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Oscars 2017: Golden Globe Nominations

You can always count on the Globes to kick the season off with a bang. We’re here, guys. This is when it all officially begins.

Like usual, I can’t be bothered to wake up at 5am to see these happen live, so I’m finding out what was nominated as I go. Which means you get my unfiltered opinions on each of the categories as we go.

As I say every year — the Golden Globes mean very little to me, but since they do sort of set the pace for the season, they do have a modicum of importance. So let’s not take whatever’s here as scripture and more as a guideline for what might happen (and amusement, because after all, this is the most corrupt of all the voting bodies).

Here are your Globe nominees for this year:

Best Picture – Drama

Call Me By Your Name

Dunkirk

The Post

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Three Billboards nomination surprised me. I really didn’t think they’d go there. Love that they did it, just wasn’t expecting it. Dunkirk makes sense. That felt like it could have ended up as a Director-only kind of film. But sure. Makes sense.

Thought we might get Phantom Thread on here instead. But otherwise, they have about the same list as I’ve been seeing everywhere else, so it makes sense.

I assume they’re gonna vote for Call Me By Your Name when all is said and done. Unless they really go all in on The Post, which doesn’t feel like them. Call Me By Your Name and maybe Shape of Water if they really like it.

But knowing them, it’ll be Call Me By Your Name.

Best Picture – Musical/Comedy

The Disaster Artist

Get Out

The Greatest Showman

I, Tonya

Lady Bird

I thought we might see a Greatest Showman showing here. Token nomination. Not that it was bought, but — no one else has nominated it, you’ll notice.

No Big Sick either. That’s surprising. That was the fifth spot that got bumped off. But seeing that it doesn’t appear anywhere, I wonder if they just didn’t get it. It happens. The Globes always don’t like one seemingly major movie.

I suspect Get Out wins this, though I hope Lady Bird does.

Best Director

Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water

Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Ridley Scott, All the Money in the World

Steven Spielberg, The Post

Wow. Ridley. They really like him, don’t they?

Ridley over Guadagnino. That’s… okay.

McDonagh, too! Did not think they’d go all in on that movie. Really happy about it, just, surprised.

Nolan, Spielberg or Del Toro wins this. Depends if they wanna go double on Picture or not.

I feel like it’ll be Guillermo, in a weird way. Which I’m down for. I’d love to see him get that.

Best Actor – Drama

Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name

Tom Hanks, The Post

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

LOVE THIS CATEGORY.

Oldman is your frontrunner, naturally. Chalamet makes it on by being great, in a big movie, being in a weak year, and being in fucking everything this year. I saw him in Lady Bird and Hostiles so far. Hanks was automatic, Day-Lewis makes a lot of sense, and Denzel they love. I also love that he got on here, because I think that and Fences are the best work he’s done in years. Those two and Flight are legit his three best performances since Training Day. (Sorry, Man on Fire, you’re great too.)

I gotta see the Hanks performance again to see how much I love it (I’m either gonna think it’s just typical good or really, really good. It’s just a matter of paying attention to the work and not just the movie as a whole), but he was always gonna get on here.

Oldman should win this, unless they wanna do the Day-Lewis thing on his way out. We’ll see.

Best Actor – Musical/Comedy

Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes

Ansel Elgort, Baby Driver

James Franco, The Disaster Artist

Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman

Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Franco was the one for sure we all knew. And Kaluuya was also someone I’d have told you in my sleep would be on. Jackman had to get on here. Between that and Logan, I thought he’d be a major player in the overall race. But this one was automatic. Carell also would have been an easy guess. Elgort’s the only surprise. And by surprise I mean — the spot was a wild card, so sure. Good movie, he’s fine in it. No issues there.

Franco wins, unless they go all in on Get Out or Jackman’s making a legitimate play for the nomination.

Solid category, too.

Best Actress – Drama

Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Meryl Streep, The Post

Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World

That’s two for All the Money in the World. Interesting. Sometimes I wonder if they really like these movies or are just currying favor. That and The Greatest Showman are the only two big ones I’ve yet to see. (Those are the only two they haven’t shown to people yet. One for obvious reasons, the other… I’m not so sure about. Looking it up, The Greatest Showman does not appear on Fox’s awards list and is only 105 minutes long. That… is not a good sign. Methinks maybe the first time director didn’t come through.)

