Oscars 2020: BAFTA Awards

So the BAFTA Awards were handed out in two parts this year, which is strange to me. I’m just gonna cover it like I usually do and run down all the categories. But some of these were handed out yesterday.

Either way, I’m curious to see what, if anything, this does for the Oscar race, since at this point most of my beliefs about what’s going to happen locked up (even if that belief is ‘the category is wide open’). Mostly I’m expecting them to either solidify the things I feel are going to happen or go completely off the board and not help at all. But we’ll see.

Here are your BAFTA winners:

Best Film

The Father

The Mauritanian

Nomadland

Promising Young Woman

The Trial of the Chicago 7

Winner: Nomadland

And there’s (essentially) your clean sweep for this. So that shores up a lot of stuff on the night and we won’t go in with any real surprises at a lot of the top stuff. But that doesn’t mean there aren’t difficult categories to be had. This just gives you one less major one to worry about. Nobody remembers if you get Best Live Action Short wrong. They remember if you get Best Picture wrong. So just consider this a blessing and move along.

 

Outstanding British Film

Calm with Horses

The Dig

The Father

His House

Limbo

The Mauritanian

Mogul Mowgli

Promising Young Woman

Rocks

Saint Maud

Winner: Promising Young Woman

Of course it won. They gave her Screenplay and the film’s nominated all over the actual Oscars. I never really understood how the voting could work when things were nominated in both Best Film and Best British Film, but not being British I’m just gonna assume voters know what they’re doing. Either way, it’s a great choice.

 

Best Director

Lee Isaac Chung, Minari

Sarah Gavron, Rocks

Shannon Murphy, Babyteeth

Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round

Jasmila Zbanic, Quo Vadis, Aida?

Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

Winner: Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

 

Best Actor

Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal

Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Adarsh Gourav, The White Tiger

Anthony Hopkins, The Father

Mads Mikkelsen, Another Round

Tahar Rahim, The Mauritanian

Winner: Anthony Hopkins, The Father

Well now that’s intriguing, isn’t it? Not for the Oscar, of course, since we know where that’s going. It’s intriguing because — is this a vote for Anthony Hopkins or is this a vote for the film? Does this mean there’s real support out there for the film and that makes it a contender to upset in Adapted Screenplay? This is interesting. This changes absolutely nothing in the Best Actor race, but the trickle-down effect will be interesting to look at.

 

Best Actress

Bukky Bakray, Rocks

Radha Blank, The Forty-Year-Old Version

Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman

Frances McDormand, Nomadland

Wunmi Musaku, His House

Alfre Woodard, Clemency

Winner: Frances McDormand, Nomadland

Of course it was. That was the only outcome of this award that would’ve made the Best Actress race more confusing. And here we are. Goddamn, this is fixing to be an interesting race. I haven’t seen anything like this since Best Supporting Actress 2000. Buckle up, guys. This is your disaster category.

 

Best Supporting Actor

Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

Barry Keoghan, Calm with Horses

Alan Kim, Minari

Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami

Clarke Peters, Da 5 Bloods

Paul Raci, Sound of Metal

Winner: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

Clean sweep. He’s got this one locked.

 

Best Supporting Actress

Niamh Algar, Calm with Horses

Kosar Ali, Rocks

Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Dominique Fishback, Judas and the Black Messiah

Ashley Madekwe, County Lines

Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari

Winner: Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari

That about sews up that one. Once she won SAG I was ready to call it over. This just makes me think it’s a lock. Bakalova’s done real well to get as far as she has, but my concerns were always gonna be about them looking at a Borat movie and thinking, “Do I really want to give this an acting award?” And seeing the two places where actual Oscar voters are also voting, I think we have our answer now.

 

Best Original Screenplay

Another Round

Mank

Promising Young Woman

Rocks

The Trial of the Chicago 7

Winner: Promising Young Woman

That basically locks this one up. This has now won WGA, BAFTA and BFCA and its only loss to Sorkin was the Globes. Which — I’ll take those odds.

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Dig

The Father

The Mauritanian

Nomadland

The White Tiger

Winner: The Father

It beat Nomadland, which firmly puts it in contention to win the Oscar. Arguably this is the bigger precursor over BFCA, and both weren’t eligible at the WGA. So you’ve got a real interesting choice on your hand come Oscar night with this one. This automatically just became one of those handful of categories you actually have to put some thought into.

 

Best Editing

The Father

Nomadland

Promising Young Woman

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7

Winner: Sound of Metal

Yup, that’s another win there. I expect this to be the Oscar favorite and likely winner, though I do still wanna see the guild go there first before I’m 100% certain about it. But right now things are looking good for it.

 

Best Cinematography

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

The Mauritanian

News of the World

Nomadland

Winner: Nomadland

A second win for this. I’m waiting on full confirmation from the guild, but I expect to get that as well. Not gonna fully rule out Mank until I see it lose everything (and even then, I’ll keep my eye open for it), but this seems like it’s gonna be an easy Oscar winner.

 

Best Original Score

Mank

Minari

News of the World

Promising Young Woman

Soul

Winner: Soul

That’s a clean sweep for this one. Hard to imagining it losing the Oscar at this point.

 

Best Production Design

The Dig

The Father

Mank

News of the World

Rebecca

Winner: Mank

That pretty much shores up how I felt this category was gonna go. Though admitted the big second choice in the category (Ma Rainey, of all things) didn’t make this category. The Father was an outside choice at best and News of the World never really had a shot at it. Mank’s won everything it can win and seems to be an easy winner in this category all the way through to the ceremony. At this point it would take a very concerted number of people deciding to vote against Mank for it to lose. And while the film has come in very soft in terms of wins, 10 nominations seems to imply that they do have a level of respect for it, just not the love that would take it to a bunch of wins. So I think this will be its token win of the evening come Oscar night.

