Posts tagged “Directors Guild

Oscars 2019: DGA Awards

DGA just announced.

Sam Mendes just won for 1917. So that’s a done deal. We’ve got four acting categories and Best Director all sewn up before the BAFTAs, which will confirm just about everything else we’ve got here. But even if they go opposite, all that really does is make you go, “Oh, that’s cute.” Because the DGA, as we all know… almost always right. So that’s about a done deal in Director. Picture is still up in the air, and really the only interesting thing BAFTA can do now is give someone else (namely Bong Joon-ho or Quentin, but mostly Bong Joon-ho) Picture and Director and make the Picture race more interesting. Because the door just shut on Director. This shit is locked. Because, didn’t we mention — HE SHOT A WAR MOVIE IN A ‘SINGLE TAKE’. Of course the directors were gonna go crazy for that.

Anyway, ASC still to announce, as if we had any doubt that Deakins was gonna win that shit too.

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Oscars 2019: DGA Nominations

Okay, DGA nominations. Here we go. Last piece of the puzzle and then we’ve got it all.

I’m not wasting time. Here they are:

Best Director

Bong Joon-ho, Parasite

Sam Mendes, 1917

Martin Scorsese, The Irishman

Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit


Oscars 2018: DGA Awards

The DGA Awards were handed out tonight. As a reminder, your nominees were:

Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

Alfonso Cuaron, Roma

Peter Farrelly, Green Book

Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

Adam McKay, Vice

Your Oscar category has Yorgos Lanthimos and Pawel Pawlikowski instead of Cooper and Farrelly, so basically you went into this knowing that Alfonso Cuaron was going to win and had absolutely no doubts about any other outcome.

And surprise, Alfonso Cuaron won. So now with the DGA alone, he becomes something like a 90% odds-on winner of the Oscar. But we didn’t really need the DGA to tell us that, did we? This one seemed pretty obvious all the way through, no matter what way Best Picture winds up going.

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Oscars 2018: DGA Nominations

And your DGA nominations were announced today. Typically they match 4/5 with the Oscars, so one of these people most likely will not end up being nominated. The last time they went 5/5 was 2009. And before that, 2005. And before that, 1998. So three times in twenty years.

Oh, and because I’m nuts — it only happened two times before that: 1981 and 1977. So five times ever. Well… since the DGA went to five nominees in 1970. Before that, the DGA had ten to fifteen nominees a year, which made it way easier to have all five be nominated. And you know what? It still only happened three times in those years: 1953 (12 DGA nominees), 1954 (15 DGA nominees) and 1967 (10 DGA nominees).

So yeah, 5 times in almost 50 years. Odds are, one of these people will not be nominated at the Oscars, and I think we all know who it’s gonna be.

Here are your DGA nominees for 2018: (more…)

Oscars 2017: DGA Awards

The DGA announced their winner last night. As a reminder, the nominees were:

Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water

Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Jordan Peele, Get Out

And the winner… was Guillermo Del Toro.

The DGA has matched the Oscar winner all but seven times, ever (and three of those times, the DGA winner wasn’t even nominated). So, at this very moment, there is a 90-94% chance that Guillermo Del Toro will win Best Director at the Oscars. He’s won all the precursors so far, and if he wins the BAFTA, I think it’s completely 100% locked. Look at it — four of these five are up for the Oscar. Paul Thomas Anderson is on the final list over Martin McDonagh, but otherwise they’re the same. BAFTA didn’t spark to Lady Bird or Get Out the way the other groups have, so unless Christopher Nolan is gonna try to pull a fast one (which seems unlikely), I think Guillermo has it in the bag.

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Oscars 2017: DGA Nominations

DGA nominations announced today. Not surprisingly, this will be big in determining who gets nominated for Best Director.

Without further ado, here they are:

Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water

Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Jordan Peele, Get Out


Oscars 2016: DGA Awards

Damien Chazelle won for La La Land. Shit’s locked, folks. In case you didn’t know already.

I figured I wouldn’t waste your time with a bullshit introduction and all that stuff.

Damien Chazelle won the DGA Award for La La Land, the award that is so accurate that only seven times in the history of the Oscars has it ever differed from the eventual Best Director winner. And two of those times, the person wasn’t even nominated. So we’re looking at 90% confirmation, and then taking into account the two times the winner wasn’t nominated (and assuming the next obvious choice), 93%.

Shit’s locked, guys. Good night, let’s go home, Picture and Director are sealed and now we just gotta figure out how many Oscars La La Land is winning and focus on some of the technical categories and acting categories to try to get some of the more contentious ones right.

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Oscars 2016: DGA Nominations

The DGA Nominations are here, and pretty much all the clay we’re gonna get to guess what the Oscar nominees are is in our collective possession.

Based on what the frontrunners are for Best Picture, I’d say they pretty much went chalk here. Though the DGA is notorious for only getting 4 of the 5 nominees, with at least one other entry making it on that feels more like a directors branch choice than a populist “frontrunner.” Think Lenny Abrahamson for Room last year, or Bennett Miller for Foxcatcher in 2014, or Michael Haneke and Benh Zeitlin in 2012. There should be something you don’t expect as much. It’s not like 2013 where all five nominees are major players (that year was Scorsese, David O. Russell, Alexander Payne, Alfonso Cuaron and Steve McQueen, established names or frontrunners based on their films).

