… And there’s your last guild. From here on out it’s just straight up guessing. Remember the Scientific Method? You do all your experiments testing laundry detergents or whatever you did for science fair and then there’s that analysis portion where you make graphs and stuff. That’s where we’re at now.
Anyway, the Costume Designers Guild announced their awards tonight. And surprisingly — or not surprisingly — they gave us absolutely no help at all.
Hidden Figures won for Best Period Costumes, Doctor Strange won for Best Fantasy Costumes and La La Land won for Best Contemporary Costumes. La La Land is the only film actually nominated. Fantastic Beasts was nominated in Fantasy and lost, and Florence Foster Jenkins and Jackie both lost in Period.
So we waited all this time for them to announce, and they told us squadoosh. Thanks, guys.
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Every year before the Oscars I break down each of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with the category, how it typically goes, voting-wise, historically and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.
What I do is go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have voted, how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win. So you know what the general favorites are.
Today is Best Adapted Screenplay. One of the nominees is dead! (more…)