Advertisements

Oscars 2016 Category Breakdown: Best Production Design

Every year before the Oscars I break down each of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with the category, how it typically goes, voting-wise, historically and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.

What I do is go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have voted, how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win. So you know what the general favorites are.

Today is Best Production Design.

Year Best Production Design Winners Other Nominees
1927-1928 The Dove & Tempest Seventh Heaven

Sunrise

1928-1929 The Bridge of San Luis Rey Dynamite

Alibi

The Awakening

The Patriot

Sunrise

1929-1930 King of Jazz Bulldog Drummond

The Love Parade

Sally

The Vagabond King

1930-1931 Cimarron Just Imagine

Morocco

Svengali

Whoopee!

1931-1932 Transatlantic À nous la liberté

Arrowsmith

1932-1933 Cavalcade A Farewell to Arms

When Ladies Meet

1934 The Merry Widow The Gay Divorcee

The Affairs of Cellini

1935 The Dark Angel The Lives of a Bengal Lancer

Top Hat

1936 Dodsworth Anthony Adverse

The Great Ziegfeld

Lloyd’s of London

The Magnificent Brute

Romeo and Juliet

Winterset

1937 Lost Horizon Conquest

A Damsel in Distress

Dead End

Every Day’s a Holiday

The Life of Emile Zola

Manhattan Merry-Go-Round

The Prisoner of Zenda

Souls at Sea

Vogues of 1938

Wee Willie Winkie

You’re a Sweetheart

1938 The Adventures of Robin Hood The Adventures of Tom Sawyer

Alexander’s Ragtime Band

Algiers

Carefree

The Goldwyn Follies

Holiday

If I Were King

Mad About Music

Marie Antoinette

Merrily We Live

1939 Gone With the Wind Beau Geste

Captain Fury

First Love

Love Affair

Man of Conquest

Mr. Smith Goes to Washington

The Private Lives of Elizabeth and Essex

The Rains Came

Stagecoach

The Wizard of Oz

Wuthering Heights

1940 Black and White: Pride and Prejudice

Color: The Thief of Bagdad

Black and White: Arise, My Love

Arizona

The Boys from Syracuse

Dark Command

Foreign Correspondent

Lillian Russell

My Favorite Wife

My Son, My Son

Our Town

Rebecca

The Sea Hawk

The Westerner

Color: Bitter Sweet

Down Argentine Way

North West Mounted Police

1941 Black and White: How Green Was My Valley

Color: Blossoms in the Dust

Black and White: Citizen Kane

The Flame of New Orleans

Hold Back the Dawn

Ladies in Retirement

The Little Foxes

Sergeant York

Son of Monte Cristo

Sundown

That Hamilton Woman

When Ladies Meet

Color: Blood and Sand

Louisiana Purchase

1942 Black and White: This Above All

Color: My Gal Sal

Black and White: George Washington Slept Here

The Magnificent Ambersons

The Pride of the Yankes

Random Harvest

The Shanghai Gesture

Silver Queen

The Spoilers

Take a Letter, Darling

The Talk of the Town

Color: Arabian Nights

Captains of the Clouds

Jungle Book

Reap the Wild Wind

1943 Black and White: The Song of Bernadette

Color: Phantom of the Opera

Black and White: Five Graves to Cairo

Fight for Freedom

Madame Curie

Mission to Moscow

The North Star

Color: For Whom the Bell Tolls

The Gang’s All Here

This Is the Army

Thousands Cheer

1944 Black and White: Gaslight

Color: Wilson

Black and White: Address Unknown

The Adventures of Mark Twain

Casanova Brown

Laura

No Time for Love

Since You Went Away

Step Lively

Color: The Climax

Cover Girl

The Desert Song

Kismet

Lady in the Dark

The Princess and the Pirate

1945 Black and White: Blood on the Sun

Color: Frenchman’s Creek

Black and White: Experiment Perilous

The Keys of the Kingdom

Love Letters

The Picture of Dorian Gray

Color: Leave Her to Heaven

National Velvet

San Antonio

A Thousand and One Nights

1946 Black and White: Anna and the King of Siam

Color: The Yearling

Black and White: Kitty

The Razor’s Edge

Color: Caesar and Cleopatra

Henry V

1947 Black and White: Great Expectations

Color: Black Narcissus

Black and White: The Foxes of Harrow

Color: Life with Father

1948 Black and White: Hamlet

Color: The Red Shoes

Black and White: Johnny Belinda

Color: Joan of Arc

1949 Black and White: The Heiress

Color: Little Women

Black and White: Come to the Stable

Madame Bovary

Color: Adventures of Don Juan

Sarabond for Dead Lovers

1950 Black and White: Sunset Boulevard

Color: Samson and Delilah

Black and White: All About Eve

The Red Danube

Color: Annie Get Your Gun

Destination Moon

1951 Black and White: A Streetcar Named Desire

Color: An American in Paris

Black and White: Fourteen Hours

House on Telegraph Hill

La Ronde

Too Young to Kiss

Color: David and Bathsheba

On the Riviera

Quo Vadis

The Tales of Hoffmann

1952 Black and White:  The Bad and the Beautiful

Color: Moulin Rouge

Black and White: Carrie

My Cousin Rachel

Rashomon

Viva Zapata!

