A tradition here on the site is for me to spend the two days before Oscar nominations to guess what I think those nominees are going to be and give you my preferred nominees in all the categories. I keep the articles separate because to me, what I think should happen has absolutely no bearing on what I think is actually going to happen. All too often I find that people writing about the Oscars are completely unable to do that. The two main reasons I stopped reading all the Oscar sites years ago are because 1) too few people actually did the work in analyzing the categories and went with general overall ‘narratives’ and ‘feelings’, and 2) they far too often went with their own personal opinions when they weren’t sure (or sometimes even when they were). So what I do is get all my personal opinions out of the way first, and then when I pick everything, you get the full, unvarnished honesty and analysis to help you out.
And also admittedly this is the “one for them, one for me” model. If you want all the good shit, you gotta indulge my narcissism and listen to me prattle on about my own opinions for a day. I think it’s a reasonable tradeoff. I can at least get this one done in less than half the time it takes me to write up that other article.
Anyway, while tomorrow you get all the guesses as to what’s gonna be nominated on Monday, today you get what I’d nominate, assuming I could have a magic wand and create the entire Oscar ballot. Or, I guess, slightly more realistically, if I were able to vote for the nominations in every category, this is what my ballot would look like. Since I’m at least adhering to the shortlists for a bunch of the categories and am not just picking willy-nilly. I want this to be as realistic as I can possibly make it, even if it is a ‘dream scenario’ kind of situation.
But anyway, here’s what I’d nominate in all of the categories this year: (more…)
Okay, DGA nominations. Here we go. Last piece of the puzzle and then we’ve got it all.
I’m not wasting time. Here they are:
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Sam Mendes, 1917
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
Okay, here we go. PGA nominations.
This is the last of the Best Picture help, and this will basically confirm what the Best Picture list is going to be. We’re all pretty certain about at least six of these (1917, Irishman, Once Upon a Time, Marriage Story, Joker, Parasite), and the BAFTAs told me what the seventh is gonna be (Jojo). How can you not expect Ford v Ferrari here, and I assume Knives Out is gonna make it too. So really it’s just that last spot. Which, Little Women, right? Can we really get that lucky with that list? That would be 8/10 my top ten, sans Motherless Brooklyn, which never had a shot, and Waves, which I can get over but won’t stop talking about as a horrendous snub across the board. I would be very happy if that were the list. But also… what else could it be?
Let’s find out together, shall we? Here are your PGA nominees: (more…)
Alrighty, then. He said, quoting Ace Ventura, a quintessentially British film.
It’s BAFTA morning, people. It’s bright and midday in the UK and the BAFTA nominations are out. This is the final piece to a lot of the category nominations. And the rest are also coming today, because apparently only WGA announced yesterday, which means that we’re getting PGA, DGA and VES nominations today, which means that literally every piece of help we’re going to get is gonna be in our greasy little mitts by the end of the day, and we will have exactly one week to figure out what gets nominated from there.
Okay, then, let’s get into nominations before I quote more Jim Carrey movies (somebody stop me).
Here are your BAFTA nominations: (more…)
Okay, WGA nominations are out. This will help with the Screenplay categories.
Though I should mention – a lot of stuff isn’t eligible here, so when you don’t see certain films on the list, it’s not because they didn’t vote for them. It’s because the scripts are ineligible, most likely because the writer isn’t a member of the guild. Quentin is famously not in the guild, so he’s won like two Screenplay awards without ever being nominated at the guild.
Here’s a quick list of stuff that was ineligible here: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Pain and Glory, The Farewell, The Peanut Butter Falcon, The Last Black Man in San Francisco, Waves, Midsommar, Judy, Downton Abbey, Toy Story 4.
Also note that both The Two Popes and Hustlers were deemed Original by the WGA and are competing for Adapted at the Oscars. Though looking at these lists we’re about to see… maybe that’s not the right call.
Here are your WGA nominees for 2019: (more…)
The American Society of Cinematographers announced their nominees today. With them as the guild, we’ll get BAFTA nominees soon and we have BFCA nominees already. Between the three, we’ll figure out the category.
As a reminder, BFCA nominated 1917, Ford v Ferrari, The Irishman, Joker, The Lighthouse and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.
Which will be important in a second, because here are the ASC nominees:
Ford v Ferrari
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (more…)
So apparently the AFI Awards were announced a month ago and I just wasn’t paying attention. Mostly because they don’t matter. Turns out, today is the luncheon for them. Oh well.
Typically they do get 6-7 Best Picture nominees on their list. Last year they had 5 on their list proper with Roma as a ‘Special Award’. Having only seen the list just now, as I’m posting it, this looks exactly like all the other lists everyone else has been putting out. You’re probably looking at the same 6-7 as per usual, depending on what films ultimately get left off in the end.
AFI Top Ten Films
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
And they gave a ‘Special Award’ to Parasite. (more…)