Oscars 2019 Category Breakdown: Best Actor

Here’s how this works: every day leading up to the Oscars, I break down each of the 24 categories. The goal is to both familiarize everyone with the category itself (how it works, what its history is and how you go about figuring out what’s gonna win) while also making it easier to reference when I write my giant article with picks and everything. A lot of the leg work is already here. But really, the goal is to see if there’s anything to look for leading into Oscar night that could be a shortcut to me picking the category.

What we do is — I give you all the winners of the category throughout history, go over all the recent trends if there are any, discuss the precursors and whether or not they matter, and then we talk about this year’s category and how we got to it, and then just look at where we are and rank the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning (at the current moment in time. Of course, things can and will change going into the ceremony). It’s all pretty simple. I’ve done this every year. Everyone should know the drill.

Today is Best Actor. I’m trying not to start with all of the acting categories, since they’re all locked, but I do wanna get this one done as soon as possible.

Year Best Actor Winner Other Nominees
1927-1928 Emil Jannings, The Last Command and The Way of All Flesh Richard Barthelmess, The Noose and The Patent Leather Kid
1928-1929 Warner Baxter, In Old Arizona George Bancroft, Thunderbolt

Chester Morris, Alibi

Paul Muni, The Valiant

Lewis Stone, The Patriot

1929-1930 George Arliss, Disraeli George Arliss, The Green Goddess

Wallace Beery, The Big House

Maurice Chevalier, The Big Pond and The Love Parade

Ronald Colman, Bulldog Drummond & Condemned

Lawrence Tibbett, The Rogue Song

1930-1931 Lionel Barrymore, A Free Soul Adolphe Menjou, The Front Page

Jackie Cooper, Skippy

Richard Dix, Cimarron

Fredric March, The Royal Family of Broadway

1931-1932 TIE

Frederic March, Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde

Wallace Beery, The Champ

Alfred Lunt, The Guardsman
1932-1933 Charles Laughton, The Private Life of Henry VIII Leslie Howard, Berkeley Square