Anyway, the Williams one is surprising sight unseen, is all. Maybe in three weeks it makes complete sense. Not that we don’t already know what the probable Oscar list is, anyway.

Chastain was always gonna get it, Hawkins was a lock once everyone knew how Shape of Water was being received. McDormand was lock number two behind Meryl, who could do anything and get a Globe nomination.

Unless they’re going in on Meryl, I expect Hawkins or McDormand to take this. You’ll have a good idea which as the ceremony gets closer.

Best Actress – Musical/Comedy

Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul

Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker

Margot Robbie, I Tonya

Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes

So yeah. Take the top four from that list and add Saoirse Ronan and that’s your likely Oscar category.

Judi Dench is a veteran filler for an obvious role in a bland movie. They like her, that’s fine. Helen Mirren is here because they love Helen Mirren and will nominate her for anything. Nobody even knows what The Leisure Seeker is unless they’ve been frequenting indie theaters and saw the trailer in front of another Sony Classics movie (I saw it in front of Novitiate).

Robbie and Ronan were always locked. I said all along that Margot Robbie was a lock for a Globe nomination with that performance. Never gonna get the Oscar nom unless BAFTA goes in on her too. SAG will 100% nominate her, given their size (though once she gets left off there, it’s over). But if BAFTA does, then you have a legitimate contender. Otherwise, it’s just here. Emma Stone I thought could have won this at a point in time.

Stone won last year, so I think that’s over (unless she somehow didn’t win this category last year, which I can’t imagine she didn’t). I suspect Ronan or Robbie takes this, and it legitimately could go either way. I suspect Robbie is the favorite even though Ronan will likely get her second Best Actress nomination in three years and third nomination overall to show for it. (And she’s 23! Which is nuts!)

Best Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name

Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Dafoe and Rockwell were locks, and Armie Hammer was a pretty obvious call. If anyone was gonna love Call Me By Your Name, it’s the Hollywood Foreign Press. Jenkins was an easy call too, given that you knew they were gonna love Shape of Water.

Christopher Plummer is the only thing you really need to talk about with this category. Wow. That’s gotta be a statement, right? They nominated the role Spacey was gonna play up until three weeks ago. Consider that. Christopher Plummer shows up, does like four days of work MAX, and then less than two weeks after that he’s got a fucking Golden Globe nomination. Not bad if you can get it.

I suspect Dafoe or Rockwell takes this. Rockwell seems the favorite, unless they go in on Armie Hammer, which, after Aaron Taylor-Johnson, they might. Keep an eye on this one.

Best Supporting Actress

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

Hong Chau, Downsizing

Allison Janney, I Tonya

Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

No Holly Hunter. The Big Sick really didn’t resonate with them.

Spencer was a given, and she might carry this to yet another nomination. Metcalf and Janney are Oscar locks at this point. Hong Chau was the best thing about Downsizing (and possibly the only good thing), and they’re either following that narrative, supporting diversity, given a token nomination for an Alexander Payne film or some combination of all of the above. Still, I’m not opposed to it. And Mary J. Blige — I really need to see that movie again, because all I heard before it was how great she was, and then when I saw it I said, “She’s barely in this. What’s that all about?”

That, by the way, is Mudbound’s only major nomination. Which… that can’t just be a Netflix thing, right?

It’s Metcalf or Janney. Hard for me to think they’ll ignore Janney, but Metcalf really does seem like the favorite to me.

Best Screenplay

Lady Bird

Molly’s Game

The Post

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Go any which way you want in this one, it’s a winner.

The Post could win because of the political statement, Sorkin could win because Sorkin (he won for Jobs two years ago and I’m sure Social Network seven years ago), Shape of Water if they loved it enough (though that seems like the fifth choice in a close category), Lady Bird because they loved it, love Gerwig and wanna get her something, or McDonagh because obviously.

I suspect Three Billboards or Lady Bird wins this, unless they’re really looking to make that political statement.

Best Original Score

Dunkirk

Phantom Thread

The Post

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Sure. I like all these movies and this looks nice. Still unsure of how much of Phantom Thread was a Kubrick thing of compiling classical pieces and not using an original score, but the Globes have nominated Greenwood before, so I’m not surprised. I wanna see if he’s eligible for the Oscar or not.

Shape of Water, I really wanna hear that score isolated. Guillermo typically has great scores on his films.