Color: Hans Christian Andersen

The Merry Widow

The Quiet Man

The Snows of Kilimanjaro

1953 Black and White:  Julius Caesar

Color: The Robe

Black and White: Martin Luther

The President’s Lady

Roman Holiday

Titanic

Color: Knights of the Round Table

Lili

The Story of Three Loves

Young Bess

1954 Black and White: On the Waterfront

Color: 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea

Black and White: The Country Girl

Executive Suite

Le Plaisir

Sabrina

Color: Brigadoon

Désirée

Red Garters

A Star is Born

1955 Black and White: The Rose Tattoo

Color: Picnic

Black and White: Blackboard Jungle

I’ll Cry Tomorrow

The Man with the Golden Arm

Marty

Color: Daddy Long Legs

Guys and Dolls

Love is a Many-Splendored Thing

To Catch a Thief

1956 Black and White: Somebody Up There Likes Me

Color: The King and I

Black and White: Seven Samurai

The Proud and the Profane

The Solid Gold Cadillac

Teenage Rebel

Color: Around the World in 80 Days

Giant

Lust for Life

The Ten Commandments

1957 Sayonara Funny Face

Les Girls

Pal Joey

Raintree County

1958 Gigi Auntie Mame

Bell, Book and Candle

A Certain Smile

Vertigo

1959 Black and White: The Diary of Anne Frank

Color: Ben-Hur

Black and White: Career

The Last Angry Man

Some Like It Hot

Suddenly, Last Summer

Color: The Big Fisherman

Journey to the Center of the Earth

North by Northwest

Pillow Talk

1960 Black and White: The Apartment

Color: Spartacus

Black and White: The Facts of Life

Psycho

Sons and Lovers

Visit to a Small Planet

Color: Cimarron

It Started in Naples

Pepe

Sunrise at Campobello

1961 Black and White: The Hustler

Color: West Side Story

Black and White: The Absent-Minded Professor

The Children’s Hour

Judgment at Nuremberg

La Dolce Vita

Color: Breakfast at Tiffany’s

El Cid

Flower Drum Song

Summer and Smoke

1962 Black and White: To Kill a Mockingbird

Color: Lawrence of Arabia

Black and White: The Music Man

Mutiny on the Bounty

That Touch of Mink

The Wonderful World of the Brothers Grimm

Color: Days of Wine and Roses

The Longest Day

Period of Adjustment

The Pigeon That Took Rome

1963 Black and White: America America

Color: Cleopatra

Black and White: 8 ½

Hud

Love with the Proper Stranger

Twilight of Honor

Color: The Cardinal

Come Blow Your Horn

How the West Was Won

Tom Jones

1964 Black and White: Zorba the Greek

Color: My Fair Lady

Black and White: The Americanization of Emily

Hush… Hush, Sweet Charlotte

The Night of the Iguana

Seven Days in May

Color: Becket

Mary Poppins

The Unsinkable Molly Brown

What a Way to Go!

1965 Black and White: Ship of Fools

Color: Doctor Zhivago

Black and White: King Rat

A Patch of Blue

The Slender Thread

The Spy Who Came in from the Cold

Color: The Agony and the Ecstasy

The Greatest Story Ever Told

Inside Daisy Clover

The Sound of Music

1966 Black and White: Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Color: Fantastic Voyage

Black and White: The Fortune Cookie

The Gospel According to St. Matthew

Is Paris Burning?

Mister Buddwing

Color: Gambit

Juliet of the Spirits

The Oscar

The Sand Pebbles

1967 Camelot Doctor Dolittle

Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner

The Taming of the Shrew

Thoroughly Modern Millie

1968 Oliver! The Shoes of the Fisherman

Star!

2001: A Space Odyssey

War and Peace

1969 Hello, Dolly! Anne of the Thousand Days

Gaily, Gaily

Sweet Charity

They Shoot Horses, Don’t They?

1970 Patton Airport

The Molly Maguires

Scrooge

Tora! Tora! Tora!

