been racking up wins—and in a more acclaimed film, to boot.

    January 10, 2017 at 7:29 pm

    • Oh, I meant that in the case of Emily Blunt, not Huppert. Huppert for sure should get nominated. Blunt shouldn’t end up anywhere near a list.

      January 10, 2017 at 7:47 pm

      • Ah, I misread. Apologies.

        January 10, 2017 at 7:59 pm

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