Posts tagged “Nominations

Oscars 2019: Independent Spirit Awards

Just to finish off the last of these articles, the Independent Spirit Awards were announced today. They changed the voting so that all the big studio Oscar stuff doesn’t make it on and dominate the competition anymore. So now it’s truly independent stuff, which is both nice but also makes the awards show a bit of an afterthought. Mostly I love that it’s people getting together in a tent on the beach in Santa Monica and getting absolutely day drunk. That’s really why we have this show, isn’t it?

Anyway, here are your winners (which you basically could have called a month ago just by looking at the nominees. But hey, it’s not about the winners, it’s about the day drinking): (more…)


Oscars 2019: VES Awards

The Visual Effect Society handed out their awards tonight. As a reminder, your Oscar category is:

1917
Avengers: Endgame
The Irishman
The Lion King
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

So really, those are the only five we’re paying attention to here.

VES hands out 11 film awards, 4 animated. So it’s seven major categories we’re looking at. For Animated, Missing Link won Best Animated Effects and Best Animated Character, while Toy Story 4 won Best Created Environment for the Antiques Shop and Frozen II won for Best Effects Simulations, for, I guess, the snow and shit. All of that makes total sense to me.

As for the film awards, The Lion King won Best Effects, Best Virtual Cinematography and Best Created Environment. Considering the entire film is created and the creation of the effects was done in this sort of VR space, I’m not surprised it won any of those three awards. Meanwhile, The Irishman won for Supporting Effects and Composting, while Alita: Battle Angel won for Animated Character and Rise of Skywalker won for Effect Simulations. That means 3/5 of the category won an award, with 1917 and Endgame the films that won nothing. 1917 was only nominated for Supporting Effects, so once Irishman won that, it was gonna go home empty-handed. Endgame was nominated in three categories and lost them all.

I will say, I appreciate that all the awards basically went to the films that made the most sense. It’s rare that you feel like people vote for what the best choice is rather than with some sort of agenda.

BAFTA is on Sunday, and we’ll learn a lot based on what wins there (since BFCA already gave out their award to Endgame and I’ve already discounted that as nonsense, which was just backed up by VES), but I’m suspecting that the Oscar winner is probably gonna be The Irishman, with Lion King a contender (but probably overmatched in the ‘class’ game) and 1917 a potential upset pick. Mostly I wanna see if BAFTA goes for 1917. If they do, that’ll make things REALLY interesting. But we know how this goes — Best Picture nominees usually outmuscle everything else in the category. You kinda forget that part, since 2015 was the last time Best Picture nominees were nominated and Ex Machina blew that whole thing up. But before that, Best Picture nominees were automatic in the category (and even since, the ‘classier’ films tended to win — Blade Runner, First Man). So I’m thinking we stick to that, but hey, maybe if BAFTA goes Lion King… maybe not. We’ll see.

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Oscars 2019: ASC Awards

Okay, final award. ASC. Cinematography.

And if you didn’t think they were gonna give it to Roger Deakins for 1917, you’re high. He’s been nominated at the guild 16 times, one more time than he’s been nominated for an Oscar. He’s won four other times, for Shawshank in 1994, The Man Who Wasn’t There in 2001, Skyfall in 2012 and Blade Runner in 2017. His five wins at ASC ties him with Emmanuel Lubezki for most all-time, ahead of Conrad fucking Hall.

And did I mention — it’s Roger fucking Deakins shooting a war movie to look like it was done in a single take. He’s going to win the Oscar.

Remember eight years ago when we couldn’t buy him an Oscar? Now he’s just flexing his muscles and winning these things like it’s nothing. I love it.

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Oscars 2019: CAS Awards

Okay, second awards handed out tonight — CAS. For Sound Mixing.

The winner was Ford v Ferarri. I should point out that 1917 WAS NOT nominated at CAS, so really that was a foregone conclusion that it would probably win. I was only really looking out to see if somehow Once Upon a Time in Hollywood would win. But really the Sound categories are gonna come down to Ford v Ferrari and 1917, and the question is gonna be — as it usually does — will one film win them both or should you commit the cardinal sin and split the Sound categories?

