Okay, final award. ASC. Cinematography.
And if you didn’t think they were gonna give it to Roger Deakins for 1917, you’re high. He’s been nominated at the guild 16 times, one more time than he’s been nominated for an Oscar. He’s won four other times, for Shawshank in 1994, The Man Who Wasn’t There in 2001, Skyfall in 2012 and Blade Runner in 2017. His five wins at ASC ties him with Emmanuel Lubezki for most all-time, ahead of Conrad fucking Hall.
And did I mention — it’s Roger fucking Deakins shooting a war movie to look like it was done in a single take. He’s going to win the Oscar.
Remember eight years ago when we couldn’t buy him an Oscar? Now he’s just flexing his muscles and winning these things like it’s nothing. I love it.
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The American Society of Cinematographers announced their nominees today. With them as the guild, we’ll get BAFTA nominees soon and we have BFCA nominees already. Between the three, we’ll figure out the category.
As a reminder, BFCA nominated 1917, Ford v Ferrari, The Irishman, Joker, The Lighthouse and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.
Which will be important in a second, because here are the ASC nominees:
Ford v Ferrari
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (more…)
The ASC Awards were handed out last night.
Cold War won.
I’m not overly surprised, since the major competition was Alfonso Cuaron, who is by and large a director, and not a pure cinematographer. And ASC is not exactly perfect when it comes to being an Oscar prognosticator. So this doesn’t really change where the Oscar map lies just yet, but it does confirm that Cold War is the likely second choice behind Roma, barring what the BAFTAs do later on.
I don’t really think A Star Is Born, Never Look Away or The Favourite really has a huge shot at the moment. So it seems like it’s still Roma’s to lose, unless BAFTA goes a different way. So we’ll see.
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We’ll go to ASC next, because it’s one category and only five nominees. And also because I love cinematography.
Here are your 2018 American Society of Cinematographers nominees:
A Star Is Born (more…)
The American Society of Cinematographers announced their awards tonight. Roger Deakins won it for Blade Runner 2049.
Before we get all excited about how this makes him a favorite for the Oscar, know that this is his fourth ASC win (after Shawshank, The Man Who Wasn’t There and Skyfall), and he has exactly zero Oscar wins to show for it. So let’s not jump the gun on this one just yet. I’ve had my heart broken many times on the Deakins train, and I’m not about to let my hopes get dashed yet again without having all the facts.
Him winning is a big step in the right direction, however, ASC is not scripture when it comes to Oscar winners. Just last year, ASC gave their award to Lion, when it was La La Land that ultimately won the Oscar. ASC is only 6 out of the past 10 years and 9 of the past 20. So it’s not over yet. BAFTA announces tomorrow, and that’ll be a big help if he wins that on top of this and the BFCA award he’s already won.
Right now, I count him, Hoyte van Hoytema for Dunkirk and Dan Lautsen for Shape of Water as the three favorites to win. (Mudbound has almost no shot, unfortunately, as does Darkest Hour.) So if BAFTA goes Deakins’ way too, I’ll be real interested to see how this one turns out on Oscar night.
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The American Society of Cinematographers announced their nominees this year. Not a whole lot to say in the way of prologue — this is the big Cinematography precursor. This, BFCA and BAFTA are all we’re gonna get to figure it out. And this year, you’re basically guaranteed to get two of the nominees right. So really, I think you can probably cobble four, no-problem, and then be reasonably sure about the fifth.
Your 2017 ASC nominees are:
Blade Runner 2049
The Shape of Water (more…)
The ASC Awards were the second awards from last night we’re dealing with.
To start — they’re not the end-all, be-all for what’s gonna win the Oscar. Going back, they’re 13 for 30 all time. Of the past 24 years, they’re at an even 50%. 12/24. So they’re not something you need to listen to, necessarily.
This year in particular, it’s a pretty open category. You expect La La Land to be a favorite. You expect Silence and Arrival to get votes. Lion will get votes too. And I’m sure Moonlight will as well. It’s pretty open. This will be one of those categories you think about for a while, since so many of them feel practically locked already.
But anyway — your ASC winner this year was Grieg Fraser for Lion. Making that more of a favorite than it was. at this point that and La La Land have to be considered #1 and #2. We’ll see what BAFTA has to say next weekend (though they’re 50% over the past 20 years too, so that’s not gonna necessarily help us all that much).
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