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Oscars 2019 Category Breakdown: Best Actress

Here’s how this works: every day leading up to the Oscars, I break down each of the 24 categories. The goal is to both familiarize everyone with the category itself (how it works, what its history is and how you go about figuring out what’s gonna win) while also making it easier to reference when I write my giant article with picks and everything. A lot of the leg work is already here. But really, the goal is to see if there’s anything to look for leading into Oscar night that could be a shortcut to me picking the category.

What we do is — I give you all the winners of the category throughout history, go over all the recent trends if there are any, discuss the precursors and whether or not they matter, and then we talk about this year’s category and how we got to it, and then just look at where we are and rank the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning (at the current moment in time. Of course, things can and will change going into the ceremony). It’s all pretty simple. I’ve done this every year. Everyone should know the drill.

Today is Best Actress. And the only category that seemed like maybe it could have been interesting going into precursors… and then it turned out to be as locked as the rest of them. Read the rest of this page »

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Pic of the Day: “You may not be allowed to vote, ma’am, but it is your government.” “Yes. I suppose that is some consolation.”

Oscars 2019: MPSE Awards

The Motion Picture Sound Editors gave out their awards last night.

Ford v Ferrari won for SFX+Foley, while 1917 won Dialogue+ADR, Jojo Rabbit won Music and Rocketman won Music in a Musical. Parasite won for Foreign Language Film, to nobody’s surprise. And Toy Story 4 won for Animation, further cementing that film’s status as the Animated Feature winner.

This isn’t a huge help for us in the Sound Editing (or Mixing) category, since Ford v Ferrari and 1917 are figuring to be the two big frontrunners there. The rest of the category in Editing is Joker, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and Star Wars, so not that we needed the help, but those are the clear favorites. Though the only distinction we really have for what’s gonna win is that 1917 is the big war Best Picture nominee with 10 nominations and Ford v Ferrari only has four nominations, almost all technical. We’ll see what CAS does on Saturday night, though 1917 isn’t nominated there, so I suspect Ford v Ferrari will win or Once Upon a Time will win. Pretty much whatever they do is gonna make our lives harder in guessing these categories. So that’ll be fun.

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Oscars 2019 Category Breakdown: Best Original Score

Here’s how this works: every day leading up to the Oscars, I break down each of the 24 categories. The goal is to both familiarize everyone with the category itself (how it works, what its history is and how you go about figuring out what’s gonna win) while also making it easier to reference when I write my giant article with picks and everything. A lot of the leg work is already here. But really, the goal is to see if there’s anything to look for leading into Oscar night that could be a shortcut to me picking the category.

What we do is — I give you all the winners of the category throughout history, go over all the recent trends if there are any, discuss the precursors and whether or not they matter, and then we talk about this year’s category and how we got to it, and then just look at where we are and rank the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning (at the current moment in time. Of course, things can and will change going into the ceremony). It’s all pretty simple. I’ve done this every year. Everyone should know the drill.

Today is Best Original Score. AKA John Williams’ annual poker night, because that dude is always here. Read the rest of this page »

Oscars 2019: SAG Awards

The SAG Awards were handed out tonight.

I actually missed part of the show because I figured they’d wait for the football to be done. But apparently not. Fortunately by the time I realized, the game was already a blowout, so I was able to watch both and not really have to pay full attention to either.

This is my least favorite awards show, but the results mean the most of just about any of them. Plus, going in, I could have told you every single film winner. So there wasn’t really a whole lot of surprise there or anything for me to want to see, and really it was just about seeing who gave the best speeches (Brad Pitt wins again on that front and De Niro had a great one too, specifically when he was speaking from the heart and not reading from his prepared words).

So let’s just get into it. Here are your SAG winners: Read the rest of this page »

Oscars 2019 Category Breakdown: Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Here’s how this works: every day leading up to the Oscars, I break down each of the 24 categories. The goal is to both familiarize everyone with the category itself (how it works, what its history is and how you go about figuring out what’s gonna win) while also making it easier to reference when I write my giant article with picks and everything. A lot of the leg work is already here. But really, the goal is to see if there’s anything to look for leading into Oscar night that could be a shortcut to me picking the category.

What we do is — I give you all the winners of the category throughout history, go over all the recent trends if there are any, discuss the precursors and whether or not they matter, and then we talk about this year’s category and how we got to it, and then just look at where we are and rank the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning (at the current moment in time. Of course, things can and will change going into the ceremony). It’s all pretty simple. I’ve done this every year. Everyone should know the drill.

Today is Best Makeup & Hairstyling, which — guess what? They’re finally letting it eat at the adults table! Instead of three nominees they finally let it have five! Congrats. Now you have to talk politics and listen to Great Grandma ramble because no one else will talk to her. Read the rest of this page »