So I’d feel safe saying not all of these five will make it on the final list, but it’s also a good measuring stick for where their heads are at.

Here are your 2016 DGA nominees: (more…)

Oscars 2015: DGA Awards

They gave out the DGA Awards earlier tonight. Or, I guess yesterday, since it’s like 3am now.

Alejandro G. Inarritu won for The Revenant.

So Best Director is pretty much a wrap. The DGA is the most accurate precursor of all of them.

The back-t0-back Best Director feat has only happened once before: Joseph L. Mankiewicz in 1949 and 1950, for A Letter to Three Wives and All About Eve. Mankiewicz also won Best Screenplay for both of those efforts on top of that. The Revenant wasn’t nominated for Screenplay this year, otherwise that also would have been in play.

BAFTA announces in a week. They’re the only ones that could potentially pull for an alternate winner. Though at this point, who could that even be?

Oscars 2015: DGA Nominations

The last major guild we were waiting for has announced. It’s DGA time.

Typically, the DGA matches the Oscars four out of five. This year, they theoretically could go five out of five.

Nothing seemed overly surprising with their choices. There was only one moderately surprising entry, but even that was a film that’s looking to be a major player. So really it’s just gonna be about figuring what could knock any of these nominees off the final list.

Here are your DGA nominees for 2015: (more…)

Oscars 2014: DGA Awards

The DGA Awards were tonight.

And… while the result was a distinct possibility, I somehow did not expect it to happen.

Alejandro G. Inarritu won for Birdman.

Which means Birdman has now won the PGA, the DGA, Best Ensemble at SAG, yet lost the Globe and BFCA. Though the two that matter, it has. And it’s the most nominated film at the Oscars. This might happen, guys. It feels weird.

BAFTA is tomorrow, though. Really interested to see which way they go.

I’m not willing to say the tide has turned until I see which way BAFTA goes. If that happens, and it wins BAFTA, look out.

Oscars 2014: DGA Nominations

The DGA announced their nominations today.

Not a very surprising list, honestly.

Here it is:

Best Director

Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Clint Eastwood, American Sniper

Alejandro G. Inarritu, Birdman

Richard Linklater, Boyhood

Morten Tyldum, The Imitation Game (more…)

Oscars 2013 Update: DGA Awards

So, Alfonso Cuaron just won the DGA.

That about sews that one up.

Unless we’re in for a real shocker.

Which no one expects.

Best Picture race — still interesting. Now we actually have to look to the BAFTAs for help. (Boy, that’ll be interesting.

Oscars 2012 Update: DGA Awards

Ben Affleck won the DGA Award for Argo.

It’s now going to be 7 times.

(That is, seven times that the DGA and the Oscars have differed. Ever. And now everyone’s gonna be wondering what the directors branch did with their Oscar nominations this year. This is fun. Best Director at the Oscars is officially meaningless this year.)

Oscars 2012 Update: DGA (Directors Guild) Nominations

The DGA has just announced their nominations.

I’m sure you all know that this is the most accurate predictor for the Oscars there is, the DGA winner having gone on to win the Best Director Oscar all but six times.

And as for the nominees — they’re actually really good about it. Last year, four out of five nominees matched, with David Fincher missing out and Terrence Malick getting on (most likely due to the latter’s Best Picture nomination and the former’s lack of one). 2010, four of five (the DGA had Christopher Nolan and the Oscars had the Coen brothers). 2009, all five. 2008, four of five (Nolan again. They replaced him with Stephen Daldry at the Oscars). 2007, four of five (DGA had Sean Penn, Oscars had Jason Reitman). 2006, only three of five (DGA missed Spielberg and Paul Greengrass in favor of Bill Condon and Jonathan Dayton and Valerie Ferris). 2005, all five. 2004, all five. 2003, four of five (DGA had Gary Ross, Oscars had Fernando Meirelles). 2002, four of five (DGA had Peter Jackson, Oscars had Pedro Almodovar). 2001, three of five (DGA had Baz Luhrmann and Christopher Nolan and the Oscars had Robert Altman and David Lynch). And 2000, four of five (DGA had Cameron Crowe and Oscars had Stephen Daldry).

So basically, they’re gonna get you at least four nominees. And when they do miss, it’s usually because either the Best Picture situation is murky (2006), a foreign director gets on (2003, 2002), really seasoned directors get on (2001), or they just fucking hate one particular director (2010, 2008).

That said, let’s look at this year’s DGA nominees: (more…)

Oscars 2011 Update: Directors Guild Nominations

Now this — this is interesting.

Big day today. Next biggest thing to predicting the Oscars to the PGA nominations/winners are the DGA nominations/winners. When the DGA nominates directors, you can be damn sure Oscar will nominate at least four of them (unless the fifth director is Christopher Nolan).

So without any ado, here are the Directors Guild nominees for Best Director:

  • Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
  • David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  • Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
  • Alexander Payne, The Descendants
  • Martin Scorsese, Hugo (more…)