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Oscars 2017: BAFTA Nominations

The BAFTA nominees were announced this morning. I actually watched the announcement of the categories live, but was not in a place to write up my thoughts at the time. So I’ve been sitting on this for almost a day until I could write this up.

BAFTA’s a big deal. This can usually tell you which movies aren’t as liked as you’d think, and which movies have sneaky support. The winners are generally more important than that nominees, but I always like seeing which way BAFTA goes.

Especially since they’re the only voting body that will have Paddington 2 nominated multiple times, including in an acting category!

Here are your BAFTA nominees:

Best Film

Call Me By Your Name

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Makes sense. These are four of the big Best Picture nominees, plus the Winston Churchill biopic you knew they were gonna love.

Too early to know which way they’ll go, but this’ll be interesting. Hardly a bad decision in the bunch.

Best British Film

Darkest Hour

The Death of Stalin

God’s Own Country

Lady Macbeth

Paddington 2

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Love seeing Death of Stalin here. Two of these are the same as Best Film, as also happens with them.

Love that Lady Macbeth is here.

Best Director

Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water

Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name

Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049

They love them some Denis Villeneuve, huh? That’s awesome. I’m glad they liked Blade Runner. No Joe Wright though, which is interesting. Just because you figured they’d go all in on Darkest Hour. But yeah, makes sense. Good list.

Best Actor

Jamie Bell, Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name

Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Jamie Bell. They love getting Brits in there. Daniel Day-Lewis has now hit everything but SAG. You gotta figure the Academy nominates him, right? Also no Franco. Makes sense they wouldn’t quite go for that movie. Kaluuya getting on here is also interesting. He’s hit every single list so far. Conventional wisdom says he gets nominated. Yet, why am I feeling like he gets squeezed by someone like Hanks? Maybe years of ‘old white guy mentality’ winning out has beaten me down.

Oldman wins this in a landslide.

Best Actress

Annette Bening, Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Once they nominated Bell, you knew they’d nominate Annette. The other four are almost certainly your Best Actress category, minus probably Meryl. Maybe Chastain. So this is about where we’d expect it to be.

Best Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

Hugh Grant, Paddington 2

Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

There’s Rockwell and Woody. We might get both. Plummer seems like he’s getting on. Dafoe’s beyond locked. Armie Hammer is 50/50, though stronger chances than the last times he was in the race (namely J. Edgar). Richard Jenkins seems likely, but not locked. Would love to see Stuhlbarg get it, but I feel like the film needs more support. I would be upset if Steve Carell gets on, as he did on SAG, since, while he could be considered supporting… is he, though?

I think we’ve got a solid handle on this one, and I’m kinda surprised we might be getting double Three Billboards nominees.

Best Supporting Actress

Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Lesley Mannville, Phantom Thread

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Kristin Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour

Scott Thomas was the one they were always gonna nominate. LOVE that Lesley Manville got on here. Wish she had more support overall and could parlay that into an Oscar nomination. Kind of an uphill battle though, given the people involved. At this point, Metcalf and Janney are locked. Octavia Spencer is basically locked too. Holly Hunter seems likely. Other people in there are Hong Chau, Mary J. Blige… and maybe a couple of surprise ones. I don’t think Tiffany Haddish got the support she should have to make a legitimate push. There might be a Laura Dern nominee this year who comes out of nowhere. I haven’t thought about who that could be yet. But I think you could get an interesting one in here.

Best Original Screenplay

Get Out

I, Tonya

Lady Bird

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

This could be your category, and I think we’d all be more than fine with that. Not gonna look too much into this, because Screenplay is always dicey. But I like this one.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Call Me By Your Name

The Death of Stalin

Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

Molly’s Game

Paddington 2

Death of Stalin — awesome. Paddington 2 — amazing. I love that they loved that movie. Otherwise, Call Me By Your Name is kinda the big fish here, especially with James Ivory behind it. Maybe they go Sorkin, but this one seems pretty black-and-white for them.

Best Editing

Baby Driver

Blade Runner 2049

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Three Billboards. Wow.

Wow.

Love the Baby Driver and Blade Runner love here.

Best Cinematography

Blade Runner 2049

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

DEAKINS.

I mean, still looks like he’s gonna lose to Hoyte in the end (again, years of ‘almost’ beating me down), but love the recognition.

Not sure I totally agree on the Three Billboards nomination, but I do see that as a real liking of the film by them.

Best Film Music

Blade Runner 2049

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

Phantom Thread

The Shape of Water

Love all five of these scores. I’d be very happy if this were the Oscar category.

Desplat wins this, right? Seems like he has to.

Best Production Design

Beauty and the Beast

Blade Runner 2049

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Sweet. Good calls. Good category.

Best Costume Design

Beauty and the Beast

Darkest Hour

I, Tonya

Phantom Thread

The Shape of Water

All around great choices.

Best Sound

Baby Driver

Blade Runner 2049

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Makes total sense.

Best Visual Effects

Blade Runner 2049

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Star Wars: The Last Jedi

War for the Planet of the Apes

I’d be happy with this as an Oscar category. Not sure if Shape of Water makes it through, but the other four should, no problem.

Best Makeup and Hair

Blade Runner 2049

Darkest Hour

I, Tonya

Victoria & Abdul

Wonder

Well, 4/5 of these are shortlisted, so they’re right in line on that.

Darkest Hour’s gonna take it all home either way, though.

Best Animated Film

Coco

Loving Vincent

My Life as a Zucchini

Well, this is easy.

Best Foreign Language Film

Elle

The Handmaiden

First They Killed My Father

Loveless

The Salesman

Three of these were last year. Which seems to always be how it is with them. Mostly I’m interested to see how they vote.

Best Documentary

City of Ghosts

I Am Not Your Negro

Icarus

An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power

Jane

Cool, cool.

Best British Short Film

Aamir

Cowboy Dave

A Drowning Man

Work

Wren Boys

K.

Best British Animated Short

Have Heart

Mamoon

Poles Apart

Sure.

Outstanding Debut by a British Writer, Director or Producer

The Ghoul

I Am Not a Witch

Jawbone

Kingdom of Us

Lady Macbeth

If you make a movie called I Am Not a Witch… kinda feels like you’re protesting a bit too much, you know?

EE Rising Star Award

Timothee Chalamet

Daniel Kaluuya

Josh O’Connor

Florence Pugh

Tessa Thompson

Florence Pugh all the way!

– – – – – – – – – –

So yeah. That’s BAFTA. Mostly I use them as pieces to the Oscar puzzle, but I think they’re generally in line with everything else. No Post at all, which is interesting. Lots of Shape of Water, a lot of Three Billboards, which continues to surprise me. Call Me By Your Name seems to have topped out at ‘5-7 overall nominations, maybe one win, but no Best Picture’, based solely on the nominations of all these places. DGA will be big for it. Really interested to see if Three Billboards can manage to pull this thing out in the end, of if we can get a Lady Bird win. I don’t know. This is kind of exciting. I like these movies.

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One response

  1. lacourseauxetoiles

    Good analysis overall. Just wondering, what do you think about Lady Bird not being nominated for Best Picture and Greta Gerwig missing out on Best Director here?

    Also, you really shouldn’t assume that Hanks will get nominated. He’s been snubbed at the Oscars for 17 years (and even longer if you count him losing for Cast Away and Saving Private Ryan and not being nominated for The Green Mile and Apollo 13 as snubs). Why would the Academy nominate him for a film that they don’t seem to particularly like in which he is overshadowed by Meryl Streep?

    January 9, 2018 at 9:46 pm

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