The American Society of Cinematographers announced their awards tonight. Roger Deakins won it for Blade Runner 2049.
Before we get all excited about how this makes him a favorite for the Oscar, know that this is his fourth ASC win (after Shawshank, The Man Who Wasn’t There and Skyfall), and he has exactly zero Oscar wins to show for it. So let’s not jump the gun on this one just yet. I’ve had my heart broken many times on the Deakins train, and I’m not about to let my hopes get dashed yet again without having all the facts.
Him winning is a big step in the right direction, however, ASC is not scripture when it comes to Oscar winners. Just last year, ASC gave their award to Lion, when it was La La Land that ultimately won the Oscar. ASC is only 6 out of the past 10 years and 9 of the past 20. So it’s not over yet. BAFTA announces tomorrow, and that’ll be a big help if he wins that on top of this and the BFCA award he’s already won.
Right now, I count him, Hoyte van Hoytema for Dunkirk and Dan Lautsen for Shape of Water as the three favorites to win. (Mudbound has almost no shot, unfortunately, as does Darkest Hour.) So if BAFTA goes Deakins’ way too, I’ll be real interested to see how this one turns out on Oscar night.
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