Oscars 2020: The 78th Golden Globe Awards
Okay. Golden Globes were last night, and we got… something. I’m not exactly sure what. But we got something.
My only notes are — hilarious that in response to claims of racism, they rushed up the two Black winners to the top of the show as if that was always their plan. (I’m also totally convinced that Boyega vote was altered to make him win. Kaluuya I can buy without assuming impropriety. Boyega, not a chance that was the original vote.) And strange that every commercial is now for a streaming service instead of upcoming movies and shows.
That’s all I have. Let’s go over it.
Best Picture – Drama
Promising Young Woman
The Trial of the Chicago 7
In hindsight, this does feel like the most likely of scenarios. But I figured this would’ve been top two for them. Even if this doesn’t go on to win other precursors, this feels like the kind of Globes choice that would have been. As I watched the show, I thought, “Which one would make the most sense if I was just scrolling in the future past ‘Picture – Drama’ winners and saw it?” And Nomadland does feel like that film. But either way, a somewhat expected outcome and given how early we are in the process, there’s not really much to be gleamed from this except the fact that one of the expected outcomes happened.
Best Picture – Musical/Comedy
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Winner: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
No major surprise here either. There were three top choices, and once the show started I had a feeling of, “They’re not gonna go for Hamilton.” I was surprised at how little they went for Palm Springs though. Also weird they gave this out before they gave Sacha Best Actor, which pretty much made that a foregone conclusion. But ultimately this was a pretty meaningless category as none of these are gonna come close to contending for Best Picture.
Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
David Fincher, Mank
Regina King, One Night in Miami
Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Winner: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
I remember writing up the predictions article and going, “Fincher, King or Zhao.” And then I saw just how infrequently someone won Director without their film being nominated for Picture and realized it was really just Fincher and Zhao. And so when I saw that I realized, “Oh, Zhao’s probably gonna win both, isn’t she?” And so in the end, we got the largely expected outcome. I don’t know if Nomadland would’ve won Picture without Zhao winning here, but I feel like something else could have won Picture and lost here, if that makes sense. I could see Zhao have being the choice even if Picture went another way. Sorkin just isn’t known as a director enough to push him unless the film was gonna be that no-brainer of a choice. And Mank just feels like the ‘nominated across the board but never voted for’ kinda movie (except in a couple of tech categories). Unless they were gonna alter the ballots for Regina King, Zhao makes the most sense as a winner here, and I’m curious to see how the other precursors play out going forward.
Best Actor – Drama
Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Gary Oldman, Mank
Tahar Rahim, The Mauritanian
Winner: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
This was the expected outcome. I thought they could go Riz Ahmed just in case they wanted someone to give a speech, but this was the move. They’re gonna push this train all the way through. He’s basically got SAG in the bag already and as long as BAFTA doesn’t go too wild, this should be his Oscar to lose. Ahmed’s gonna be the only major competition, as Hopkins has probably aged out and Oldman’s too recent a winner. And even if they end up nominating Steven Yeun, he’s gonna need SAG and maybe something else for me to think he can really contend for a win. I think Boseman’s got the love train going for him to carry this one home.
Best Actor – Musical/Comedy
Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
James Corden, The Prom
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Dev Patel, The Personal History of David Copperfield
Andy Samberg, Palm Springs
Winner: Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
This was fait accompli once the movie won Best Picture. They love Sacha and will vote for him pretty much any chance they get. Samberg was really the only major contender, since even if Hamilton won I didn’t see them going for Lin-Manuel in this category. It was fun, though, seeing Dev Patel not even bother to show up because he knew he had no chance and seeing Corden visually relax when he realized he didn’t win because he knew how that would look. Samberg would’ve made a lot of sense, but in the end, this was the obvious choice.
