The Costume Designers Guild announced their awards this evening.
Excellence in Period Film went to The Danish Girl. That and Carol were the only two nominated films in that category.
Excellence in Fantasy Film went to Mad Max: Fury Road, which beat Cinderella, another nominee.
Excellence in Contemporary Film went to Beasts of No Nation. That category is always a wash because contemporary films never get nominated for costumes.
Pretty much this tells us that Mad Max is probably winning yet another category, since Cinderella has lost to it heads up at least twice now in precursors, and it’s won just about everything so far.
Though it’s worth noting that The Revenant was not nominated here and still could theoretically sneak in a win at the Oscars.
Every year before the Oscars I break down each of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with the category, how it works, what its history is, how it usually turns out, and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.
How these work is — I go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have went, and how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win.
Today is Best Actor. Which, for the first time since My Fair Lady is going to feature bear rape. (more…)