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Oscars 2018: Makeup & Hairstylists Guild Nominations

Here we go, the one guild you’ve all been waiting for — Makeup & Hairstyling!

We have a shortlist for this, so really all these nominations are going to be viewed through the lens of that. But hey, a few years ago we didn’t have this guild to help us out, so really anything helps.

Just as a reminder, your shortlist is: Black Panther, Bohemian Rhapsody, Border, Mary Queen of Scots, Stan & Ollie, Suspiria and Vice. BAFTA nominated Bohemian Rhapsody, Mary Queen of Scots, Stan & Ollie and Vice and BFCA nominated Black Panther, Bohemian Rhapsody, Mary Queen of Scots, Suspiria and Vice. All worth knowing if you’re trying to guess which three will end up being nominated. This is the final piece of that puzzle, because it’s all the help we’re gonna get.

Here are your 2018 Makeup & Hairstylist Guild nominees:

Best Period and/or Character Makeup

Bohemian Rhapsody

Mary Poppins Returns

Mary, Queen of Scots

Stan & Ollie

Vice

So four of your shortlist. This does remind me how weird it looks that Mary Poppins is not nominated there. But also kind of makes sense too.

Best Period and/or Character Hairstyling

Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

Mary Poppins Returns

Mary, Queen of Scots

There’s Black Panther, so that’s 4/7 represented so far, with Bohemian and Mary represented twice now. Though both are the ones of the previous list that are more about the hairstyling than the makeup, so that does make sense.

Best Special Effects Makeup

Aquaman

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Black Panther

Stan & Ollie

Vice

There’s Black Panther, Stan & Ollie and Vice again.

Best Contemporary Makeup

Beautiful Boy

Boy Erased

Crazy Rich Asians

A Star Is Born

Welcome to Marwen

Widows

Unhelpful. But sure.

Best Contemporary Hairstyling

Crazy Rich Asians

Nappily Ever After

A Star Is Born

Vox Lux

Widows

K.

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Okay, so five of the shortlist are represented in these nominations. Nothing for Border, and nothing for Suspiria. The guy who did the prosthetics for Suspiria also did them for Stan & Ollie, so I guess that’s of note. He’s also won two Oscars (The Iron Lady and Grand Budapest). The Border people have never been nominated. I find that’s important, because remember the double nomination for the Man Called Ove and 100-Year-Old Man team.

This generally doesn’t help all that much, because a lot of these feel like they could get on, and it’s just gonna come down to which ones you feel are gonna get the most votes.

They love a good actor transformation, so expect Vice to get on regardless. Especially with Bale in the Best Actor mix. So now it’s 6 shortlisted films and two spots.

Personally, I wouldn’t guess Border and would just prefer to be wrong, so that’s one off for me.

Looking at previous categories:

2017: Darkest Hour, Victoria & Abdul, Wonder
2016: A Man Called Ove, Suicide Squad, Star Trek Beyond
2015: The 100-Year-Old Man, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Revenant
2014: Foxcatcher, Grand Budapest Hotel, Guardians of the Galaxy

Big awards movies tend to do well here, as do big budget stuff.

I would expect Black Panther to be the second nominee based off of the rest of that list. So that’s 2/3, one spot left, and four movies to choose from.

I feel like Stan & Ollie is a red herring, the way Hitchcock was, the way a lot of these movies are. I feel like I’m gonna end up leaving that off and seeing if they go there. My gut/history with this category tells me its the kind of thing that seems obvious that they don’t ever actually nominate. I feel like they want more to the job than just that. Which also might be why I think Suspiria ends up getting left off too.

I think the answer is gonna be one of the hairstyling heavy films. Mary Queen of Scots feels like it’s the choice over Bohemian Rhapsody, but it’s the less adored of the two films. Looking at those other categories, they generally don’t just vote for something they liked a lot without a palpable reason for it being there.

My gut tells me your final category is likely Black Panther, Mary Queen of Scots and Vice. The alternate would be Stan & Ollie or Suspiria. I don’t think Bohemian Rhapsody makes it. I don’t think Border makes it. That’s my gut feeling at this moment in time.

Also notice how I didn’t even bother going into what may or may not win at these guilds, because ultimately it doesn’t matter. The Oscars don’t play by the rules in this category at all.

It’ll be slightly different when we do the Costume Designers Guild next. They at least kind of play by the rules there.

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