1971 Nicholas and Alexandra The Andromeda Strain

Bedknobs and Broomsticks

Fiddler on the Roof

Mary, Queen of Scots

1972 Cabaret Lady Sings the Blues

The Poseidon Adventure

Travels with My Aunt

Young Winston

1973 The Sting Brother Sun, Sister Moon

The Exorcist

Tom Sawyer

The Way We Were

1974 The Godfather Part II Chinatown

Earthquake

The Island at the Top of the World

The Towering Inferno

1975 Barry Lyndon The Hindenburg

The Man Who Would Be King

Shampoo

The Sunshine Boys

1976 All the President’s Men The Incredible Sarah

The Last Tycoon

Logan’s Run

The Shootist

1977 Star Wars Airport ‘77

Close Encounters of the Third Kind

The Spy Who Loved Me

The Turning Point

1978 Heaven Can Wait The Brink’s Job

California Suite

Interiors

The Wiz

1979 All That Jazz Alien

Apocalypse Now

The China Syndrome

Star Trek

1980 Tess Coal Miner’s Daughter

The Elephant Man

The Empire Strikes Back

Kagemusha

1981 Raiders of the Lost Ark The French Lieutenant’s Woman

Heaven’s Gate

Ragtime

Reds

1982 Gandhi Annie

Blade Runner

La traviata

Victor Victoria

1983 Fanny and Alexander Return of the Jedi

The Right Stuff

Terms of Endearment

Yentl

1984 Amadeus The Cotton Club

The Natural

A Passage to India

2010

1985 Out of Africa Brazil

The Color Purple

Ran

Witness

1986 A Room with a View Aliens

The Color of Money

Hannah and Her Sisters

The Mission

1987 The Last Emperor Empire of the Sun

Hope and Glory

Radio Days

The Untouchables

1988 Dangerous Liaisons Beaches

Rain Man

Tucker: The Man and His Dream

Who Framed Roger Rabbit

1989 Batman The Abyss

The Adventures of Baron Munchausen

Driving Miss Daisy

Glory

1990 Dick Tracy Cyrano de Bergerac

Dances with Wolves

The Godfather Part III

Hamlet

1991 Bugsy Barton Fink

The Fisher King

Hook

The Prince of Tides

1992 Howards End Bram Stoker’s Dracula

Chaplin

Toys

Unforgiven

1993 Schindler’s List Addams Family Values

The Age of Innocence

Orlando

The Remains of the Day

1994 The Madness of King George Bullets Over Broadway

Forrest Gump

Interview with the Vampire

Legends of the Fall

1995 Restoration Apollo 13

Babe

A Little Princess

Richard III

1996 The English Patient The Birdcage

Evita

Hamlet

William Shakespeare’s Romeo + Juliet

1997 Titanic Titanic

Gattaca

Kundun

L.A. Confidential

Men in Black

1998 Shakespeare in Love Elizabeth

Pleasantville

Saving Private Ryan

What Dreams May Come

1999 Sleepy Hollow Anna and the King

The Cider House Rules

The Talented Mr. Ripley

Topsy-Turvy

2000 Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Gladiator

How the Grinch Stole Christmas

Quills

Vatel

2001 Moulin Rouge! Amélie

Gosford Park

Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone

The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

2002 Chicago Frida

Gangs of New York

The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

Road to Perdition

2003 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King Girl with a Pearl Earring

The Last Samurai

Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Seabiscuit

2004 The Aviator Finding Neverland

Lemony Snicket’s A Series of Unfortunate Events

The Phantom of the Opera

A Very Long Engagement

2005 Memoirs of a Geisha Good Night, and Good Luck.

Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix

King Kong

Pride & Prejudice

2006 Pan’s Labyrinth Dreamgirls

The Good Shepherd

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest

The Prestige

2007 Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street American Gangster

Atonement

The Golden Compass

There Will Be Blood

2008 The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Changeling

The Dark Knight

The Duchess

Revolutionary Road

2009 Avatar The Imaginarium of Dr. Parnassus

Nine

Sherlock Holmes

The Young Victoria

2010 Alice in Wonderland Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1

Inception

The King’s Speech

True Grit

2011 Hugo The Artist

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2

Midnight in Paris

War Horse

2012 Lincoln Anna Karenina

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Les Misérables

Life of Pi

2013 The Great Gatsby American Hustle

Gravity

Her

12 Years a Slave

2014 The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game

Interstellar

Into the Woods

Mr. Turner

2015 Mad Max: Fury Road Bridge of Spies

The Danish Girl

The Martian

The Revenant 

ADG vs. the Oscars:

  • 1996 (the first year they gave out awards) — The English Patient matched.
  • 1997 — Titanic matched.
  • 1998 — Shakespeare in Love did not match. (What Dreams May Come won ADG.)
  • 1999 — Sleepy Hollow matched.
  • 2000 — Crouching Tiger did not. (Gladiator won ADG, but that was back when it was a combined Period and Fantasy category.)
  • 2001 — Moulin Rouge matched.
  • 2002 — Chicago did not. (Two Towers won ADG, but that was before they separated the categories).
  • 2003 — Return of the King matched.
  • 2004 — The Aviator did not. (Lemony Snicket won ADG. But again, before they separated the categories.)
  • 2005 — Memoirs of a Geisha matched.

