It’s gonna be a double whammy of nominations today and tomorrow. Today, SAG has announced their nominations, and tomorrow are the (irrelevant but fun) Golden Globes nominations. Let’s focus on today, because today is the big one.
SAG, as we all know, is a really good prognosticator for guessing Oscar nominations. I’m going to get to specifics in a bit, but the actors branch is the biggest branch of the Academy, so what they like tends to be mirrored in the Oscar nominations. The only real difference between SAG and the actors branch of the Academy is that the Academy skews older. So while SAG will nominate a cool, up and coming actor in a film, the Academy is more likely to stick with veterans. Example: in 2007, SAG nominated Emile Hirsch and Ryan Gosling for Best Actor (for Into the Wild and Lars and the Real Girl, respectively), whereas the Academy nominated Tommy Lee Jones and Johnny Depp (for In the Valley of Elah and Sweeney Todd) instead. That’s the kind of stuff that happens. So don’t always take the SAG nominations to heart.
That said, though, they’re a really good prognosticator for who’ll be nominated for the acting awards. So let’s show just how accurate they usually are, and then get into this year’s SAG nominations. Read the rest of this page »