Paul Muni, I Am a Fugitive from a Chain Gang

1934 Clark Gable, It Happened One Night Frank Morgan, The Affairs of Cellini

William Powell, The Thin Man

1935 Victor McLaglen, The Informer Clark Gable, Mutiny on the Bounty

Charles Laughton, Mutiny on the Bounty

Paul Muni, Black Fury

Franchot Tone, Mutiny on the Bounty

1936 Paul Muni, The Story of Louis Pasteur Gary Cooper, Mr. Deeds Goes to Town

Walter Huston, Dodsworth

William Powell, My Man Godfrey

Spencer Tracy, San Francisco

1937 Spencer Tracy, Captains Courageous Charles Boyer, Conquest

Fredric March, A Star is Born

Robert Montgomery, Night Must Fall

Paul Muni, The Life of Emile Zola

1938 Spencer Tracy, Boys Town Charles Boyer, Algiers

James Cagney, Angels with Dirty Faces

Robert Donat, The Citadel

Leslie Howard, Pygmalion

1939 Robert Donat, Goodbye, Mr. Chips Clark Gable, Gone with the Wind

Laurence Olivier, Wuthering Heights

Mickey Rooney, Babes in Arms

James Stewart, Mr. Smith Goes to Washington

1940 Jimmy Stewart, The Philadelphia Story Charlie Chaplin, The Great Dictator

Henry Fonda, The Grapes of Wrath

Raymond Massey, Abe Lincoln in Illinois

Laurence Olivier, Rebecca

1941 Gary Cooper, Sergeant York Cary Grant, Penny Serenade

Walter Huston, The Devil and Daniel Webster

Robert Montgomery, Here Comes Mr. Jordan

Orson Welles, Citizen Kane

1942 James Cagney, Yankee Doodle Dandy Ronald Colman, Random Harvest

Gary Cooper, The Pride of the Yankees

Walter Pidgeon, Mrs. Miniver

Monty Woolley, The Pied Piper

1943 Paul Lukas, Watch on the Rhine Humphrey Bogart, Casablanca

Gary Cooper, For Whom the Bell Tolls

Walter Pidgeon, Madame Curie

Mickey Rooney, The Human Comedy

1944 Bing Crosby, Going My Way Charles Boyer, Gaslight

Barry Fitzgerald, Going My Way

Cary Grant, None But the Lonely Heart

Alexander Knox, Wilson

1945 Ray Milland, The Lost Weekend Bing Crosby, The Bells of St. Mary’s

Gene Kelley, Anchors Aweigh

Gregory Peck, The Keys of the Kingdom

Cornel Wilde, A Song to Remember

1946 Frederic March, The Best Years of Our Lives Laurence Olivier, Henry V

Larry Parks, The Jolson Story

Gregory Peck, The Yearling

James Stewart, It’s a Wonderful Life

1947 Ronald Colman, A Double Life John Garfield, Body and Soul

Gregory Peck, Gentleman’s Agreement

William Powell, Life with Father

Michael Redgrave, Mourning Becomes Electra

1948 Laurence Olivier, Hamlet Lew Ayres, Johnny Belinda

Montgomery Clift, The Search

Dan Dailey, When My Baby Smiles at Me

Clifton Webb, Sitting Pretty

1949 Broderick Crawford, All the King’s Men Kirk Douglas, Champion

Gregory Peck, Twelve O’Clock High

Richard Todd, The Hasty Heart

John Wayne, Sands of Iwo Jima

1950 José Ferrer, Cyrano de Bergerac Louis Calhern, The Magnificent Yankee

William Holden, Sunset Boulevard

James Stewart, Harvey

Spencer Tracy, Father of the Bride

1951 Humphrey Bogart, The African Queen Marlon Brando, A Streetcar Named Desire

Montgomery Clift, A Place in the Sun

Arthur Kennedy, Bright Victory

Fredric March, Death of a Salesman

1952 Gary Cooper, High Noon Marlon Brando, Viva Zapata!

Kirk Douglas, The Bad and the Beautiful

José Ferrer, Moulin Rouge

Alec Guinness, The Lavender Hill Mob

1953 William Holden, Stalag 17 Marlon Brando, Julius Caesar

Richard Burton, The Robe

Montgomery Clift, From Here to Eternity

Burt Lancaster, From Here to Eternity

1954 Marlon Brando, On the Waterfront Humphrey Bogart, The Caine Mutiny

Bing Crosby, The Country Girl

James Mason, A Star is Born

Dan O’Herlihy, Robison Crusoe