Then they split the categories. And…

  • 2006 — Pan’s Labyrinth matched.
  • 2007 — Sweeney Todd did not. (ADG went There Will Be Blood.)
  • 2008 — Benjamin Button matched.
  • 2009 — Avatar matched.
  • 2010 — Alice in Wonderland did not.
  • 2011 — Hugo matched.
  • 2012 — Lincoln did not. (ADG went Anna Karenina for Period.)
  • 2013 — The Great Gatsby matched.
  • 2014 — The Grand Budapest Hotel matched.
  • 2015 — Mad Max: Fury Road matched.

So, in 20 years when the award was given out, ADG matched up 13 times. Of the seven that did not match:

  • 1998 — the Best Picture winner won the category.
  • 2000 — the Best Picture winner ended up winning ADG but losing the Oscar.
  • 2002 — the Best Picture winner wins the category.
  • 2004 — The Aviator (kind of a Best Picture favorite) wins the category.

And since they split the categories, ADG only missed three times. Here they are:

  • 2007 — A Tim Burton film wins.
  • 2010 — A Tim Burton film wins.
  • 2012 — Anna Karenina probably should have won, but they decided to give Lincoln an award. That was one of the surprises of the night that year.

But really what this tells us is, ADG more than likely will match the Oscar winner.

And this year, here are your winners:

Contemporary went to La La Land

Fantasy went to Passengers

Period went to Hidden Figures

BAFTA gave their award to Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

BFCA went to La La Land

Which doesn’t particularly help us much at all.

No matter how much you can reason your way through this category, it’s still wide open. This could be a real surprise on Oscar night. The bigger categories shouldn’t give us too many surprises, so we have to look to these categories as the ones where they might do something weird.

Best Production Design

Arrival

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Hail, Caesar!

La La Land

Passengers

Passengers came up out of nowhere here. The other four were expected, but that one was just a head scratcher.

Rankings:

5. Passengers — I know it won the ADG for Fantasy over Fantastic Beasts, but think about it this way — 6,000 people are gonna look at ballots. How many of them have even seen Passengers? And whether they have or they haven’t, what do they think about it? The perception is that it’s a huge bomb that didn’t do well. And the reviews were “meh.” Why would they vote for that? You know how it gets votes? “I heard that was great. People are raving about how they built that giant set.” If all they see when they look at this is negative connotations, how is that gonna get it to win? I can’t see this as being anything other than the fifth choice here. If it wins, then fuck me and I’m stupid. But barring that, I can’t see them giving this votes.

4. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them — Take everything I said about Passengers, and replace “bomb” with “Harry Potter.” They know this franchise. Not all of them have seen it, but they know what it is. They’re not in the castle that people recognize. This is a prequel. So what you’re left with is another Hobbit. They’ll nominate it and then it’ll immediately fall to the back of the category because no Harry Potter movie has ever won an Oscar. Not even for John Williams. They’ll think it’s fine but they won’t vote for it. It would be #5 if not for Passengers. There are no negative connotations. Just no real desire to vote for it. It has a BAFTA win, but that’s because they like voting for British stuff. This shouldn’t win.

3. Hail, Caesar! — It fits. Classical Hollywood studio era sets. But did the film come out too early to get the votes? That’s my concern. It won no precursors and managed no other nominations. It’ll catch a few stray votes, but will it get enough to actually win the category? It could happen, but it’s nowhere near the favorite. This is one of those rare categories where we actually go three deep and could have a winner.

2. Arrival — Best Picture nominee, eight overall nominations, a general liking across the board. No precursors, but it’s definitely got memorable sets and locations, which helps it. Plus, they might look to get it something. I know it’s not an exact comparison, but think about Lincoln. 12 nominations. They looked to get it something, and it won Production Design along with Actor. I’m not saying that will happen, but you have to figure something with as high a profile as this among the other nominees has to be considered more of a contender than a giant flop, a fantasy franchise that’s never won and a movie that was liked but came out in February and isn’t much remembered. So for now, second choice.

1. La La Land — It’s your probable Best Picture winner, it’s gonna win at least 6 Oscars. Probably closer to 8. This could easily be one of those. Plus, it won ADG and BFCA. People are gonna vote for it all over, and it will get votes here because while it is contemporary, it is a musical and people will remember that. I’m not saying it should win this category, I’m saying that at this moment in time, it is the favorite and the film most likely to win and the film you need to beat. It can happen very easily, and this will be one of the big categories for me in two weeks when we pick, but for now, this is the only film that can be considered a favorite based on any empirical data we have to go on.

– – – – – – – – – –

Tomorrow is Best Visual Effects.

http://bplusmovieblog.com

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s