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Oscars 2018: The B+ Nominations Ballot

If you were to list my three favorite articles to write each year, it would be — 3) Top Ten List, 2) Nominations Ballot, 1) Oscar picks article. I love this day. I love it so much.

And, in a way, while I do enjoy writing up the Oscar picks article slightly more than writing up this one, this article means more to me. I much prefer doing better here than on Oscar night. There are gonna be about 120 nominees announced tomorrow. If I can guess 90 of them, I’m happy. And if I can guess 90 of them and be right there on the alternates, I’m even happier. Forget going 20/24 on Oscar night. This is where it’s at. This is what takes skill.

And yes, this is going to be an article where I attempt to guess every single Oscar nominee. I’ve done it every year since I started this site, and I’ve always been above 2/3. The worst I did was 68% in my first year. Since then I’ve been above 70. Last year was 74.5% and my personal best was 78.5%. My next goal is to get either above 80% or over 100 total correct, whichever comes first.

I also, unlike a lot of the other sites (I know, because I used to read them before I realized I could make the same mistakes on my own), won’t just give you a list. I will talk you through my entire thought process. I’ll show you how I get to my decisions. The idea being it will give you all the information you need to do this too, should you want to. And hopefully you can all go forth and pick better than I can and make me proud. (I’m like a middle school teacher, but for useless stuff.) Read the rest of this page »

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Oscars 2018: Razzie Nominations

The Razzie nominations were announced this morning. This will be a nice little diversion from finishing up my Oscar nominations guesses. (It’s done, don’t you worry. It’ll go up within the hour. I just need a moment to breathe and separate myself from it. This article will be a nice way to do that.)

I don’t even think I covered the Razzies last year. I wasn’t in the right frame of mind to do that, and ultimately I don’t care. But this year, I’m back. I can cover them and feel okay about it.

Actually, let’s look and see what won last year — Emoji Movie, The Mummy… hey look, it’s my Unforgivables list! That’s funny. Baywatch got nominated. Wow, so they basically agreed with me, and then they put on the bullshit nominations designed to get press. Yeah, that sounds like them.

Okay, so let’s see what made it this year. Read the rest of this page »

Oscars 2018: My Nominations Ballot

If there’s one thing I’m very good at doing, it’s separating my subjectivity from my objectivity. Something I notice most people who talk or write about film are very poor at doing.

On Tuesday they’ll announce this year’s Oscar nominations. Tomorrow, I will write up what I think will be nominated. While that list is, to an extent, subjective in the sense that it’s what I think will be nominated, I’m not letting my personal preference dictate what I guess. But, since I am human and do have opinions, I allow today to be the day where I can voice them. So today’s all about what I would nominate, and tomorrow is about what I think will actually be nominated. You’d be surprised how many people allow their personal feelings dictate how they pick the Oscars. I get all that out now so I can just be honest about what I think is gonna happen, knowing it’s already clear where I stand on each of the films.

This article is basically — if I were somehow given a full ballot and told that I could put in nominations for every single category, what would I choose? Most of the time, it ends up being pretty close to what ends up being nominated, but I also will go off and select stuff I think was great that got no praise throughout the year. This year, I’m wondering how much my hands will be tied because of all the new shortlists they introduced. I guess we’ll see.

Here’s what my Oscar nominations ballot would look like: Read the rest of this page »

Oscars 2018: PGA Awards

The PGA Awards were last night. Green Book won Best Picture.

Roma had won BFCA. The Globe was split between Bohemian Rhapsody (Drama) and Green Book (Musical/Comedy).

I felt from the start that A Star Is Born wasn’t gonna have the legs to take everything down, so now here we are, with the two other seemingly “top” contenders starting to split all the awards.

Now we have to wait to see what BAFTA does, though I’m suspecting Roma takes that down. If Green Book wins there, then that might be a wrap. But I’m thinking the PGA didn’t go to Roma because they’re still not totally sold about that whole Netflix thing. I’m wondering if and how the Oscars will be different, but right now, you have to consider Green Book and Roma your two frontrunners.

I would automatically say it’s just Green Book, but you have to realize, two of the past three years the PGA was wrong (they had Big Short in 2015 and La La Land in 2016). So really it’s just gonna come down to what all your precursors are and the prevailing winds.

Plus, we still need nominations first on Tuesday. So let’s let those drop before we start proclaiming anything to be over.

Also of note, Won’t You Be My Neighbor? won in Documentary and Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse won for Animated, cementing those two’s statuses as frontrunners in their respective categories.

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My Favorite Directorial Efforts of 2018

I post these lists every year. They’re coming late this year, mostly owing to the scheduling of the rest of the season. Shit happens. This will be the first one you get, because the next couple days are all Oscar nominations. And then I’ll do all the performances once those are done, and then after that it’s basically category preview time.

The point of these lists is the same as when I post the Underrated and Underseen films of the year — I just want people to discover cool stuff. I mean, sure, a lot of the time we’re all in agreement on what the best stuff is, but you might look at my list and see something you wouldn’t anywhere else. And then you seek that out and think, “That was really great. I gotta tell people about that.” That’s the goal. It’s all about seeing cool things and sharing cool things.

Today I’m going over the directorial efforts I loved. As I say, they’re in order, but they’re not really in order. The numbers don’t matter. I liked these efforts the most. And it’s just about what I liked, not about awards or anything else.

Here are my favorite directorial efforts of 2018: Read the rest of this page »