I’m really curious to see what BAFTA does next weekend, because right now, Ford v Ferrari technically has more precursor wins than 1917 does. But BAFTA will really tell us where this is all likely gonna go come Oscar night.

Meanwhile, Toy Story 4 won their Animation award, in case there was any doubt about where that category was headed. That’s won like every single guild there is to win thus far except animation, which is its own weird thing.

Anyway, that’s Sound Mixing. DGA and ASC still to come.

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Oscars 2019: ACE Eddie Awards

The Eddie Awards were handed out last night. Here are the winners:

Dramatic: Parasite

Comedy: Jojo Rabbit

Animated: Toy Story 4

Documentary: Apollo 11

Nothing particularly surprising. Parasite winning Dramatic made the most sense for them. Marriage Story was never gonna win, Joker would have been a big surprise, for everyone including the Joker team. The Irishman would have made some sense, because it’s Thelma, but I haven’t seen real love for that movie out there to this point. Ford v Ferrari would have made sense as a pure ‘editing’ movie, but Parasite is the consensus favorite film out there by a lot of people and feels like it can easily win the Editing category even without winning Picture. 1917 wasn’t nominated because there’s no editing, so if they’re all in on that, then this didn’t matter, did it? And then in Comedy, Jojo was the de facto winner the minute Once Upon a Time in Hollywood wasn’t nominated. If the guild didn’t nominate it, why would they give it their big award? And Jojo’s the only other nominated film in the category. Then, Toy Story in Animated made total sense. It’s gonna win that category. And Apollo 11 is the consensus best documentary of the year (and they didn’t even nominate it, so that’s how you know it’s good), so that’s no surprise either.

It’ll be real interesting to see what BAFTA does with editing, especially given Parasite not being nominated there. This might actually be one of the few categories of the night we actually have to think about. Which is sure setting up for a 2011 scenario, isn’t it?

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And the Nominees Are: Analyzing the 92nd Academy Award Nominations

Okay, so Oscar nominations are out. The moment we’ve all been waiting for. I posted the list earlier, but by itself and without comment, because I woke up at 5:30 and typed the nominations As they were spoken. This is all from the time between then and now, as I’ve thought about it all and could talk somewhat coherently about it all.

Somehow I thought they started reading the nominations at 5:30. You know, like it said. So I woke up and saw Issa Rae and John Cho had already finished half the nominees. So I went back, hurriedly typed out twelve categories and caught it just as they started round two. At least I didn’t sleep totally through them, which has happened before.

Anyway, the thing I always say now is — we’ve just crossed that Autosave zone. There’s no going back now. No more talk about what can or will be nominated — this is the list. This is what we have now and in perpetuity. We get our ‘shouldn’t have been nominated’ stuff out now, but this is what we got. Now all that matters is what’s going to win. And that’s what we’ll be talking about for the next 24 days. Because literally I have to start category breakdowns TOMORROW due to the truncated schedule. We’re gonna go 24 days from tomorrow through all the categories and that takes us to two days BEFORE the Oscars. That’s how short this time period is.

But anyway, let’s see how it all went down. What the surprises were, where the snubs came, what this means for picking the winners. All that good stuff.

Here are your 92nd Academy Award nominations: (more…)


And the Nominees Are… (2019)

Best Picture

1917

Ford v Ferrari

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker

Little Women

Marriage Story

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Parasite

 

Best Director

Bong Joon Ho, Parasite

Sam Mandes, 1917

Todd Phillips, Joker

Martin Scorsese, The Irishman

Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (more…)


Oscars 2019: The B+ Nominations Ballot

I get so excited for this article, but it feels like we’re just rushing right into it this year. Which is because it’s coming about a week earlier this year than it usually does, pushed up due to the fact that the Oscars are three weeks early this year. It doesn’t matter. I’m still gonna go all out and blather on forever. Because it’s what I do. This article only comes second to the actual Oscar night article in terms of how all out I go in talking about stuff that only matters to me and just about no one else.

