The Makeup & Hairstylist Guild Awards were given out last night. I’ll make this quick, because we have nominations to guess.
Bombshell won Contemporary Makeup, Contemporary Hair and Special Makeup Effects. Joker won Period/Character Makeup and Downton Abbey won Period/Character Hair.
As a reminder, your shortlist is:
Dolemite Is My Name
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
Once upon a Time in Hollywood
So that probably helps us out for later. Even though I think you could have probably figured a lot of that out just by looking at the shortlist.
Nominations Ballot coming at you in a few hours. I’m toiling away on it as you read this.
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A tradition here on the site is for me to spend the two days before Oscar nominations to guess what I think those nominees are going to be and give you my preferred nominees in all the categories. I keep the articles separate because to me, what I think should happen has absolutely no bearing on what I think is actually going to happen. All too often I find that people writing about the Oscars are completely unable to do that. The two main reasons I stopped reading all the Oscar sites years ago are because 1) too few people actually did the work in analyzing the categories and went with general overall ‘narratives’ and ‘feelings’, and 2) they far too often went with their own personal opinions when they weren’t sure (or sometimes even when they were). So what I do is get all my personal opinions out of the way first, and then when I pick everything, you get the full, unvarnished honesty and analysis to help you out.
And also admittedly this is the “one for them, one for me” model. If you want all the good shit, you gotta indulge my narcissism and listen to me prattle on about my own opinions for a day. I think it’s a reasonable tradeoff. I can at least get this one done in less than half the time it takes me to write up that other article.
Anyway, while tomorrow you get all the guesses as to what’s gonna be nominated on Monday, today you get what I’d nominate, assuming I could have a magic wand and create the entire Oscar ballot. Or, I guess, slightly more realistically, if I were able to vote for the nominations in every category, this is what my ballot would look like. Since I’m at least adhering to the shortlists for a bunch of the categories and am not just picking willy-nilly. I want this to be as realistic as I can possibly make it, even if it is a ‘dream scenario’ kind of situation.
But anyway, here’s what I’d nominate in all of the categories this year: (more…)
Okay, DGA nominations. Here we go. Last piece of the puzzle and then we’ve got it all.
I’m not wasting time. Here they are:
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Sam Mendes, 1917
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
Okay, here we go. PGA nominations.
This is the last of the Best Picture help, and this will basically confirm what the Best Picture list is going to be. We’re all pretty certain about at least six of these (1917, Irishman, Once Upon a Time, Marriage Story, Joker, Parasite), and the BAFTAs told me what the seventh is gonna be (Jojo). How can you not expect Ford v Ferrari here, and I assume Knives Out is gonna make it too. So really it’s just that last spot. Which, Little Women, right? Can we really get that lucky with that list? That would be 8/10 my top ten, sans Motherless Brooklyn, which never had a shot, and Waves, which I can get over but won’t stop talking about as a horrendous snub across the board. I would be very happy if that were the list. But also… what else could it be?
Let’s find out together, shall we? Here are your PGA nominees: (more…)
Alrighty, then. He said, quoting Ace Ventura, a quintessentially British film.
It’s BAFTA morning, people. It’s bright and midday in the UK and the BAFTA nominations are out. This is the final piece to a lot of the category nominations. And the rest are also coming today, because apparently only WGA announced yesterday, which means that we’re getting PGA, DGA and VES nominations today, which means that literally every piece of help we’re going to get is gonna be in our greasy little mitts by the end of the day, and we will have exactly one week to figure out what gets nominated from there.
Okay, then, let’s get into nominations before I quote more Jim Carrey movies (somebody stop me).
Here are your BAFTA nominations: (more…)
Okay, WGA nominations are out. This will help with the Screenplay categories.
Though I should mention – a lot of stuff isn’t eligible here, so when you don’t see certain films on the list, it’s not because they didn’t vote for them. It’s because the scripts are ineligible, most likely because the writer isn’t a member of the guild. Quentin is famously not in the guild, so he’s won like two Screenplay awards without ever being nominated at the guild.
Here’s a quick list of stuff that was ineligible here: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Pain and Glory, The Farewell, The Peanut Butter Falcon, The Last Black Man in San Francisco, Waves, Midsommar, Judy, Downton Abbey, Toy Story 4.
