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The 89th Academy Awards Scorecard

This is my new measuring stick for how well I’m doing guessing the Oscars. Rather than simply being right or wrong, this is about how well you can guess everything.

What you do is take every category and rank all the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning. If the nominee ranked #1 wins, you get 1 point. If #2 wins, you get 2 points. And you tally everything up. A perfect score would be a 24 (meaning your #1 in every category won). The only time it could be confusing is if a tie happens, but in 88 years it’s only happened six times. So we’ll deal with that should the situation arise.

Really what this does is interest someone like me, who likes to take an entire category and actually parse through what spot each of the nominees is in.  To me, the words “that’s a #4” mean something. This is my way of quantifying that.

So here is my Scorecard Ballot for this year:

Best Picture

  1. La La Land
  2. Moonlight
  3. Hidden Figures
  4. Hell or High Water
  5. Manchester by the Sea
  6. Hacksaw Ridge
  7. Lion
  8. Arrival
  9. Fences

Best Director

  1. Damien Chazelle, La La Land
  2. Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
  3. Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
  4. Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
  5. Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

Best Actor

  1. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
  2. Denzel Washington, Fences
  3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  4. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
  5. Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Best Actress

  1. Emma Stone, La La Land
  2. Isabelle Huppert, Elle
  3. Natalie Portman, Jackie
  4. Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
  5. Ruth Negga, Loving

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
  2. Dev Patel, Lion
  3. Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
  4. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  5. Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Viola Davis, Fences
  2. Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  3. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
  4. Nicole Kidman, Lion
  5. Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Manchester by the Sea
  2. La La Land
  3. Hell or High Water
  4. The Lobster
  5. 20th Century Women

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. Moonlight
  2. Arrival
  3. Hidden Figures
  4. Lion
  5. Fences

Best Editing

  1. La La Land
  2. Hacksaw Ridge
  3. Arrival
  4. Moonlight
  5. Hell or High Water

Best Cinematography

  1. La La Land
  2. Lion
  3. Moonlight
  4. Arrival
  5. Silence

Best Original Score

  1. La La Land
  2. Lion
  3. Moonlight
  4. Jackie
  5. Passengers

Best Original Song

  1. “City of Stars,” from La La Land
  2. “How Far I’ll Go,” from Moana
  3. “Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” from La La Land
  4. “Can’t Stop the Feeling!” from Trolls
  5. “The Empty Chair,” from Jim: The James Foley Story

Best Production Design

  1. La La Land
  2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  3. Hail, Caesar!
  4. Arrival
  5. Passengers

Best Costume Design

  1. Jackie
  2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  3. La La Land
  4. Florence Foster Jenkins
  5. Allied

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

  1. Star Trek Beyond
  2. Suicide Squad
  3. A Man Called Ove

Best Visual Effects

  1. The Jungle Book
  2. Kubo and the Two Strings
  3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
  4. Doctor Strange
  5. Deepwater Horizon

Best Sound Editing

  1. Hacksaw Ridge
  2. La La Land
  3. Arrival
  4. Sully
  5. Deepwater Horizon

Best Sound Mixing

  1. La La Land
  2. Hacksaw Ridge
  3. Arrival
  4. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
  5. 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Best Animated Feature

  1. Zootopia
  2. Kubo and the Two Strings
  3. Moana
  4. The Red Turtle
  5. My Life as a Zucchini

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. The Salesman
  2. Toni Erdmann
  3. A Man Called Ove
  4. Land of Mine
  5. Tanna

Best Documentary

  1. O.J. Made in America
  2. 13th
  3. I Am Not Your Negro
  4. Life, Animated
  5. Fire at Sea

Best Documentary Short

  1. The White Helmets
  2. Watani: My Homeland
  3. Extremis
  4. Joe’s Violin
  5. 4.1 Miles

Best Live-Action Short

  1. Timecode
  2. Ennemis Interieurs
  3. La Femme et le TGV
  4. Sing
  5. Silent Nights

Best Animated Short

  1. Pearl
  2. Piper
  3. Borrowed Time
  4. Pear Cider and Cigarettes
  5. Blind Vaysha

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