Tomorrow morning, at 5:30am PST, they will announce the Oscar nominees. There will be anywhere from 120 and 125 nominees, owing to the sliding scale for Best Picture. There will be 120 for sure, and there can be up to 125. If previous years hold, expect either 123 or 124. I’m gonna try to guess all of them correctly. Because that’s what I do. Typically, if I can get to 90, I’m happy. If I can hit 75% or more, I’m thrilled. The goal is to, one of these years, get to 80%. But that’s all hypothetical. I’m really just here to guess shit and talk about Oscars. The rest is just personal goals to make it more interesting for myself.

The tens of you who read this site should know by now that I’m not just gonna give you the same shit everyone gives you. Most people just give you a list and don’t explain themselves or they guess based on what’s gonna get them clicks. You know I don’t do the latter ever and I refuse to give you the former. I’m gonna give you way more information than you could ever possibly need. My goal is to do well enough for you to be able to do better than me. I’m not just telling you, I’m showing you the thought process so you can hopefully find some creases that I don’t see (or refuse to acknowledge because of whatever shred of pride there is left in these cockles). It’s not about how well I do. It’s about empowering you to do better. (more…)


Oscars 2019: VES Nominations

Okay, as we await the DGA nominations, here are your VES nominations for this year.

This is Visual Effects and here is the shortlist we’re all working off:

1917
Alita: Battle Angel
Avengers: Endgame
Captain Marvel
Cats
Gemini Man
The Irishman
The Lion King
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Terminator: Dark Fate

Basically five of these are locked, with Alita a probable sixth. I suspect we should look for Avengers, Irishman, Lion King and Star Wars on the Best Effects category, with Alita the fifth nominee, and then 1917 in Supporting Effects. Once we see that, then we can eliminate everything else and basically know what’s gonna happen all the way through.

Here are your VES nominees: (more…)


Oscars 2019: ASC Nominations

The American Society of Cinematographers announced their nominees today. With them as the guild, we’ll get BAFTA nominees soon and we have BFCA nominees already. Between the three, we’ll figure out the category.

As a reminder, BFCA nominated 1917, Ford v Ferrari, The Irishman, Joker, The Lighthouse and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.

Which will be important in a second, because here are the ASC nominees:

Best Cinematography

1917

Ford v Ferrari

The Irishman

Joker

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (more…)


Oscars 2019: ACE Nominations

The American Cinema Editors announced the nominees for their Eddie Awards.

This should give us a good idea of what films they like best in the Best Picture race. This is where I wanna see if Parasite gets on. That’s the big one for me. Everything else should be pretty obvious. We know Thelma’s on, we know Quentin’s movie is on, we know Ford v Ferrari is on. So really it’s just what else made it. Rocketman in Musical/Comedy, probably Jojo in Comedy. This stuff is easy. It’s really just about what it tells us for the Oscars. So let’s see what we’ve got.

Here are the ACE nominees: (more…)


Oscars 2019: CAS Nominations

Two more guilds announced today. The first of which is CAS, the Cinema Audio Society. That’s for Sound Mixing. Mixing is the sound design as a whole, versus Editing, which is the compilation and creation of those sounds. Though we might not need that distinction in the future, since the Academy is considering going back to just one ‘Sound’ category like how BAFTA does it, given the substantial overlap between the categories and the general lack of distinction between the two by voters. But that’s not the case this year, so this one’s for Sound Mixing.

Basically we’re gonna take this, MPSE (Sound Editors guild) and BAFTA and then guess what’s gonna get nominated from that. Though at this point, you have a pretty damn good guess at for sure 2 of the 5 nominees, if not 3. So I don’t think it’s gonna be all that difficult in the end.