Three Billboards, I couldn’t tell you what the score was. I don’t even remember it on top of all the other stuff in that movie.

The Post (John Williams) or Dunkirk (Hans Zimmer, war movie) wins this. Shape of Water is the dark horse.

Best Original Song

“Remember Me,” from Coco

“Home,” from Ferdinand

“This Is Me,” from The Greatest Showman

“Mighty River,” from Mudbound

“The Star,” from The Star

Mary J. Blige, Mariah Carey, Nick Jonas, the guy who did Book of Mormon and Frozen and the guys who did La La Land. Just in case you couldn’t catch the starfucking from the outset.

This category is, from year to year, a disgrace, so it doesn’t matter what’s on here or what wins.

Blige is your favorite because she’ll be there. Greatest Showman winning this would be a joke since they clearly don’t support it. Coco makes some sense, but who cares if it’s not “Let It Go,” right? Let’s assume Blige takes it.

Best Animated Feature

The Boss Baby

The Breadwinner

Coco

Ferdinand

Loving Vincent

Golden Globe nominee The Boss Baby.

Let’s not pretend like their opinions mean anything, but three of the five probable nominees are here. It’s the same three you’ve been seeing throughout. On top of that, they went with two studio movies. Sure. They usually do that.

Ferdinand is out this week, so we’ll know pretty soon if it’s a legitimate contender or not. Certainly doesn’t look like one. The Boss Baby — I mean, I’m down.

Coco wins this in a fucking landslide, by the way.

Best Foreign Language Film

A Fantastic Woman

First They Killed My Father

In the Fade

Loveless

The Square

This is the most basic bitch foreign category ever, complete with Angelina Jolie getting on here just so she’d show up. They are nothing if not predictable.

Take The Square and let Loveless beat you.

– – – – – – – – – –

And now for the TV categories I can give less than a shit about…

Best TV Series – Drama

The Crown

Game of Thrones

The Handmaid’s Tale

Stranger Things

This Is Us

Sure.

I assume they go Handmaid’s Tale. Stranger Things won last year (I think?) and I think they know they’re not gonna top that Winona Ryder gif from the SAG awards. If Stranger Things didn’t win last year, then that might win. They’re either ahead of the curve and cut bait early, or they give it a year too late. The Crown wins for acting, not full show, but who knows with them. This Is Us is the token network choice, and Game of Thrones has been around forever. That just gets nominated until it’s done.

Best TV Series – Comedy/Musical

Black-ish

Master of None

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

SMILF

Will and Grace

Black-ish is quite literally the token black show. Never once does it win.

No idea what Miss Maisel is.

Master of None is a show people say they like but I sort of tune out whenever people mention it.

SMILF seems like the show I know nothing about that wins. They like, in this category, picking a show no one really knows that’s gonna get a lot of acclaim and doesn’t quite have the audience yet. That’s the choice.

If they pick Will and Grace then they’re just going reactionary to fifteen years ago.

I think SMILF wins, based on absolutely nothing. Which is the best way to pick.

Best Miniseries or TV Movie

Big Little Lies

Fargo

Feud

The Sinner

Top of the Lake

Fargo’s on a down year (though some say it’s the best they’ve done). Don’t think that wins. Feud is meh as a choice, but they seem to like Murphy. The Sinner is a no. Top of the Lake seems like a no, since they’ve ignored it thus far. Big Little Lies seems the easy winner. Too much star power there to ignore. Giving them this allows them to bring Reese, Nicole and Shailene to the stage without actually having to vote for any of them individually.

This sounds like specious logic, but you underestimate how accurate this is to the voting body.

Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama

Jason Bateman, Ozark

Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us

Freddie Highmore, The Good Doctor

Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul

Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan

How many nominations is this for Liev?

Odenkirk is a mainstay here.

Highmore — sure? When I saw his name I thought Bates Motel. (Which, let’s also talk about how fucking scarily like a young Anthony Perkins he looks.) Apparently he plays a doctor on the spectrum. Makes sense.

This is either Brown or Bateman, and I think I have my money on Brown. (Though he probably lost for this last year and I took him then too. So Bateman will probably win.)

Best Actor in a TV Series – Comedy/Musical

Anthony Anderson, Black-ish

Aziz Ansari, Master of None

Kevin Bacon, I Love Dick

William H. Macy, Shameless

Erick McCormack, Will and Grace

For once can we just give it to Anthony Anderson?