Also note that both The Two Popes and Hustlers were deemed Original by the WGA and are competing for Adapted at the Oscars. Though looking at these lists we’re about to see… maybe that’s not the right call.
Here are your WGA nominees for 2019: (more…)
The American Society of Cinematographers announced their nominees today. With them as the guild, we’ll get BAFTA nominees soon and we have BFCA nominees already. Between the three, we’ll figure out the category.
As a reminder, BFCA nominated 1917, Ford v Ferrari, The Irishman, Joker, The Lighthouse and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.
Which will be important in a second, because here are the ASC nominees:
Ford v Ferrari
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (more…)
So apparently the AFI Awards were announced a month ago and I just wasn’t paying attention. Mostly because they don’t matter. Turns out, today is the luncheon for them. Oh well.
Typically they do get 6-7 Best Picture nominees on their list. Last year they had 5 on their list proper with Roma as a ‘Special Award’. Having only seen the list just now, as I’m posting it, this looks exactly like all the other lists everyone else has been putting out. You’re probably looking at the same 6-7 as per usual, depending on what films ultimately get left off in the end.
AFI Top Ten Films
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
And they gave a ‘Special Award’ to Parasite. (more…)
And finally, we have Animated Short. I always save this one for last because it’s like a nice little dessert after all the other categories. I always like seeing what’s on there. This year will be interesting because I don’t think Pixar or Disney has a big short they’ve released.
Anyway, 92 shorts qualified for this category and they’ve narrowed it down to a shortlist of ten, of which five will be nominated.
Here is the Animated Short shortlist: (more…)
And now, Live Action Short, the other category nobody cares about. Because we’re never given a chance to see or care about the nominees (and other things, but we’ll be optimistic about it). They announced that 191 shorts qualified for the category, of which they’ve shortlisted ten, and we’ll get our category of five in the end.
Here are the Live Action Short nominees: (more…)
Okay, so let’s make our way into the Shorts categories, which I thought would be easier to deal with because no one cares about them, but I realized that because they’re the ones with the least amount of stuff I know about, that means more work for me. Since I can’t just rattle off my usual bullshit based n seeing names. I actually have to look them all up, see if I can find them to watch, and because I’m a perfectionist, actually watch them first if I can find them, then look up what they’re about, what the synopses are, and then start talking about the categories. So once I do all that other stuff, it’s easy. But here’s where I do all the other stuff. So that’s why these three have waited until this morning. (And yes, that means between last night and now, I’ve gone and watched every single thing I can for these categories so I could be as well-versed as possible.)
We start with Documentary Short, which is one of the two least cared-about categories in the entire show. Most people don’t even bother to watch or look up what any of them are about, and because the whole thing is shrouded in such mystery, they don’t even give people the opportunity to widely watch them beforehand to at least build up an interest in the category.
But anyway, there were 96 eligible shorts and they shortlisted ten of them, of which five will be nominated. Let’s see what they are: (more…)
Okay, so I waited on this one until morning just because I knew there were gonna be ones that didn’t make the shortlist because they were deemed ineligible. So I went and looked that up first before getting into this article. Because of course we were gonna talk about that part of it.
There were 170 scores eligible to be on this list. The major ones that were not eligible were Knives Out, Ad Astra, The Irishman, Captain Marvel and A Hidden Life. Knives Out was apparently because someone fucked up while submitting it, Ad Astra is because there are two credited composers, but only one of them did the majority of the score, which is apparently against the rules. Irishman and Hidden Life are because of the appearance of too much non-score. Captain Marvel wasn’t submitted at all. Not that I thought it would have gotten on, but it’s worth noting.
Anyway, of all the things submitted, here are the 15 that made it on the shortlist: (more…)
We’ll finish up today with this one, since I went over this list a few hours ago. I wanted to save it for the end, but the other stuff requires actual effort for me to speak intelligently about them, so we’ll finish with the last easy one. (Score is also kinda easy, but I also have to look at what wasn’t eligible and all that, so I’ll just save it for the morning when I’m fresh.)