 

Best Costume Design

Ammonite

The Dig

Emma

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Mank

Winner: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Ma Rainey continues to take down Costumes precursors. Perhaps that’s a sign of things to come at the Oscars. I’d have thought Emma was the gold standard here, but that thought continues to be disproven, with Ma Rainey now having taken down 2/3 precursors. CDG announces this week, and if it’s a clean sweep, I might have to adjust my thinking on this one. Either way, it looks to be a two-horse race, so on that level, I don’t feel too bad about it. It’s mostly just gonna be about figuring who appears to have the best chance of the two on the night. So we’ll see.

 

Best Makeup and Hair

The Dig

Hillbilly Elegy

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Mank

Pinocchio

Winner: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Ma Rainey’s taking this one down left and right too. This one I expect to go its way just because I don’t think most people have even seen Pinocchio to vote for it. Emma at least I know people are aware of, but maybe that’s also the thinking for Costumes as well that I’m overlooking — maybe people really didn’t watch all that many movies this year because of the pandemic and they’re just going with the obvious handful they did see. It’s an interesting thought. Either way, Ma Rainey has won just about every precursor you can win for this (even won 2/3 at the guild to Pinocchio’s 1 win, if I remember correctly), and I think it’s just gonna be one of those situations where the higher profile film wins. I’m pretty much unable to get worked up about what’s likely gonna happen anymore (though I do still get really excited when certain things win), so I’m not gonna say this choice is a let down, especially when you can see it coming from a mile away. But I will say that it is a shame that not enough people saw the exemplary work that was done in Pinocchio, since it really does deserve a much fairer shake in this category.

 

Best Visual Effects

Greyhound

The Midnight Sky

Mulan

The One and Only Ivan

Tenet

Winner: Tenet

Yeah, that about sews that one up. Midnight Sky won VES a few days ago, but that’s because the VES Society is all about effects. So they’re gonna go for the classiest effort with the most CGI in it. That’s their job! But Tenet, to a broad section of voters, is the film they’re gonna gravitate to. Had Midnight Sky won this, then I’d say maybe you have a shot at it taking the final category down. But with this — it’s a done deal. Tenet’s gonna win.

 

Best Sound

Greyhound

News of the World

Nomadland

Soul

Sound of Metal

Winner: Sound of Metal

Another absolute no-brainer. We’ll get both Sound guilds announcing this week, but I expect Sound of Metal to win one or both pretty easily en route to an easy Oscar win. I thought BAFTA would be the biggest potential wrench in the equation, with the possibility of Greyhound or Soul taking it. But here we get the obvious outcome, and unless both CAS and MPSE go in for something other than Sound of Metal in a resolute way, I think we’ve got another category basically wrapped up for us.

 

Best Animated Film

Onward

Soul

Wolfwalkers

Winner: Soul

No shit. This category was always gonna be a walk. Honestly the only interesting part about it was wondering if they were gonna nominate Pixar twice. Past that, it’s one of the biggest locks of the night.

 

Best Film Not in the English Language

Another Round

Dear Comrades!

Les Misérables

Minari

Quo Vadis, Aida?

Winner: Another Round

Wow. This is the first time something’s beaten Minari in one of these categories. I mean, they nominated this up and down the board, so it makes sense, but… I thought I was gonna have to use the Best Director nomination as my justification why this would win (along with, you know… my eyes). Now I have this and now I can be 100% confident this’ll win the Oscar.

 

Best Documentary

Collective

David Attenborough: A Life on Our Planet

The Dissident

My Octopus Teacher

The Social Dilemma

Winner: My Octopus Teacher

Ooh, look at that. I was shifting my brain into believing this was the favorite over the past week or so, given that it’s one of those March of the Penguins, extremely manipulative deals, but this pretty much seals that for me. It’s been winning all sorts of awards everywhere and looks like it can’t be beat at this point in a category with two foreign nominees (which never really win Doc Feature unless they’ve got huge word of mouth), one that’s gotten no heat and Crip Camp, which hasn’t gained any real traction for a win. So I think this one might be locked for the Oct (putting that on a t-shirt right away).

 

Outstanding Debut By a British Writer, Director or Producer

His House

Limbo

Moffie

Rocks

Saint Maud

Winner: His House

Oh wait, I saw this one. Yeah, that was pretty good. Good for them.

 

Best Casting

Calm with Horses

Judas and the Black Messiah

Minari

Promising Young Woman

Rocks

Winner: Rocks

Good for them. Like that there’s even a casting award to begin with. Casting and Stunts are the two most overlooked aspects of filmmaking at the Oscars, currently.

 

Best British Short Animation

The Fire Next Time

The Owl and the Pussycat

The Song of a Lost Boy

Winner: The Owl and the Pussycat

I’d have just assumed this would win on name alone. I haven’t seen any of these three, so I am unable to comment. But good job.

 

Best British Short Film

Eyelash

Lizard

Lucky Break

Miss Curvy

The Present

Winner: The Present

It’s the only Oscar-nominated short on this list. I don’t know if that means anything for the category or it’s one of those ‘of course it won’ situations. It’s a good short though. But I’m not sure this does a whole lot to change my thinking for the category except to go, “Well at least I know some voters have seen this.” Which arguably is half the battle in the shorts categories.

 

EE Rising Star Award

Bukky Bakray

Kingsley Ben-Adir

Morfydd Clark

Sope Dirisu

Conrad Khan

Winner: Bukky Bakray

Cool, cool.

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