The CAS Awards were also given out tonight. Hooray, Sound Mixing.
The winner was Bohemian Rhapsody, which paints a really interesting picture for Oscar night. I suspected this would be the case for the guild, but with First Man being nominated in both categories, and my everlasting mantra of “Don’t split the Sound categories, Mike,” I’m really wondering how this one is gonna turn out. There’s a chance First Man wins Editing and this wins Mixing. But we’ll see. I’m still figuring out my final thoughts on everything and preparing my giant 45,000 word Oscar article (I’m wondering if we approach 50,000 words this year). Apparently that’s about what a decent-sized novel would be. That sounds about right for the nonsense I spew.
Oh, and Isle of Dogs won for Animation and Free Solo won for Documentary. The latter makes sense at first glance. I assume Isle of Dogs beat Spider-Verse, which I kinda get. Music tends to be a factor in Mixing more than the other categories. But honestly anything outside of the big category is meaningless to me. Let’s not pretend either of those factor into their races.
Tomorrow night is WGA and MPSE, and then CDG is the last precursor on Tuesday, and then we’re totally done in terms of precursors and it’s just straight up guessing at that point. We’re in the final stretch, guys. This is it. The Endgame. Shit’s about to start turning into dust and stuff.
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Hey everyone. The Makeup & Hairstylist Guild Awards were tonight. I remember a few years ago they offered me accreditation to attend their awards as a journalist and I thought, “Man, are you guys that desperate for coverage of your event that you think I’m a journalist?” That was fun. Almost wish I’d taken them up on it. I’m still here if you guys wanna invite me next time. I’m completely meaningless, but I’m all about what you guys do. You’re all unsung heroes of the craft.
Anyway, they gave out five awards that matter. Vice won for Period and/or Character Makeup and Special Makeup Effects, Mary Queen of Scots won for Period and/or Character Hairstyling. A Star Is Born won for Contemporary Makeup (sure, I guess?) and Crazy Rich Asians won for Contemporary Hairstyling.
So yeah. Not much of what we didn’t already know. Vice and Mary Queen of Scots, both of which are nominated in the Oscar category with Border. It’s pretty clear how the category is gonna turn out. But you know what, these people got their due and they deserve it.
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So what we do here each year as a warm up for the Oscars is, I break down each of the 24 categories. The idea is to both familiarize everyone with the category and its history. I look at what the major trends are throughout the past bunch of years, how the precursors tend to go, whether they matter or not, that sort of stuff. I look at how the category came to be this year, and just anything else that seems totally pertinent about it. Then I rank each of the nominees and tell you what their likelihood (at this particular moment in time) of winning is.
This is all prelude to my giant Oscar ballot that I’m gonna give you. But I figure, if you have these as the warmup, it’s not as intimidating. You’ll have seen a lot of the pertinent trends here and we’ll all be able to reference these as a sort of cheat sheet. Plus it shows you where my head is at for how I think each of the categories are gonna go, and you can see me working my way up to all the bad decisions I usually make while guessing. Pretty much, with this, you’ll have a pretty good idea of how the category is gonna turn out.
Today is Best Costume Design. AKA Best Frills. We probably didn’t need to wait this long to go over it, but I feel like this one could be interesting, so I wanted to wait until most of the precursors were in before I talked about it. (more…)