There were 75 films eligible to get on this and they shortlisted 15 of them. It seems like a weak year, so I’m expecting at least ten of these to go to the ones I tossed on my list. Honestly, let’s just see what they did.
Here’s your shortlist for Best Original Song: (more…)
Okay, let’s take care of the other category we previewed two weeks ago — Best Visual Effects.
They released their longlist of 20, which was this:
Alita: Battle Angel
Ford v Ferrari
Hobbs & Shaw
Jumanji: The Next Level
The Lion King
Men in Black: International
Spider-Man: Far from Home
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Terminator: Dark Fate
10 of those have been shortlisted, and here they are: (more…)
Let’s do Makeup & Hairstyling next. Because I’m thinking I wanna end the night on some easy ones and save all the shorts for tomorrow when I can properly do my homework on all of them and be prepared.
The new development with this category is that there are not ten films on the shortlist instead of eight and the category will be five films instead of three. So that’s new. Guessing they announced that during the months I don’t really pay attention to Oscar stuff. But hey, this category is coming to play with the big boys.
Wonder what that means for guessing a category and the winner, since now it’s allowing for broader stuff to get on that might not necessarily be as good a fit but could get votes because of broader support. But whatever. That’s what we have.
Here’s your shortlist for Best Makeup & Hairstyling: (more…)
Let’s do Foreign Language Film next.
They changed it to International Feature, but I hate that distinction. It’s trying to be politically correct when it just sounds like a euphemism designed to make them sound more inclusive when we know they’re same ass people we get mad at every damn year.
Anyway, we went over the 91 eligible films two weeks ago. So this is really just cleaning up all of that and making my life easier. Let’s get into what they shortlisted and then we’ll figure out the rest as we go.
Here’s your shortlist for Best International Feature: (more…)
Let’s start with Best Documentary Feature. Since this is a category I decided to half-give a shit about this year. They announced their list of 159 films eligible for the category and I skimmed it to see which ones seemed important/would be interesting for me personally and pulled those and tried to watch as many as I could before now. I’m still working. I have two or three left from my original list and will likely add a few more from this.
But hey, I’m trying to care. And that’s new. Normally I can only be bothered about documentaries after they’re in contention. So look at that. Growth. Only took a decade. Doubt it’ll last, but hey, we got somewhere.
Anyway, they narrowed down the list to 15 contenders, of which 5 will eventually be nominates. So let’s see what mistakes the Documentary branch made this year. Here is your shortlist: (more…)
That’s right, people. It’s back!
Okay, so no, it’s not officially back. The Academy is pulling that same bullshit that they did last year and only releasing a shortlist instead of all the eligible songs and then the shortlist (cowards). In fact, that shortlist is due any time now, so I’m not even gonna look for it or any of the others until I finish this article.
All — and I mean all credit to The Wrap, who managed to get a hold of the eligibles list and released an article going over their opinions of each of the nominated songs, cannily putting the titles of all of them in the article, giving us a nice tidy list without officially releasing the list. Good on you, guys.
I don’t know what the Academy is thinking, not releasing the list anymore. It’s like what the NBA did that one time where they were like, “You know, we’re not gonna televise that All Star Game draft where the players pick each other for the teams.” And a lot of people were like, “What the hell are you talking about? We love that!” Because, if people like something, they can’t get enough of it. They want more. Though something tells me that was them trying to cover their asses so they don’t look bad when the branch does something stupid (as they usually do) and doesn’t nominate one of the big songs. But trust me, guys, Original Song is not the branch you need to worry about in terms of that happening. It’s Documentaries first and International Film second. Song is a distant third at this point, and potentially could even fall out of that spot, given how generally good they’ve been over the past couple of years since they updated that archaic voting system.
Anyway, let’s get into this article, because it damn well may be the last time we ever get this again, so let’s enjoy it while we can.
Here are all 75 eligible songs for Best Original Song this year: (more…)
Well, this is early. Okay, sure, this is exactly the same time we get the SAG nominations every year. But it feels early. Mostly because I’m not gonna bother to really pay attention to this list for another month. But hey, here we are. This is it. This is all we’re gonna get, outside of BAFTA to help us with the acting categories. So, let’s just see what we’ve got, rather than try to waste time.