1955 Ernest Borgnine, Marty James Cagney, Love Me or Leave Me

James Dean, East of Eden

Frank Sinatra, The Man with the Golden Arm

Spencer Tracy, Bad Day at Black Rock

1956 Yul Brynner, The King and I James Dean, Giant

Kirk Douglas, Lust for Life

Rock Hudson, Giant

Laurence Olivier, Richard III

1957 Alec Guinness, The Bridge on the River Kwai Marlon Brando, Sayonara

Anthony Franciosa, A Hatful of Rain

Charles Laughton, Witness for Prosecution

Anthony Quinn, Wild is the Wind

1958 David Niven, Separate Tables Tony Curtis, The Defiant Ones

Paul Newman, Cat on a Hot Tin Roof

Sidney Poitier, The Defiant Ones

Spencer Tracy, The Old Man and the Sea

1959 Charlton Heston, Ben-Hur Laurence Harvey, Room at the Top

Jack Lemmon, Some Like it Hot

Paul Muni, The Last Angry Man

James Stewart, Anatomy of a Murder

1960 Burt Lancaster, Elmer Gantry Trevor Howard, Sons and Lovers

Jack Lemmon, The Apartment

Laurence Olivier, The Entertainer

Spencer Tracy, Inherit the Wind

1961 Maximilian Schell, Judgment at Nuremberg Charles Boyer, Fanny

Paul Newman, The Hustler

Spencer Tracy, Judgment at Nuremberg

Stuart Whitman, The Mark

1962 Gregory Peck, To Kill a Mockingbird Burt Lancaster, Birdman of Alcatraz

Jack Lemmon, Days of Wine and Roses

Marcello Mastroianni, Divorce, Italian Style

Peter O’Toole, Lawrence of Arabia

1963 Sidney Poitier, Lilies of the Field Albert Finney, Tom Jones

Richard Harris, This Sporting Life

Rex Harrison, Cleopatra

Paul Newman, Hud

1964 Rex Harrison, My Fair Lady Richard Burton, Becket

Peter O’Toole, Becket

Anthony Quinn, Zorba the Greek

Peter Sellers, Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb

1965 Lee Marvin, Cat Ballou Richard Burton, The Spy Who Came in from the Cold

Laurence Olivier, Othello

Rod Steiger, The Pawnbroker

Oskar Werner, Ship of Fools

1966 Paul Scofield, A Man for All Seasons Alan Arkin, The Russians are Coming, the Russians are Coming

Richard Burton, Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

Michael Caine, Alfie

Steve McQueen, The Sand Pebbles

1967 Rod Steiger, In the Heat of the Night Warren Beatty, Bonnie and Clyde

Dustin Hoffman, The Graduate

Paul Newman, Cool Hand Luke

Spencer Tracy, Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner

1968 Cliff Robertson, Charly Alan Arkin, The Heart is a Lonely Hunter

Alan Bates, The Fixer

Ron Moody, Oliver!

Peter O’Toole, The Lion in Winter

1969 John Wayne, True Grit Richard Burton, Anne of the Thousand Days

Dustin Hoffman, Midnight Cowboy

Peter O’Toole, Goodbye, Mr. Chips

Jon Voight, Midnight Cowboy

1970 George C. Scott, Patton Melvyn Douglas, I Never Sang for My Father

James Earl Jones, The Great White Hope

Jack Nicholson, Five Easy Pieces

Ryan O’Neal, Love Story

1971 Gene Hackman, The French Connection Peter Finch, Sunday Bloody Sunday

Walther Matthau, Kotch

George C. Scott, The Hospital

Chaim Topol, Fiddler on the Roof

1972 Marlon Brando, The Godfather Michael Caine, Sleuth

Laurence Olivier, Sleuth

Peter O’Toole, The Ruling Class

Paul Winfield, Sounder

1973 Jack Lemmon, Save the Tiger Marlon Brando, Last Tango in Paris

Jack Nicholson, The Last Detail

Al Pacino, Serpico

Robert Redford, The Sting

1974 Art Carney, Harry and Tonto Albert Finney, Murder on the Orient Express

Dustin Hoffman, Lenny

Jack Nicholson, Chinatown

Al Pacino, The Godfather, Part II

1975 Jack Nicholson, One Flew over the Cuckoo’s Nest Walther Matthau, The Sunshine Boys

Al Pacino, Dog Day Afternoon

Maximilian Schell, The Man in the Glass Booth

James Whitmore, Give ‘em Hell, Harry!