Here are this year’s CAS nominees: (more…)


Oscars 2019: Independent Spirit Award Nominations

They also announced these last week. These are closer to being slightly meaningful for the Oscars, but the fact that I waited this long to talk about them should tell you how little they truly matter. Mostly it’s just indie people promoting indies, and usually the indies that are the real Oscar contenders end up shining. But mainly it’s just an excuse for everyone to get drunk in a giant tent in Santa Monica the day before the Oscars. Which I approve of wholeheartedly.

I honestly blindly copy-pasted these categories the day they were announced and didn’t even look at them until now, so, as usual, this is just gonna be my gut reaction based on seeing everything as we go through the article. I suspect nothing here will be particularly surprising or helpful, but mostly I’ll go, “Oh, good for them,” because stuff I know will never get any Oscar attention will get some love here, which at least gives it something.

Anyway, here are your 2019 Indie Spirit Award nominees: (more…)


Oscars 2018: CAS Awards

The CAS Awards were also given out tonight. Hooray, Sound Mixing.

The winner was Bohemian Rhapsody, which paints a really interesting picture for Oscar night. I suspected this would be the case for the guild, but with First Man being nominated in both categories, and my everlasting mantra of “Don’t split the Sound categories, Mike,” I’m really wondering how this one is gonna turn out. There’s a chance First Man wins Editing and this wins Mixing. But we’ll see. I’m still figuring out my final thoughts on everything and preparing my giant 45,000 word Oscar article (I’m wondering if we approach 50,000 words this year). Apparently that’s about what a decent-sized novel would be. That sounds about right for the nonsense I spew.

Oh, and Isle of Dogs won for Animation and Free Solo won for Documentary. The latter makes sense at first glance. I assume Isle of Dogs beat Spider-Verse, which I kinda get. Music tends to be a factor in Mixing more than the other categories. But honestly anything outside of the big category is meaningless to me. Let’s not pretend either of those factor into their races.

Tomorrow night is WGA and MPSE, and then CDG is the last precursor on Tuesday, and then we’re totally done in terms of precursors and it’s just straight up guessing at that point. We’re in the final stretch, guys. This is it. The Endgame. Shit’s about to start turning into dust and stuff.

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Oscars 2018: VES Awards

Funny story — I forgot VES was handing out awards today. I was writing up my Best Visual Effects category breakdown and went to look up when VES would be announcing so I’d have an idea… turns out, it was tonight. So here’s your VES write-up.

This guild is a function of what your Oscar nominees are. Really they help only so far. You look to BAFTA to confirm where you think things are leaning, and the Oscar category is a mixture of that plus just looking at it, because a lot of the time the answer is obvious.

Here’s your Visual Effects Oscar category, to make things easier:

Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
First Man

Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

There are seven major VES awards. Avengers: Infinity War won four of them, Best Effects, Animated Character, Composting and Effects Simulations. Ready Player One won two, Created Environment and Virtual Cinematography. First Man won for Supporting Effects. Also worth noting, Mortal Engines won for Models, and in Animated, Into the Spider-Verse swept everything, winning for Best Animated Effects, Animated Character, Created Environment and Effects Simulations.

So, on this alone, you might say Avengers is the frontrunner for the Oscar. I’m not going there just yet. I want to see what BAFTA does. Especially since the Oscar tends to go to the “classier” film with more of a pedigree, and that clearly seems like First Man in this case. If BAFTA goes Ready Player One then we have a decision on our hands. If Avengers manages to win BAFTA, then I may be swayed. And if First Man wins BAFTA, then you pretty much know exactly how this one’s gonna turn out.

I’m not calling this a huge win for Marvel just yet, only because they’ve yet to win the actual Oscar category. So let’s see where we’re at on Sunday once BAFTA announces and then regroup. I feel like, if anything, this might be a big Avengers red herring when First Man is staring us in the face all along as the probable winner of the category.

