Advertisements

Oscars 2017: BAFTA Awards

The BAFTA Awards were just announced. This is the last major awards show before the Oscars, and typically what you get when they announce is a sense of “okay, this is what’s locked, and this is what’s gonna be open ended on Oscar night.” A few guilds still have to announce, but by and large, we have a sense of the majority of the categories at this moment.

We still have MPSE tonight, which we don’t necessarily need, CDG on Tuesday, which we don’t need at all, and CAS next weekend, which is helpful but I think we have a good sense of that category too.

I don’t have much else, so let’s just get into who won and what it means:

Best Film

Call Me By Your Name

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Winner: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

I figured this would go this way. I’m looking at a very likely Best Picture scenario where this wins and Guillermo wins Director. I’m not 100% sold Shape of Water is gonna win Best Picture, despite it winning the PGA. Maybe that’s the last two years talking, but I don’t know if it’s a gimme. I think there’s more of a deadlock than you’d think, and I think there’s also a chance it could end up off the board (though I don’t know if that will happen either).

I expected this to be the outcome here, and I would have been more surprised if Shape of Water won this. So now we’re left with a toss-up to think about for the next two weeks.

Best British Film

Darkest Hour

The Death of Stalin

God’s Own Country

Lady Macbeth

Paddington 2

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Winner: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Would have been weird for it to have won Best Picture and not Best British Film. This and not the other, sure, but not the other way around.

Best Director

Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water

Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name

Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049

Winner: Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water

He swept every single precursor. This one’s totally locked. If Nolan couldn’t win BAFTA, there’s no way anyone else is taking the Oscar. Guillermo’s got this one.

Best Actor

Jamie Bell, Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name

Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Winner: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

I’d have been shocked if they went different. Now we have a clean precursor sweep, and that’s two categories that are locked at the Oscars (with one 50/50).

Best Actress

Annette Bening, Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Winner: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Make that three locked categories. She’s swept everything too.

Best Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

Hugh Grant, Paddington 2

Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Winner: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Four categories.

Best Supporting Actress

Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Lesley Mannville, Phantom Thread

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Kristin Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour

Winner: Allison Janney, I, Tonya

And five categories.

Everyone’s gonna do really well in the pools this year.

Best Original Screenplay

Get Out

I, Tonya

Lady Bird

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

4/5 the Oscar category, with I, Tonya instead of The Big Sick. Neither would have contended for the win either way.

Winner: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

I’m expecting this to win this category, especially if it’s gonna be a Best Picture choice. Could go Get Out or Lady Bird, but this should be the odds-on favorite. Wasn’t eligible for the WGA, which always feels like the sign that it’s gonna win to me.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Call Me By Your Name

The Death of Stalin

Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

Molly’s Game

Paddington 2

Winner: Call Me By Your Name

Swept every precursor. Six locked categories so far.

Best Editing

Baby Driver

Blade Runner 2049

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

This is your Oscar category, by the way.

Winner: Baby Driver

Fuck yeah. Not gonna read too much into this, since I think Dunkirk won the Eddie, and I know both of them tied at BFCA, so we’re in for an interesting Oscar night.

This is an open category still.

Best Cinematography

Blade Runner 2049

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Winner: Blade Runner 2049

He’s swept everything. I’m still not sold that he’s gonna win the Oscar, but that’s history talking. I’m calling this an open category, but there’s a real chance Deakins might finally get his this year.

Best Film Music

Blade Runner 2049

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

Phantom Thread

The Shape of Water

Winner: The Shape of Water

This might be another clean sweep of the precursors. Unless something very rare is gonna happen, Phantom Thread’s door to winning this category is closing fast.

I’m calling this 7 locked categories.

Best Production Design

Beauty and the Beast

Blade Runner 2049

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Winner: The Shape of Water

Pretty sure this won everything so far too. I’ll call it open, but I think this might be locked.

Best Costume Design

Beauty and the Beast

Darkest Hour

I, Tonya

Phantom Thread

The Shape of Water

This is 4/5 the Oscar category. Interesting that the BAFTAs went with the American movie, I, Tonya, while the Academy went with the British movie, Victoria & Abdul.

Winner: Phantom Thread

This should not surprise anyone. One of the biggest locks of the season. 8.

Best Sound

Baby Driver

Blade Runner 2049

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Winner: Dunkirk

I’m expecting this to win at least one Sound category, if not both. The guilds announce this week. We’ll take stock after that.

Best Visual Effects

Blade Runner 2049

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Star Wars: The Last Jedi

War for the Planet of the Apes

Winner: Blade Runner 2049

This was how I felt it was gonna go. I don’t see Apes as being a favorite. This seems like the film that’s gonna win this category at the Oscars. But we’ll call it open, since there is at least a 50/50 choice here.

Best Makeup and Hair

Blade Runner 2049

Darkest Hour

I, Tonya

Victoria & Abdul

Wonder

Winner: Darkest Hour

Is anyone surprised by this result? 9 categories.

Best Animated Film

Coco

Loving Vincent

My Life as a Zucchini

Winner: Coco

It takes a lot of the suspense out of the year when Pixar’s got a winner, but also… when they have a winner, they’re usually great. So it’s a double-edged sword. 10 categories.

Best Foreign Language Film

Elle

The Handmaiden

First They Killed My Father

Loveless

The Salesman

Winner: The Handmaiden

One Oscar nominee from this year on there, and they didn’t vote for it. And you thought you were getting help.

Best Documentary

City of Ghosts

I Am Not Your Negro

Icarus

An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power

Jane

Winner: I Am Not Your Negro

Last year nominee. Only one of the Oscar nominees is on this list, which means we’re just picking blindly on Oscar night. Fun.

Best British Short Film

Aamir

Cowboy Dave

A Drowning Man

Work

Wren Boys

Winner: Cowboy Dave

I like that title.

Best British Animated Short

Have Heart

Mamoon

Poles Apart

Winner: Poles Apart

K.

Outstanding Debut by a British Writer, Director or Producer

The Ghoul

I Am Not a Witch

Jawbone

Kingdom of Us

Lady Macbeth

Winner: I Am Not a Witch

Okay, sure. Still wish Lady Macbeth won.

EE Rising Star Award

Timothee Chalamet

Daniel Kaluuya

Josh O’Connor

Florence Pugh

Tessa Thompson

Winner: Daniel Kaluuya

Not overly surprising. The public was voting. Everyone saw Get Out. If anyone else was gonna win, it was Tessa Thompson. No one saw Lady Macbeth, not enough people have seen Call Me By Your Name yet, and I don’t think anyone really knows who Josh O’Connor is, comparative to the big three. So it makes total sense it went this way.

– – – – – – – – – –

So right now, I have 10 categories I feel like I’m 100% getting right at the Oscars. I might not get them right, but to know I can feel confident in my choices and not have to think too hard, that helps me spend my time on other categories. Right now, outside of some deliberation on Best Picture, Best Editing, Cinematography, Original Screenplay maybe Production Design, Visual Effects and the Sound categories (though in all of those, you have it narrowed down to 1 or 2 choices), you’re pretty much left spending your time thinking about the shorts, Documentary, Foreign Language and Song. That’s about as good a year as you can hope for.

– – – – – – – – – –

http://bplusmovieblog.com

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.