Oscars 2016 Category Breakdown: Best Documentary Short-Subject

Every year before the Oscars I break down each of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with the category, how it typically goes, voting-wise, historically and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.

What I do is go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have voted, how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win. So you know what the general favorites are.

We begin with Best Documentary Short. AKA “What issue will the white people make themselves feel good about pretending to solve this year?”

The great thing about this category is that they’re very open and obvious about what they go for. Kind of like Best Live-Action Short, but with a smaller margin of random decisions. This one is one where, with enough experience, you can immediately spot the one that’s for them.

Here are the last bunch of winners:

• 2015 — Honor killing in the Middle East.
• 2014 — Hotline for veterans having PTSD problems.
• 2013 — Holocaust survivor plays music every day and used music to overcome the horrors she’s encountered in her life
• 2012 — Homeless girl paints in order to overcome her situation and surroundings.
• 2011 — Doctor who performs surgeries on Iranian women who have had acid thrown in their faces
• 2010 — School in Israel has kids from 30 different countries and all different backgrounds coming together to learn
• 2009 — A girl with a deformity overcomes the prejudice against people with her condition (in her country, people with her deformity are usually left for dead or cast aside) to make music
• 2008 — A little girl in India is given surgery to fix a cleft palate.
• 2007 — A dying police officer wants her death benefits to go to her partner, but the state won’t allow it because they don’t consider same-sex relationships to be legitimate
• 2006 — Children in China lost their parents to AIDS

This year, they made it pretty easy. Three of the nominees are about Aleppo. Plus one Holocaust/uplifting one and one “end of life” one.

Best Documentary Short

4.1 Miles

Extremis

Joe’s Violin

Watani: My Homeland

The White Helmets

4.1 Miles is about a coast guard captain on a remote Greek island who is charged with the saving thousands of migrants crossing the Aegean Sea during the European migrant crisis. Here’s the doc itself.

Extremis — Witness the wrenching emotions that accompany end-of-life decisions as doctors, patients and families in a hospital ICU face harrowing choices. Have a Netflix account (or someone else’s password)? Watch the film there.

Joe’s Violin — A 91-year-old Holocaust survivor’s violin donation during an instrument drive changes the life of a 12-year-old girl from the Bronx.

Watani: My Homeland is the story of one family’s fight and struggle to survive the Syrian Civil War. Having lost her husband, the mother makes the heart achingly painful decision to leave her homeland, in search of safety and a brighter future for her children. Filmed over three years, the film chronicles the family’s journey from the front-line in Aleppo, to a little town in Germany. Escaping the chaos and terror of their war torn homeland becomes a catalyst for a different kind of struggle; the struggle to understand your past and accept your present, to adapt to a new life, to hold on to hope, and the idea of belonging to a homeland.

This is the only one not readily available to watch.

The White Helmets — As daily airstrikes pound civilian targets in Syria, a group of indomitable first responders risk their lives to rescue victims from the rubble. Netflix? Watch it there.

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You pretty much just need to guess how you guess how you think it’s gonna go, based on their previous choices. Generally it’s not that hard to figure out.

Rankings:

5. 4.1 Miles — I feel like, of the three Aleppo documentaries, this is the slightest. It’s got harrowing footage, but that’s just it. Footage. There’s no story here for them to grasp onto. It’s just a general “refugee” thing. And with other choices, I think this is the one that falls by the wayside, ultimately.

4. Joe’s Violin — It’s a 91-year-old Holocaust survivor giving a violin to an inner-city black child. You’d think they’d be all over this. But there’s really not a whole lot there. It sounds better on paper than it is in person. Don’t think they’re gonna go for this, ultimately. They’ve ignored these kinds of docs the last few years, by and large. They typically only go here when there’s not a “major issue” doc to pick instead. And there’s clearly one of those this year.

3. Extremis — This theoretically could jump up and win. End of life decisions can be difficult. We’ll see. I’m gonna give it a back seat to Aleppo for now, but put it firmly in the “can happen” territory. It’s a decent documentary. I wasn’t particularly moved. I just watched people deal with loved ones probably never waking up and how they respond to that. It’s fine. Maybe it wins. I’m thinking probably not. This was like Body Team 12 last year. It was fine, but it didn’t do much for me, and ultimately they went for the more emotional choice.

2. Watani: My Homeland — I haven’t seen it, so I can’t gauge for sure until I do. I have a feeling they’re gonna go for Aleppo, and this has a story they can get behind. So this could win. I’ll know more when I see it. But let’s call this second choice at the moment.

1. The White Helmets — I can’t see this not winning. It’s already been picked up as a feature, it’s on Netflix, which means people will have seen it and probably heard of it, and it’s especially got word of mouth now that the people involved with it can’t attend the ceremony because of the Muslim ban. I’m thinking this might be a lock. You can’t ever say that for sure, but I’m feeling as good about this as a favorite as I have about anything in this category the past handful of years.

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Tomorrow is Best Makeup & Hairstyling.

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