Every year before the Oscars I break down each of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with the category, how it typically goes, voting-wise, historically and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.
What I do is go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have voted, how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win. So you know what the general favorites are.
Today is Best Supporting Actress. This will be easy. (more…)
The VES Awards were last night. They have a lot of awards, so we’ll run through them quickly.
The basics of what you need to know — The Jungle Book won a lot of awards. Five, to be exact. They won for Photoreal FX (the big award), Animated Performance (King Louie), Effects Simulations, Virtual Cinematography and Composting.
Deepwater Horizon won for Supporting FX and Outstanding Model, while Doctor Strange won for Created Environment (NYC).
In the Animated field, Kubo won for Animated Effects, Finding Dory won for Animated Performance (Hank) nd Moana won for Animated Created Environment (Motonui Island) and Effects Simulations.
As your category for the Oscars is Deepwater Horizon, Doctor Strange, The Jungle Book, Kubo and the Two Strings and Rogue One, I would say that puts The Jungle Book as a pretty big favorite, if it wasn’t already. BAFTA is on Sunday, and that should lock that into place even further, as BAFTA tends to have a pretty good history and predicting who will win the Visual Effects category, especially in years without Best Picture nominees in the fold.