They announced the submissions for Foreign Language Film a while back. I’m only just getting around to them now. Mostly because this is my unofficial kick off to Oscar season, and I really like Oscar season. So I try to hold off as late as I can so I can really focus my attention on it. The only reason I even do this article is because of how much I love Oscar season.
There was a record 92 submissions for the category this year. Every year a couple of films don’t end up as official submissions or are disqualified for whatever reason. Still, 92 countries is pretty great.
What we do with this article is get acquainted with what each country submitted and what each of the films is about. And then I just sort of guess about what I think could end up getting shortlisted and/or nominated, which means very little but at least can make me feel pretty good if I get remotely close in the end.
Anyway, this tends to run long, so let’s just get into it. (more…)
I’d like to remind everyone that it’s a wonderful thing to be reminded that we really don’t know shit. From the start of last night, I saw how badly I was doing and was going to do could not have been more happy about it. There’s something so reassuring about that. Knowing amazing things could happen that you weren’t anticipating. Knowing that in the end, nothing happens according to plan and that life throws you curveballs constantly.
It’s not what I’d have picked, and it’s not what I thought would happen, but I love everything that happened last night. All the way down the line. I loved everything about it. (more…)
This is my new measuring stick for how well I’m doing guessing the Oscars. Rather than simply being right or wrong, this is about how well you can guess everything.
What you do is take every category and rank all the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning. If the nominee ranked #1 wins, you get 1 point. If #2 wins, you get 2 points. And you tally everything up. A perfect score would be a 24 (meaning your #1 in every category won). The only time it could be confusing is if a tie happens, but in 88 years it’s only happened six times. So we’ll deal with that should the situation arise.
Really what this does is interest someone like me, who likes to take an entire category and actually parse through what spot each of the nominees is in. To me, the words “that’s a #4” mean something. This is my way of quantifying that.
So here is my Scorecard Ballot for this year: (more…)
The giant ballot article went up this morning, and for those who don’t want to have to skim through that, here’s a cliff notes version for easy reference. This is everything you should be taking, and what I’m taking.
And in a bit, I’ll post my Scorecard as well, for those looking to attempt that as well. (Note: The rankings here my not be the ones I put on my Scorecard.)
Here are the quick picks for the 89th Academy Awards: (more…)
This is what you’ve all been texting me about for the past two weeks. This is all the info you wanted so you could win your Oscar pool. I probably should charge for this. But I’m stupid. So here you are. Hope you’re not all in the same pools!
As is always the case, in order to get the simple answers — what I think is gonna win and what you should pick — you have to deal with all the extra shit that only I’m interested in. But you know, at least I’m having fun, right?
Simply guessing the Oscars used to be fun for me. Betting people dinner in college if they could outguess me. (They couldn’t.) Now I’m on some next level shit. I’m not even about picking winners anymore. Now I’m all about picking nominees, and diagnosing the categories. I’m on a whole other scale of grading myself. Which means I’m gonna write a whole lot of nonsense here, and you can read as much or as little of it as you want. I make it as easy for you to ignore me as you possibly can. And then you have to live with yourself, you callous monster.
This article is both my personal ballot (an extension of all my Oscar Quest articles) and a full on analysis of Oscar night for everyone. That’s really the part you’re here for. You don’t care what I think. You wanna know what’s gonna win. (more…)
Every year before the Oscars I break down each of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with the category, how it typically goes, voting-wise, historically and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.
What I do is go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have voted, how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win. So you know what the general favorites are.
Today is Best Foreign Language Film. The category that is either locked or you’re just kinda like “…. this one?” (more…)
They announced the nine shortlisted films for Best Foreign Language Film Just a guess, based on glancing at the titles… I was way off from way back when I previewed all the eligible films two months ago.
Oh, but shit though — looking at it, I got four of them straight up. That’s a solid percentage. And two more I had on my “solid contenders” list. So actually I wasn’t that bad.
Let’s get into your shortlist before we discuss anything else. Here it is:
It’s Only the End of the World (Canada)
Land of Mine (Denmark)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)
The Salesman (Iran)
The King’s Choice (Norway)
A Man Called Ove (Sweden)
My Life as a Zucchini (Switzerland)
I did call that Elle wasn’t getting shortlisted. I felt that one coming from a mile away. Also Julieta. All that stuff that people consider as snubs. The only one that I thought for sure would be nominated was Neruda, but I bet that too will end up being one of those situations where the movie is just okay and you think it would have been shortlisted because the director is hot shit at the moment (he made Jackie).
Also, looking at this… very Europe-based, huh? Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Germany, Denmark. Very Scandanavian. Canada, Australia, Russia… they basically count as Europe. Iran is about as exotic as we get.
But whatever. I’m not all for getting into what is or isn’t shortlisted. I’m here to talk about what’s gonna get nominated.