1976 Peter Finch, Network Robert De Niro, Taxi Driver

Giancarlo Giannini, Seven Beauties

William Holden, Network

Sylvester Stallone, Rocky

1977 Richard Dreyfuss, The Goodbye Girl Woody Allen, Annie Hall

Richard Burton, Equus

Marcello Mastroianni, A Special Day

John Travolta, Saturday Night Fever

1978 Jon Voight, Coming Home Warren Beatty, Heaven Can Wait

Gary Busey, The Buddy Holly Story

Robert De Niro, The Deer Hunter

Laurence Olivier, The Boys From Brazil

1979 Dustin Hoffman, Kramer vs. Kramer Jack Lemmon, The China Syndrome

Al Pacino, …And Justice for All

Roy Scheider, All That Jazz

Peter Sellers, Being There

1980 Robert De Niro, Raging Bull Robert Duvall, The Great Santini

John Hurt, The Elephant Man

Jack Lemmon, Tribute

Peter O’Toole, The Stunt Man

1981 Henry Fonda, On Golden Pond Warren Beatty, Reds

Burt Lancaster, Atlantic City

Dudley Moore, Arthur

Paul Newman, Absence of Malice

1982 Ben Kingsley, Gandhi Dustin Hoffman, Tootsie

Jack Lemmon, Missing

Paul Newman, The Verdict

Peter O’Toole, My Favorite Year

1983 Robert Duvall, Tender Mercies Michael Caine, Educating Rita

Tom Conti, Reuben, Reuben

Tom Courtenay, The Dresser

Albert Finney, The Dresser

1984 F. Murray Abraham, Amadeus Jeff Bridges, Starman

Albert Finney, Under the Volcano

Tom Hulce, Amadeus

Sam Waterston, The Killing Fields

1985 William Hurt, The Kiss of the Spider Woman Harrison Ford, Witness

James Garner, Murphy’s Romance

Jack Nicholson, Prizzi’s Honor

Jon Voight, Runaway Train

1986 Paul Newman, The Color of Money Dexter Gordon, Round Midnight

Bob Hoskins, Mona Lisa

William Hurt, Children of a Lesser God

James Woods, Salvador

1987 Michael Douglas, Wall Street William Hurt, Broadcast News

Marcello Mastroianni, Dark Eyes

Jack Nicholson, Ironweed

Robin Williams, Good Morning, Vietnam

1988 Dustin Hoffman, Rain Man Gene Hackman, Mississippi Burning

Tom Hanks, Big

Edward James Olmos, Stand and Deliver

Max von Sydow, Pelle the Conqueror

1989 Daniel Day-Lewis, My Left Foot Kenneth Branagh, Henry V

Tom Cruise, Born on the Fourth of July

Morgan Freeman, Driving Miss Daisy

Robin Williams, Dead Poet’s Society

1990 Jeremy Irons, Reversal of Fortune Kevin Costner, Dances with Wolves

Robert De Niro, Awakenings

Gérard Depardieu, Cyrano de Bergerac

Richard Harris, The Field

1991 Anthony Hopkins, The Silence of the Lambs Warren Beatty, Bugsy

Robert De Niro, Cape Fear

Nick Nolte, The Prince of Tides

Robin Williams, The Fisher King

1992 Al Pacino, Scent of a Woman Robert Downey Jr., Chaplin

Clint Eastwood, Unforgiven

Stephen Rea, The Crying Game

Denzel Washington, Malcolm X

1993 Tom Hanks, Philadelphia Daniel Day-Lewis, In the Name of the Father

Laurence Fishburne, What’s Love Got to Do with It

Anthony Hopkins, The Remains of the Day

Liam Neeson, Schindler’s List

1994 Tom Hanks, Forrest Gump Morgan Freeman, The Shawshank Redemption

Nigel Hawthorne, The Madness of King George

Paul Newman, Nobody’s Fool

John Travolta, Pulp Fiction

1995 Nicolas Cage, Leaving Las Vegas Richard Dreyfuss, Mr. Holland’s Opus

Anthony Hopkins, Nixon

Sean Penn, Dead Man Walking

Massimo Troisi, Il Postino

1996 Geoffrey Rush, Shine Tom Cruise, Jerry Maguire

Ralph Fiennes, The English Patient

Woody Harrelson, The People vs. Larry Flynt

Billy Bob Thornton, Sling Blade

1997 Jack Nicholson, As Good As It Gets Matt Damon, Good Will Hunting

Robert Duvall, The Apostle

Peter Fonda, Ulee’s Gold

Dustin Hoffman, Wag the Dog

1998 Roberto Benigni, Life is Beautiful Tom Hanks, Saving Private Ryan

Ian McKellen, Gods and Monsters

Nick Nolte, Affliction

Edward Norton, American History X

1999 Kevin Spacey, American Beauty Russell Crowe, The Insider

Richard Farnsworth, The Straight Story

Sean Penn, Sweet and Lowdown

Denzel Washington, The Hurricane

2000 Russell Crowe, Gladiator Javier Bardem, Before Night Falls

Tom Hanks, Cast Away

Ed Harris, Pollock

Geoffrey Rush, Quills

2001 Denzel Washington, Training Day Russell Crowe, A Beautiful Mind

Sean Penn, I Am Sam

Will Smith, Ali

Tom Wilkinson, In the Bedroom

2002 Adrien Brody, The Pianist Nicolas Cage, Adaptation.

Michael Caine, The Quiet American

Daniel Day-Lewis, Gangs of New York

Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt

2003 Sean Penn, Mystic River Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

Ben Kingsley, House of Sand and Fog

Jude Law, Cold Mountain

Bill Murray, Lost in Translation

2004 Jamie Foxx, Ray Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda

Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator

Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby

2005 Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow

Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain

Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line