Though this is the one year I’ll say — I’ll take Kevin Bacon. Though that show title is unfortunate.

Please don’t give it to Will and Grace. And Macy won last year and probably for like three years if you go back and look.

They’ll probably give it to Aziz, but — yawn.

Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama

Caitriona Balfe, Outlander

Claire Foy, The Crown

Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Deuce

Katherine Langford, 13 Reasons Why

Elizabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale

Moss wins. Foy’s a second choice, though she won last year. Maggie is very unlikely, Balfe didn’t win the first two seasons, so that’s very unlikely. And Langford — doubtful, but possible.

Moss seems like one of the biggest locks of the night, doesn’t she?

Best Actress in a TV Series – Comedy/Musical

Pamela Adlon, Better Things

Alison Brie, GLOW

Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Issa Rae, Insecure

Frankie Shaw, SMILF

I thought Issa Rae would win last year and I was wrong. Brie seems unlikely. Love the Adlon nomination. Still no idea what Maisel is.

Maybe Frankie Shaw wins? I’m thinking SMILF wins ONE award at least. So if it takes the big one, then I’ll switch my vote to someone else. If she wins, then I pick something else for the main award. That’s how I think that goes.

Best Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie

Robert De Niro, The Wizard of Lies

Jude Law, The Young Pope

Ewan McGregor, Fargo

Kyle McLachlen, Twin Peaks: The Return

Geoffrey Rush, Genius

Cool category.

Rush probably won’t win, especially given that weird maybe/maybe not sexual harassment thing. McLachlen makes sense but doesn’t seem like the kind of thing they do. McGregor maybe, because he plays twins. I think they love Jude. So let’s hope Jude wins.

Young Pope was an awesome show, by the way.

I heard they were developing a second season. But I kinda am okay if they don’t do that too.

Best Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie

Jessica Biel, The Sinner

Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies

Jessica Lange, Feud

Susan Sarandon, Feud

Reese Witherspoon, Big Little Lies

Biel could take this by sheer fact that the other ones cancel each other out.

But also no.

Of the double pairs, Sarandon is too crazy (you don’t wanna put her on a microphone, do you?) and they love Lange, so she’s the choice from that show. And you already know they love Nicole, so I think it’s Nicole likely first and then Lange second. One of those two should take this pretty easily.

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or TV Movie

Alfred Molina, Feud

David Harbour, Stranger Things

Alexander Skarsgard, Big Little Lies

Christian Slater, Mr. Robot

David Thewlis, Fargo

Slater won already, so he’s out. Molina seems like a filler nominee for someone they like. Thewlis makes a lot of sense on performance, but that usually isn’t how these things go, in the end. Skarsgard seems like he could, but I don’t know. He also seems like he’ll be nominated and nothing more.

I’ll go with Harbour. I think they know his speeches are great. I think they give it to him for that alone. That’s why Hugh Laurie won so many times. He’s fucking great at the microphone.

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or TV Movie

Laura Dern, Big Little Lies

Ann Dowd, The Handmaid’s Tale

Chrissy Metz, This Is Us

Michelle Pfeiffer, The Wizard of Lies

Shailene Woodley, Big Little Lies

Dern or Woodley — no clue. I suspect Dern over Woodley, if either. Dowd seems unlikely but possible. Metz I took last year and they ignored her. Let’s take Pfeiffer. That feels like something they’d do.

– – – – – – – – – –

So yeah, those are your Globe nominations. They mean nothing now. There’s not a huge amount to take away from it in a vacuum except — The Big Sick is fading fast, and Three Billboards is a legitimate contender for a lot of awards. Otherwise, nothing else we didn’t already know, right?

– – – – – – – – – –

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One response

  1. lacourseauxetoiles

    Why do you think Call Me By Your Name is favored to win Best Picture? If anything, the Globes mostly rejected it. It wasn’t nominated for Best Director, it missed out on the second Best Supporting Actor nomination, it wasn’t nominated for Best Screenplay (despite it being the overwhelming favorite to win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars), and it wasn’t nominated for Best Original Song.

    I also don’t see why you think Gary Oldman is going to win Best Actor here given his longstanding feud with the Hollywood Foreign Press Association.

    Also, you didn’t mention Gerwig not being nominated for Best Director. Did you expect that? I thought it was pretty surprising.

    December 11, 2017 at 8:40 pm

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