Best Actress – Drama
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holliday
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Winner: Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holliday
This was a minor surprise. I knew McDormand was too recent a winner and didn’t have the juice to win another so soon (and she knew it too, because she never bothered to show up). Viola could’ve happened, but I wasn’t sure I really saw it (especially knowing… you know… HFPA). Kirby was too new. So I just assumed it had to be Mulligan. But they went Day. Which is an intriguing choice and should almost shore her up as the fifth and final nominee, since that spot has been open for a while and I don’t think anybody thinks Amy Adams has a chance despite that SAG nomination. So in the end, this should be your Best Actress category and I’m curious to see what kind of weight this win has for the rest of the way. Day’s not on SAG, all five are on BFCA and BAFTA’s yet to announce. So if she can win BFCA next week, you might have a serious contender on your hands. Carey’s still firmly in contention with three left to go, but this definitely makes things interesting at least for the next ten days.
Best Actress – Musical/Comedy
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Kate Hudson, Music
Michelle Pfeiffer, French Exit
Rosamund Pike, I Care a Lot
Anya Taylor-Joy, Emma
Winner: Rosamund Pike, I Care a Lot
Truly expected them to go for Bakalova here, but I’m wondering if that was just because she should have went Supporting instead. Doesn’t really matter in the end, since none of these will contend for Best Actress anyway. But this makes me even more excited to eventually watch this movie, since apparently they liked it enough to vote for Pike. I knew Taylor-Joy wasn’t a contender because she had the TV one locked up. There’s no way, after the backlash, Kate Hudson stood any chance. And Pfeiffer just felt like an ‘okay sure’ kinda vote that I didn’t expect. I figured they’d just go Bakalova, who they’re clearly pushing (because even Sacha has pushed her in his speeches and interviews) and who seems like she’s gonna get on the Supporting category. But hey, in a category that won’t really matter in the end, go ahead, go for it. I’ll know once I see the performance, but maybe this is legitimately the best choice (which is something I rarely say and feel with the Globes).
Best Supporting Actor
Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Jared Leto, The Little Things
Bill Murray, On the Rocks
Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami
Winner: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
How can the Golden Globes take something that should’ve been an obvious slam dunk and make it suspicious? Literally the whole week was “look how racist they are” and then immediately the first two awards are for the Black actors. And now we’re all thinking, “Which one did they alter the voting for?” Because you sure as shit feel like they did. This one I feel would’ve probably happened anyway, but still. I don’t want to have to consider the notion. But you know what? Don’t care. I didn’t see any of the bottom three winning and I figured Cohen was more likely to win for Borat than here, which made Kaluuya the most likely choice and the probably Oscar favorite. So in the end, I think we got the expected outcome, but jesus, HFPA. Did you really think we weren’t gonna notice?
Best Supporting Actress
Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman, The Father
Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Helena Zengel, News of the World
Winner: Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
This was a legitimate surprise and basically announces them punting on the Supporting Actress category entirely. Foster is no sure thing for even a nomination and really only has this as her only precursor at the moment. We’ll see if BAFTA nominates her, but otherwise it’s gonna be tough. With Bakalova losing in lead and them going away from the other precursor-nominated people to this point… maybe that means Yuh-Jung Youn has a legitimate shot at the Oscar. No clue. Gotta wait for BFCA and BAFTA noms to know for sure and then we can configure our expectations for SAG, since SAG has been shakier than they have in years past.
But I did say going in that Supporting Actress at the Globes has been really strong the past decade in picking winners. Though now we’re in the situation of — how many times has the Globe winner here not been nominated at all? Which I have to look up…
Assuming we’re allowing Kate Winslet for The Reader to slide (since she was nominated, just in a different category), then the last time the Globe Supporting Actress winner wasn’t nominated was Katharine Ross in 1976. Oh right, I did look this up. So then how many other times has it happened? … Karen Black in 1974, Hermione Gingold in 1958 and Katy Jurado in 1952. So four times ever and not in the past 45 years. Okay then. That’ll be interesting to track.
Promising Young Woman
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Winner: The Trial of the Chicago 7
It’s Sorkin. He won for Steve Jobs here and wasn’t even nominated. This was a no-brainer no matter how the rest of the night went. Nomadland didn’t need this, Mank was questionable as a choice and really the only other major contender was Promising Young Woman. So yeah, this was the expected choice and really the only question now is whether or not he wins the final category.