David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck

2006 Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland Leonardo DiCaprio, Blood Diamond

Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson

Peter O’Toole, Venus

Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness

2007 Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood George Clooney, Michael Clayton

Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

Tommy Lee Jones, In the Valley of Elah

Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises

2008 Sean Penn, Milk Richard Jenkins, The Visitor

Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon

Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

2009 Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart George Clooney, Up in the Air

Colin Firth, A Single Man

Morgan Freeman, Invictus

Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

2010 Colin Firth, The King’s Speech Javier Bardem, Biutiful

Jeff Bridges, True Grit

Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network

James Franco, 127 Hours

2011 Jean Dujardin, The Artist Demian Bichir, A Better Life

George Clooney, The Descendants

Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Brad Pitt, Moneyball

2012 Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables

Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Denzel Washington, Flight

2013 Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club Christian Bale, American Hustle

Bruce Dern, Nebraska

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street

Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave

2014 Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything Steve Carell, Foxcatcher

Bradley Cooper, American Sniper

Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game

Michael Keaton, Birdman

2015 Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Matt Damon, The Martian

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

2016 Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge

Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Denzel Washington, Fences

2017 Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name

Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

2018 Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody Christian Bale, Vice

Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate

Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

Obviously, when we talk acting categories, the precursor that matters most is SAG. They’re 20/25 all-time. Only five times did somebody win SAG and not win Best Actor. And one of those five is when Benicio Del Toro won Best Actor for Traffic and then won Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars. So wrong, but not wrong.

The other four misses were

  • Russell Crowe in 2001, where Crowe won every precursor and then lost to Denzel.
  • Daniel Day-Lewis in 2002, where the precursors split and then Adrien Brody shocked everyone to win
  • Johnny Depp in 2003, where SAG somehow gave it to him for Pirates and clearly Sean Penn won the Oscar. I’m not sure if that’s so wrong so much as they just voted for the most fun performance, knowing it wouldn’t win.
  • Denzel in 2016, where he won SAG but lost the Oscar to Casey Affleck (who won every other precursor)

Not bad, only once in the past 15 years.

This year’s category is:

Best Actor

Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory

Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Adam Driver, Marriage Story

Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

This was the most open Best Actor category I can think of in the past couple of years. Only three actors really hit any precursors throughout the process. Leo, Driver and Joaquin were the only three with consensus tracking. Banderas only got BFCA and Globes nominations and Pryce only got BAFTA and the Globes. Taron Egerton hit SAG and BAFTA and won the Globe (in Musical/Comedy) and Christian Bale was nominated for SAG and the Globe. Other people were hanging around, like De Niro or Eddie Murphy or Adam Sandler, but none of them caught enough traction that made them feel like they were gonna be nominated. I was never sold on Egerton, since he was guaranteed to get BAFTA and SAG is basically a popularity contest. I was ready to not guess him until he won the Globe (which clearly seems to be because Elton was in attendance and they wanted to show as much support for the film as they could without fucking up their ‘we’re a legitimate precursor’ reputation they’re trying to have. So I’m kinda glad he didn’t end up here. Bale never really felt like a legitimate nominee either. So I guess these two do make sense. In the end, we get both Popes nominated and Antonio Banderas gets his first nomination, which is pretty nice.