Here are your 2019 SAG nominees: (more…)
The Art Directors Guild announced their nominees today. So we’re gonna be most of the way there on Production Design. This is early. We’re still gonna wait for BAFTA, but hey, we’ve at least got this for now.
They’re gonna give us three categories: Period, Fantasy and Contemporary. Contemporary never gets nominated, unless there’s a crossover with fantasy (like a space movie or something) or it’s La La Land. Typically you’re looking at Period and Fantasy, and you have a pretty good idea of what they’ll go for in the end. BAFTA will help tell the tale (which means I’m already expecting Downton to make it on), but generally between this and BFCA, you have a pretty good idea.
Yesterday, BFCA nominated 1917, Downton Abbey, Irishman, Joker, Little Women, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and Parasite. That’s six period (though they could swap Joker onto Fantasy if they really wanted to) and one contemporary. I’m real curious to see if Parasite can buck history and make it on as a Contemporary nominee, since that movie is all about production design. But I guess we’ll see.
Here are your ADG nominees: (more…)
The Critics Choice Award nominations were announced today. Somehow I thought they were mid-week, but I’ll take them now. I wonder if they wanted to get a jump on the Golden Globes, which are getting announced tomorrow. BFCA is usually the first to announce winners and always sort of sets the pace for everything else, even if the others feel slightly more important, results-wise. Either way, I’m happy to see them.
This is our first step to Oscar season. After tomorrow, we’re gonna basically have half the puzzle. After tomorrow, we’re just waiting on each of the individual guilds (which includes SAG and PGA) and BAFTA. But, today we’ve got the critics, so let’s see what they nominated.
Here are your 2019 Critics Choice nominees: (more…)
This is becoming a thing I do. Usually they announce the eligibles list for this category and I go over it immediately and then come back once I’ve seen most or all of them and have a better idea of how I think the category’s gonna go.
It’s been a weak year, so I was hoping to get most of the foreign stuff in before I did this. But I knew if I was gonna do it, it was gonna have to be now rather than later, so we’re just gonna go for it and hope the last couple of pieces fall into place. Not that it’ll really matter in the end, but I’d like to find some cool foreign stuff to be rooting for in those last couple of spots rather than the boring American stuff.
Anyway, as a reminder, here are your 32 eligible films:
The Addams Family
The Angry Birds Movie 2
Another Day of Life
Buñuel in the Labyrinth of the Turtles
Children of the Sea
Dilili in Paris
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
The Last Fiction
The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part
Marona’s Fantastic Tale
Primal – Tales of Savagery
The Secret Life of Pets 2
Spies in Disguise
The Swallows of Kabul
This Magnificent Cake!
Toy Story 4
Upin & Ipin: The Lone Gibbon Kris
Weathering with You
White Snake (more…)
The Annie Awards were announced Monday. I waited to talk about them now, because I didn’t have an article for today and because honestly, who cares? I mean, sure, it’s great for the people who work on these films, and that is very admirable. But in terms of the actual Oscar category for Animated Feature, these are pretty meaningless. At this point most people could guess 4/5 of the category sight unseen and all this is gonna do is maybe point us in the direction of the fifth nominee. Though I’d say that the Globes and BFCA will do a much better job of that than these will.
So really, we’re just about to look at how many nominations Disney and Pixar got.
Here are your 2019 Annie Award nominations: (more…)
They announced the Visual Effects longlist today. I originally left this article blank to write up in the morning so I could continue working on what I was doing today, but of course the idea of rambling for 3,000 words about the Oscars is just too good to pass up, so you’re getting this article tonight.
The shortlist, as per usual, is 20 films, which will eventually become 10 in a few weeks and then we’ll eventually get a category of 5. I always love this particular longlist because you always get some of the weirdest choices on it. It’s always interesting to see what does and doesn’t make the cut (since I imagine more than 20 films are submitted for the category and the phrase ‘longlist’ implies some initial vetting). I don’t know how they figure it out, but I guess it doesn’t really matter. The list is the list. We’ve got 20 and today I’m gonna go through all 20 and then figure out what 10 will likely be shortlisted and probably have a good idea what the final category’s going to be.
So here are the 20 films up for Best Visual Effects this year: (more…)