Okay, WGA nominations are out. This will help with the Screenplay categories.
Though I should mention – a lot of stuff isn’t eligible here, so when you don’t see certain films on the list, it’s not because they didn’t vote for them. It’s because the scripts are ineligible, most likely because the writer isn’t a member of the guild. Quentin is famously not in the guild, so he’s won like two Screenplay awards without ever being nominated at the guild.
Here’s a quick list of stuff that was ineligible here: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Pain and Glory, The Farewell, The Peanut Butter Falcon, The Last Black Man in San Francisco, Waves, Midsommar, Judy, Downton Abbey, Toy Story 4.
Also note that both The Two Popes and Hustlers were deemed Original by the WGA and are competing for Adapted at the Oscars. Though looking at these lists we’re about to see… maybe that’s not the right call.
Here are your WGA nominees for 2019: (more…)
The WGA Awards were handed out tonight.
Eighth Grade won for Original Screenplay and Can You Ever Forgive Me? won for Adapted Screenplay.
Both of those are surprising results. Eighth Grade isn’t even nominated for the Oscar, so that’s part of that one. The other part — The Favourite wasn’t eligible for WGA. And the Original Screenplay category was long considered The Favourite vs. Green Book. So now you have a situation where Green Book was in the guild without having to face The Favourite, and it still lost. That’s fascinating. And since Roma didn’t win, that means that doesn’t get a boost into “could win” territory. So now we’re back to The Favourite vs. Green Book. You can’t call it just yet because if Green Book is gonna win Best Picture, it almost certainly is gonna take Screenplay too. But man, does this make you look even more sideways at Green Book’s chances here.
And then for Adapted — Can You Ever Forgive Me? opens up the Adapted race to three films instead of two. I thought it would be either Beale Street or BlacKkKlansman, which split BFCA and BAFTA. I figured this would be the tiebreaker. Now we just have another hat in the ring. Though what’s even more interesting about the whole affair — all three of them lost the USC Scripter to Leave No Trace, which isn’t nominated for the Oscar. So now we have three scripts which won one precursor each, and no real idea how the Academy’s gonna vote for the category.
Oh well. That’s the fun of Oscar season, I guess. MPSE is announcing tonight, so those results will go up when I have them. CDG announces Tuesday and then that’ll be it for the precursors. Then I’ve got four category breakdowns left — both Screenplay categories, Sound Editing, which will go up tomorrow, and Best Picture, which will go up last. Then Friday come the Five Word Film Reviews (which are DONE already! Most years I’m rushing to write up like 300 reviews in less than a week. I did that shit already!). Saturday we do our usual Favorite Moments in the Best Picture nominees and prepare ourselves for Sunday. P.S. I’m already 43,000 words into my giant Oscar article. I’m on top of this shit this year. I am ready.
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Okay, our final shortlist for today — the Writers Guild.
These nominations always have to be taken with a grain of salt just because there are always ineligible scripts each year. I think because people aren’t actually guild members. The ones that I know for sure that weren’t eligible this year were: The Favourite, Hereditary, Sorry to Bother You, Death of Stalin, Incredibles 2, The Sisters Brothers and Leave No Trace.
Most of those really stood no shot at the final list, but The Favourite almost certainly will, so it not being nominated here means nothing for its ultimate chances in the end.
That said, here are your WGA nominees for 2018: (more…)
The WGA Awards were handed out tonight.
The winners were Get Out for Original Screenplay and Call Me By Your Name for Adapted Screenplay. The latter was not surprising in the least, and the former is only interesting because it beat Lady Bird. Three Billboards, the presumptive favorite to win the Oscar (at least, until it loses BAFTA next week), was ineligible here. So really it was gonna come down to which won, Get Out or Lady Bird. So here we are.
Crazy to me that The Shape of Water is nowhere in this Screenplay conversation, despite being the presumptive favorite for Best Picture. Then again, if Three Billboards really is the movie that’s gonna win the whole thing, it winning Screenplay makes more sense. But if it is The Shape of Water, you do realize that the Best Picture winner does win Screenplay like 2/3 of the time, right? It’s crazy that it doesn’t even feel like a contender at this point.
Anyway, more categories tomorrow. (And by the way, I’m also 17,000 words into my Oscar picks article, due to go up in about three weeks. Haven’t even started making choices yet. the 17,000 words is just set up. So get ready for that, eventually.)
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The new year is up and running, and we’ve got some guild nominations to get through.
We begin with the WGA, which is generally helpful in figuring out the Screenplay categories, outside of the fact that invariably a handful of scripts are not eligible for the WGA, which will throw a giant monkey wrench into everyone’s calculations. I know for a fact that Three Billboards and Darkest Hour are not eligible. Though I believe those are the only ones.
This is also a year where it feels like Original Screenplay is way stronger than Adapted Screenplay, which will undoubtedly lead to some ‘snubs’ there at some point during the race.
Let’s see what the WGA has given us this year: (more…)
The Writer’s Guild announced their nominations.
Generally you can only really believe about 60% of what you see with them, just because every year a bunch of scripts go in different categories (two years ago, Whiplash was nominated in Original at WGA and was pushed Adapted for the Oscars), or are just straight up ineligible at the WGA for various reasons. So you can only go so far in believing the WGA nominations in terms of translating into Oscar nominations.
That said, let’s take a look at what they nominated this year: (more…)
Oh yeah, the WGA Awards were announced last night.
I realized I never wrote it up as I checked to see if ASC announced yet (which they will soon).
The Big Short won for Adapted and Spotlight won for Original.
Your screenplay categories are locked. No need to stretch this article out any more than it needs to be.