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Oscars 2017: ADG Nominations

Our third guild of the day, the Art Directors Guild. This one is more interesting to me than the other two, since this one is more closely tied to what will be nominated. Chances are, at least 80% of your Oscar category will come from these lists.

They separate their nominees into three categories: Period, Fantasy and Contemporary. Typically the former two are where the nominees come from, since the Oscars favor those two over modern day stuff. And usually you can jus kind of tell by looking at stuff what will or won’t make it on.

Here are your ADG nominees for 2017:

PERIOD FILM

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

Murder on the Orient Express

The Post

The Shape of Water

No Phantom Thread. That really surprises me.

No Greatest Showman either, which doesn’t surprise me as much.

Mudbound is the other one I’ve have thought to include, but that Netflix thing is a biggie for them to overcome.

Other than that, there are a handful of other choices, like The Beguiled, which I guess theoretically could make it, but would be surprising considering how fringe they are as contenders.

Typically the nominees in previous years have been either big nominees or very garish. Rarely do the very fringe contenders make it on. But I would definitely consider that a fringe contender. Though that’s also before we went to Fantasy, which typically holds a few contenders of its own.

FANTASY FILM

Beauty and the Beast

Blade Runner 2049

Star Wars: The Last Jedi

War for the Planet of the Apes

Wonder Woman

There you go. The first three feel like legitimate contenders. Though Star Wars hasn’t been nominated here since the first one, so I really doubt they magically go back there all of a sudden. Not to mention how CGI all the sets are at this point. So I’d wager it’s really only Beast and Blade Runner.

Not sure where the distinction between Period and Fantasy went for Shape of Water, but the Oscars don’t make that distinction, so it doesn’t matter to me whatsoever.

Let’s do Contemporary before we start figuring out what it all means.

CONTEMPORARY FILM

Downsizing

Get Out

Lady Bird

Logan

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

 

Yeah, none of these feel like contenders. Downsizing could have if it was liked more (and theoretically could still be a contender, since it blurs the line between contemporary and fantasy), but other than that, none of these feel like they scream “Production Design” the way the Academy likes them.

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So right now, looking at everything, I’d say your major contenders are:

  • Beauty and the Beast
  • Blade Runner 2049
  • Darkest Hour
  • Dunkirk
  • Mudbound
  • Murder on the Orient Express
  • Phantom Thread
  • The Post
  • The Shape of Water

And throw a flyer on The Greatest Showman and The Beguiled just to keep them in the conversation. Those are the ones that really seem like the major choices.

Hazarding a broad guess at a category: Darkest Hour, The Post, The Shape of Water, and then some combination of Murder on the Orient Express, Phantom Thread and either Dunkirk, Blade Runner or Beauty and the Beast. Which, yeah, I know, that’s a lot of stuff. But it’s also early. I still need to see if Phantom Thread is gonna land and if The Post is gonna stick in the tech categories. But I’d say this far out we have a fairly decent grasp of what the category is gonna be. Which is a good start.

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One response

  1. lacourseauxetoiles

    I think you are almost completely wrong about this category. I can’t see either Dunkirk or Blade Runner 2049 missing out on nominations. Blade Runner 2049 is probably the front runner. If I had to bet on them now, I’d be predicting The Shape of Water, Blade Runner 2049, Dunkirk, Beauty and the Beast, and either Darkest Hour or The Post.

    January 5, 2018 at 1:48 am

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