Best Original Score
The Midnight Sky
News of the World
AKA ‘Sal’. This was the best choice and I’m happy they made it. Their Score choices tend to be pretty on point, and then we’re left with the Academy sometimes not even nominating the best ones. Though this might actually be the Academy category, which should make it interesting to see what ends up winning in the end. But we’re a ways away. We need BAFTA to weigh in first. You can never take the Globes Score category on its own, even though with the shortlist, this does feel like the most likely scenario. But also, for me to think Soul is clearly gonna win, it’s gonna need to win both BFCA and BAFTA. It’s too early to make any calls with this one.
Best Original Song
“Fight for You,” from Judas and the Black Messiah (H.E.R.)
“Hear My Voice,” from The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Celeste Waite)
“Io Si (Seen),” from The Life Ahead (Diane Warren)
“Speak Now,” from One Night in Miami (Leslie Odom Jr.)
Tigress & Tweed,” from The United States vs. Billie Holliday (Andra Day)
Winner: “Io Si (Seen),” from The Life Ahead (Diane Warren)
So they went Diane Warren again and are pushing that scenario. Makes sense. I heard “Hear My Voice” a fuck ton throughout the night and thought maybe they’d go there. In hindsight it’s curious Day didn’t also win this. But really I’m surprised Odom didn’t take this, but I guess this was the obvious alternative. And in the end, we should end up with a ‘will they just give Diane Warren the Oscar’ vs. ‘will the seemingly obvious choice song win’. But also, we have to wait to see what they nominate, because this category always is a minefield to guess.
Best Animated Feature
The Croods: A New Age
Over the Moon
This was a complete no-brainer and this should win the Oscar category with ease. The only real question left with this category is what the final five are gonna be. These five make a lot of sense, but the Academy tends to take a more artistic mindset when it comes to this category, so I wanna see where BAFTA goes and then have a nice think about it. But it’s nice knowing that no matter what happens, we pretty much know where the win is going so it’s all low stakes.
Best Foreign Language Film
The Life Ahead
Two of Us
I mean, no shit. The real intrigue would’ve been if something else won. Since then we’d have had a legitimate discussion for International Feature. Now we’re back to the expected of only being able to use this category for guessing nominations and then just figuring it out as we go for the win.
– – – – –
And now we’ll nominally discuss TV.
Best TV Series – Drama
Winner: The Crown
Clean sweep for this one. Minorly surprising but very much in their taste range. You kinda knew by the time they got to this category that this was gonna win. Plus, just looking at it you knew it was gonna win. So no real surprises here. The only surprise would’ve been if they also rigged this vote to have Lovecraft Country win, but they didn’t move it to the front of the show so you knew that didn’t happen. Plus, they couldn’t have gotten away with that because you know no one actually watched that show.
Best TV Series – Musical/Comedy
Emily in Paris
The Flight Attendant
Winner: Schitt’s Creek
This was the obvious choice. It’s on its victory lap and they couldn’t have voted for Emily in Paris after all the bribery coming out. So the only other option was Ted Lasso. Seems like the obvious eventuality, to me.
Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama
Jason Bateman, Ozark
Josh O’Connor, The Crown
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Al Pacino, Hunters
Matthew Rhys, Perry Mason
Winner: Josh O’Connor, The Crown
This is when you knew it was gonna be a sweep. Dude took down some heavy hitters. But also… Odenkirk never wins. Pacino was never gonna win. Rhys’ show never got enough eyeballs to matter and Bateman was the only other alternative. Instead they just swept voted the one show they watched. Sure.
Best Actor in a TV Series – Musical/Comedy
Don Cheadle, Black Monday
Nicholas Hoult, The Great
Eugene Levy, Schitt’s Creek
Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso
Ramy Youssef, Ramy
Winner: Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso
This made the most sense. Could’ve been Levy, but Sudeikis feels like the right choice, especially since they love giving this to new shows. Also shout out to Sudeikis for exuding such ‘divorced guy’ energy, being high as hell with the hoodie on.
Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama
Olivia Colman, The Crown
Jodie Comer, Killing Eve
Emma Corrin, The Crown
Laura Linney, Ozark
Sarah Paulson, Ratched
Winner: Emma Corrin, The Crown
Kind of expected them to go for Colman, but I guess the newcomer energy plus her looking a lot like Diana was too much for them to ignore. Good for them for going with the newcomer and good for Jodie Comer knowing better than to show up. And shout out to Sarah Paulson and Emma Corrin for showing their pets during the zoom, which was so much more entertaining than any of the dumb comedy bits the show had.
Best Actress in a TV Series – Musical/Comedy
Lily Collins, Emily in Paris
Kaley Cuoco, The Flight Attendant
Elle Fanning, The Great
Jane Levy, Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist
Catherine O’Hara, Schitt’s Creek
Winner: Catherine O’Hara, Schitt’s Creek
Complete no-brainer and I’m not even sure we need to discuss anything else here.
Best Miniseries or TV Movie
The Queen’s Gambit
Winner: The Queen’s Gambit
This was obvious, even as I knew it was gonna be a slap in the face to Small Axe.
Best Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie
Bryan Cranston, Your Honor
Jeff Daniels, The Comey Rule
Hugh Grant, The Undoing
Ethan Hawke, The Good Lord Bird
Mark Ruffalo, I Know This Much Is True
Winner: Mark Ruffalo, I Know This Much Is True
He made the most sense. They love him and he played two people. This was early enough in the show that I was paying attention to stuff. And mostly what I remember here was Jeff Daniels being in a room with an obscene amount of doors and Ruffalo losing track of what he was trying to say mid-speech and grabbing his phone so he could read.
Best Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie
Cate Blanchett, Mrs. America
Daisy Edgar-Jones, Normal People
Shira Haas, Unorthodox
Nicole Kidman, The Undoing
Anya Taylor-Joy, The Queen’s Gambit
Winner: Anya Taylor-Joy, The Queen’s Gambit
No-brainer. Probably the biggest gimme of the night.
Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or TV Movie
John Boyega, Small Axe
Brendan Gleeson, The Comey Rule
Dan Levy, Schitt’s Creek
Jim Parsons, Hollywood
Donald Sutherland, The Undoing
Winner: John Boyega, Small Axe
This is the one where, when it happened I went, “Oh, they completely changed the voting here.” No way they just voted for him on their own like that. I don’t believe that for a second. Not a single solitary second. I mean, good for him, ultimately, since I feel like this might help him continue getting work (since Disney tried to paint him as a difficult person and tried to get him blackballed, as much as they claim they didn’t). He was great in the show and is a great actor, so I’m glad he won. But this looks so bad for HFPA because of how they announced it. They should have just left this in the middle of the show and it wouldn’t have seemed as suspicious as it does now.
Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or TV Movie
Gillian Anderson, The Crown
Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown
Julia Garner, Ozark
Annie Murphy, Schitt’s Creek
Cynthia Nixon, Ratched
Winner: Gillian Anderson, The Crown
It’s Thatcher. Apparently they can’t resist people playing her. Ultimately this does make sense, since Ratched never stood a chance, Carter was never gonna happen since she doesn’t give a fuck and Murphy always felt like the ‘never gonna happen’ for that show. It was either Anderson or Garner, really. So sure. Sweep vote The Crown. Thanks for letting us know you don’t watch more than one show.
– – – – –
For those keeping score, the only real surprises we got here were Andra Day and Jodie Foster. Not even Rosamund Pike counts as a surprise because the category has no stakes for Oscar nominations. So it’s pretty much those two and then everything else went as expected and now we have to wait for BFCA on Sunday, PGA Monday and then BAFTA and DGA on Tuesday to know where things stand. And in the meantime, MPSE announces nominees today (and I may have already written them up, depending on when they did), CAS does tomorrow and the Annies on Wednesday. So it’s precursor central this week, even though the really important ones happen Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.
– – – – – – – – – –