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Oscars 2017: DGA Awards

The DGA announced their winner last night. As a reminder, the nominees were:

Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water

Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Jordan Peele, Get Out

And the winner… was Guillermo Del Toro.

The DGA has matched the Oscar winner all but seven times, ever (and three of those times, the DGA winner wasn’t even nominated). So, at this very moment, there is a 90-94% chance that Guillermo Del Toro will win Best Director at the Oscars. He’s won all the precursors so far, and if he wins the BAFTA, I think it’s completely 100% locked. Look at it — four of these five are up for the Oscar. Paul Thomas Anderson is on the final list over Martin McDonagh, but otherwise they’re the same. BAFTA didn’t spark to Lady Bird or Get Out the way the other groups have, so unless Christopher Nolan is gonna try to pull a fast one (which seems unlikely), I think Guillermo has it in the bag.

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