Oscars 2020: WGA Awards

The WGA handed out awards last night. This will help us figure out what’s gonna win the Screenplay awards.

At this point, given the protracted season, we kinda know what’s most likely to win, but this is definitely a big help. Once BAFTA announces in a few weeks we’ll know for sure. But this is the one you definitely wanna see those top contenders win.

Though here, the presumptive Adapted winner wasn’t eligible, so it’s really just a matter of what they gave it to instead to see what people are gonna consider the red herring vote come Oscar night.

Let’s see what they went with:

Best Original Screenplay

Judas and the Black Messiah

Palm Springs

Promising Young Woman

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7

Winner: Promising Young Woman

This is 4/5 your Oscar list, with Minari ineligible and taking Palm Springs’ spot on the Oscar list. All along this has seemed like a two-horse race between Promising Young Woman and Trial of the Chicago 7. So far, Sorkin won the Globe and Fennell won BFCA, so this breaks the tie and leaves BAFTA as the deciding precursor. Though I expect Fennell to take that one too and go into Oscar night the big favorite over Sorkin, with Sorkin very much still a possibility. Though Sorkin feels a lot like Quentin at this point — he’s been there enough, has his win (or in Quentin’s case, wins), and most of the time they like to go with the hot script of the year over him. So I get it. But you also always have to have that second choice you respect as a potential winner, and he seems very much like the choice. Especially since those two scripts are the only ones even nominated at BAFTA. So you can’t even make a case for a third choice.

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

News of the World

One Night in Miami

The White Tiger

Winner: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

The Father and Nomadland were both ineligible here, and Nomadland is the for sure Oscar winner. The headline is flashy, “Borat Wins WGA,” but when you look at this category… honestly would would you vote for here? The White Tiger I’m not even sure most people bothered to watch, News of the World clearly doesn’t have that ‘it’ factor to get a screenplay vote, of all things, and Ma Rainey is literally just a play on screen. One Night in Miami is the only other choice you could make in this category, and I suspect a lot of people did what I would have done if given this category and told to vote and said, “These are boring. Fuck it. Let’s take Borat.” I understand it completely. Doesn’t change the fact that Nomadland is gonna win this category handily at the Oscars, but still nice.

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It’s funny. We’re only a week removed from nominations and already I feel like I know 80% of what’s gonna win. Maybe I’ve just been doing this for too long. Or maybe it’s just that kinda year. Guess we’ll find out in a month.

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One response

  1. Goldwater

    Thoughts on Glenn Close being up for both a Razzie and the Oscar?

    March 24, 2021 at 12:17 pm

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