Also, this is a category where, at the start of the season, as soon as the Globes category hit, I said, “Joaquin’s gonna win the Oscar.” Which wasn’t remotely about the performance or anything. It was me looking at the category and seeing everything play out. Because if you only have three consensus choices, only those three are gonna get the major votes. Jonathan Pryce isn’t getting votes and neither is Antonio Banderas. And Leo got his Oscar. So there’s no pressure to vote for him. So he’ll get votes, but only the votes from the people who think he gave the best performance or are his friends, that sort of thing. Driver will get some votes because people liked Marriage Story, but always in these movies (remember Blue Valentine), the woman always gets more notices and is more likely to win than the dude. Meanwhile, Joaquin is beloved, the performance is showy, and the film clearly had a lot of support. It was a straight line to the win. Sometimes you can just see them. And this one had it.

I know I’m spoiling what’s about to happen, but — we all kinda know it, and that’s why I’m getting it out of the way this early. It’s an easy category, and we really only want to spend time and effort on the ones we don’t already know about


5. Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes — Some people will have loved the movie. Some people may vote for this. Not gonna be enough to remotely matter. Him winning would shock everyone. I have him fifth because I feel like people like Antonio more. That’s really it. No one sees him as a possibility. Let him win BAFTA and then we can talk. Til then, fifth.

4. Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory — He’s fourth because I think he’s popular. I can’t see him getting votes to really contend, so it doesn’t really matter where I put him. Maybe he’s fifth. Okay. We know who’s winning this, so really this is just discussing all the ways he won’t win. Maybe he’ll get the international vote. Dunno. Not gonna matter, since there’s a clear winner and two other alternate choices who can get legitimate votes. The nomination is his reward.

3. Adam Driver, Marriage Story — He’s third because… he’s one of those nominees that looks really strong until they announce the category. And then he’s just another nominee. The performance is good, but I know a lot of people who don’t think the film or the performance is very good. Or they just think it was fine. I’m not hearing that about the other two performances. I’m hearing only positive things, and the extent of the negatives are, “Wouldn’t vote for it.” Which is not a negative so much as it is a difference of opinion. So I keep him third. In a year where only one person is poised to win all the precursors, it doesn’t really matter how we arrange the rest of the pieces. And I just think he doesn’t have the stature or the friend base to get enough votes to be more than third right now. Maybe he’ll end up the second choice. Doesn’t matter. Not gonna win. So who cares?

2. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood — I’m putting him second for one reason… I think there are people who, like me, think he gave the best performance of the year. And I think he’ll do enough campaigning to get votes, but not enough to overtake Joaquin. Leo did the rounds for The Revenant. He wanted it. He probably doesn’t want this as much. He’s probably just having a good time. And I think he’ll do fine, but no one’s talking about this performance the way they’re talking about Joaquin, and he didn’t even win the Globe, which doesn’t spell anything positive for him going forward. The only reason he’s above Driver is because I think people like him more than Driver and the performance is more likely to get more overall acclaim. Doesn’t really matter, since we all know Joaquin is winning this.

1. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker — He’s won the Globe and BFCA already. I can’t see him losing SAG, and he doesn’t even need to win BAFTA, but with the film getting so many nominations there, I don’t see how he doesn’t sweep everything. Even though he doesn’t want it and doesn’t care, he’s gonna get it. He’s gonna have to Russell Crowe in 2001 his way out of this. And I don’t think he’s gonna do it, because as much as he doesn’t care, he’s also respectful. He’s the overwhelming favorite here and until someone else wins both SAG and BAFTA, he’s gonna continue to be the de facto winner.

– – – – – – – – – –


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