Oscars 2020: DGA Nominations

DGA nominations.

This is basically gonna be your Best Director category. Only, what you need to know is — historically, the DGA only matches 4/5 and not 5/5. So as much as this looks like the most likely scenario for who the five Director nominees are gonna be, at least one of these (if not two) are probably gonna be switched out. It’s only happened something like seven times in the past 50 years. So don’t assume these five are gonna be the five.

But anyway, here are your DGA nominees:

Best Director

Lee Isaac Chung, Minari

Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

David Fincher, Mank

Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Chloé Zhao, Nomadland

So best guess as to which ones are most likely to get swapped out: Sorkin, Fennell in that order. Chung third. Fincher and Zhao seem like locks.

The question then becomes… who’s the swap off? Regina King feels unlikely without the DGA help, but is naturally right there. Spike Lee needed DGA, since there doesn’t seem to be any major support for the film out there. Greengrass never had traction anywhere. Vinterberg just got BAFTA, so watch out for him. Keep an eye out for Darius Marder. That could be the Dallas Buyers Club/Room type darling that sneaks on more than you might think. Room got the Director nomination despite no precursors and Dallas Buyers Club got Editing.

Again, though, this is probably a situation where you go, “I have to take the DGA five.” But I know if I do that I’m gonna get burned somewhere. So I guess I’ll figure it out over the next five days. But these were the most likely five I had in my head for the category. So this’ll be interesting.

Best First-Time Director

Radha Blank, The Forty-Year-Old Version

Fernando Frías de la Parra, I’m No Longer Here

Regina King, One Night in Miami

Darius Marder, Sound of Metal

Florian Zeller, The Father

Ah, there are the other Best Picture contenders. They snuck them on here to make up for not being on the big list.

Not that they couldn’t have made the big list. I remember Garth Davis for Lion getting on both in 2015. So while this is promising for those three, I’m wondering just what the likelihood of any of them actually getting on is.

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