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The 91st Academy Awards Scorecard Ballot

So this is what I do now. This Oscar Scorecard. Which grades me on how well I pick entire categories over just winners.

The way the Scorecard Ballot works is, you take every category and rank all the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning. If the nominee ranked #1 wins, you get 1 point. 2 points for a #2, 3 points for a #3 and so on. A perfect score would be a 24 (meaning your #1s in every category won). Ties make things confusing, but it’s only happened 6 times in 89 years, so let’s just figure that won’t happen and deal with it if it does.

Ideally, most people get between 16/24 and 18/24 each year. I try to get between 18/24 and 20/24. So, of the categories you get wrong (say 7, for argument’s sake)… you want your #2 to win, so that way you’re only +7 over the minimum of 24. It’s like golf. Okay, sure, some #3s can win. It happens. But only like two. Then you’re +9. That’s reasonable. To me, a good year on the Scorecard ballot is a +6. +8 is fine, +10 isn’t great, but acceptable, and the higher you go, the worse you dod.

It’s more interesting to me, since I’m about the all-around analysis than just straight up winners. To me, the words “that’s a #4” mean something. To most people, they don’t. So this is my way of quantifying that specificity.

So, for those of you who wanna try a Scorecard Ballot for this year, here is mine for the upcoming ceremony:

Best Picture

  1. Roma
  2. Green Book
  3. The Favourite
  4. BlacKkKlansman
  5. Bohemian Rhapsody
  6. A Star Is Born
  7. Black Panther
  8. Vice

Best Director

  1. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
  2. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
  3. Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
  4. Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
  5. Adam McKay, Vice

Best Actor

  1. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
  2. Christian Bale, Vice
  3. Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
  4. Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
  5. Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate

Best Actress

  1. Glenn Close, The Wife
  2. Olivia Colman, The Favourite
  3. Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
  4. Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
  5. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Mahershala Ali, Green Book
  2. Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
  3. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  4. Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
  5. Sam Rockwell, Vice

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
  2. Emma Stone, The Favourite
  3. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
  4. Amy Adams, Vice
  5. Marina de Tavira, Roma

Best Original Screenplay

  1. The Favourite
  2. Green Book
  3. Roma
  4. First Reformed
  5. Vice

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. BlacKkKlansman
  2. If Beale Street Could Talk
  3. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  4. A Star Is Born
  5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Best Cinematography

  1. Vice
  2. Bohemian Rhapsody
  3. The Favourite
  4. Green Book
  5. BlacKkKlansman

Best Editing

  1. Roma
  2. Cold War
  3. The Favourite
  4. A Star Is Born
  5. Never Look Away

Best Original Score

  1. If Beale Street Could Talk
  2. Black Panther
  3. Mary Poppins Returns
  4. Isle of Dogs
  5. BlacKkKlansman

Best Original Song

  1. “Shallow,” from A Star Is Born
  2. “All the Stars,” from Black Panther
  3. “When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings,” from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
  4. “The Place Where the Lost Things Go,” from Mary Poppins Returns
  5. “I’ll Fight,” from RBG

Best Production Design

  1. The Favourite
  2. Black Panther
  3. Mary Poppins Returns
  4. Roma
  5. First Man

Best Costume Design

  1. The Favourite
  2. Black Panther
  3. Mary Poppins Returns
  4. Mary Queen of Scots
  5. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

  1. Vice
  2. Mary Queen of Scots
  3. Border

Best Visual Effects

  1. First Man
  2. Ready Player One
  3. Avengers: Infinity War
  4. Christopher Robin
  5. Solo: A Star Wars Story

Best Sound Editing

  1. Bohemian Rhapsody
  2. First Man
  3. A Quiet Place
  4. Roma
  5. Black Panther

Best Sound Mixing

  1. Bohemian Rhapsody
  2. First Man
  3. A Star Is Born
  4. Roma
  5. Black Panther

Best Animated Feature

  1. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
  2. Incredibles 2
  3. Isle of Dogs
  4. Ralph Breaks the Internet
  5. Mirai

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. Roma
  2. Cold War
  3. Never Look Away
  4. Shoplifters
  5. Capernaum

Best Documentary Feature

  1. Free Solo
  2. RBG
  3. Hale County This Morning, This Evening
  4. Of Fathers and Sons
  5. Minding the Gap

Best Documentary Short

  1. Period. End of Sentence.
  2. End Game
  3. Black Sheep
  4. Lifeboat
  5. A Night at the Garden

Best Live Action Short

  1. Marguerite
  2. Detainment
  3. Skin
  4. Fauve
  5. Mother

Best Animated Short

  1. Bao
  2. One Small Step
  3. Weekends
  4. Late Afternoon
  5. Animal Behaviour

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