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Oscars 2018: ACE Eddie Awards

The Eddie Awards were handed out last night. Your winners:

Dramatic: Bohemian Rhapsody

Comedy: The Favourite

Animated: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Documentary: Free Solo

So there you go. Can’t say I’m overly surprised. In Dramatic, only BlacKkKlansman and Bohemian Rhapsody made the final Oscar list, so if you were going on that alone, Rhapsody was the choice. And Comedy had the other three Editing nominees. I would have suspected Green Book, but The Favourite makes sense. I want to see what BAFTA does. Because if they go First Man or something off the board, then we’re really in a nice little pickle in picking this category. BFCA already went First Man and that’s now off the board. I’m thinking these two are the main two at the Oscars. BlacKkKlansman always felt like “nominee, not winner” in most of its categories and Green Book feels like it only wins Editing if they’re making a decisive statement on Picture. I guess Vice could sneak in, but I don’t know if it’ll rally that kind of support. I guess we’ll find out. But honestly, I think Bohemian Rhapsody is looking like your frontrunner for Best Editing at the Oscars. Look out, guys. This movie’s got support.

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And the Nominees Are: Analyzing the 91st Academy Award Nominations

The Oscar nominees were announced this morning. I posted the nominees, but without comment. Now’s the time when we actually see how it all went and what it all means.

What I say every year about this day is — there’s no more “what if” or “could be.” This is it. This is what we have. These are the Oscar nominees. All that is done. Now the reality is figuring out what’s gonna win.

But before that, let’s analyze it all. See what surprised, see what the totals are, and, selfishly, see how well I guessed all the nominees. Why else?

Here are your 91st Academy Award nominations: (more…)


And the Nominees Are… (2018)

Here are your 91st Academy Award nominations:

Best Picture

Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

The Favourite

Green Book

Roma

A Star Is Born

Vice (more…)


Oscars 2018: The B+ Nominations Ballot

If you were to list my three favorite articles to write each year, it would be — 3) Top Ten List, 2) Nominations Ballot, 1) Oscar picks article. I love this day. I love it so much.

And, in a way, while I do enjoy writing up the Oscar picks article slightly more than writing up this one, this article means more to me. I much prefer doing better here than on Oscar night. There are gonna be about 120 nominees announced tomorrow. If I can guess 90 of them, I’m happy. And if I can guess 90 of them and be right there on the alternates, I’m even happier. Forget going 20/24 on Oscar night. This is where it’s at. This is what takes skill.

And yes, this is going to be an article where I attempt to guess every single Oscar nominee. I’ve done it every year since I started this site, and I’ve always been above 2/3. The worst I did was 68% in my first year. Since then I’ve been above 70. Last year was 74.5% and my personal best was 78.5%. My next goal is to get either above 80% or over 100 total correct, whichever comes first.

I also, unlike a lot of the other sites (I know, because I used to read them before I realized I could make the same mistakes on my own), won’t just give you a list. I will talk you through my entire thought process. I’ll show you how I get to my decisions. The idea being it will give you all the information you need to do this too, should you want to. And hopefully you can all go forth and pick better than I can and make me proud. (I’m like a middle school teacher, but for useless stuff.) (more…)


Oscars 2018: VES Nominations

The Visual Effects Society announced their nominees two days ago and I was too distracted to notice (you’ve see why today and will again tomorrow, and especially on Monday). But here we are.

I’ll have minimal amounts of things to say about each category, because I’ve already moved on to Oscar prognosticating. But still, it’s worth looking at. As a refresher, here’s your shortlist for the category:

Ant-Man and the Wasp
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
Christopher Robin
First Man
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Mary Poppins Returns
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Welcome to Marwen

And here are your VES nominees: (more…)


Oscars 2018: CAS Nominations

Okay, the shortlist you’ve all been waiting for has been announced. BEST SOUND MIXING!

Oh, what, you thought you were getting the DGA list first? Nah. You gotta eat your salad and then you’ll get the main course.

The Cinema Audio Society also announced their nominations today, so we’re gonna talk Best Sound Mixing as well.

Sound Mixing, to remind you if you’re not all up on your categories, is the entire sound design in the film. Musicals do great here, as do war movies. Basically, if you assume Dunkirk and Baby Driver and probably Star Wars, then you’re most of the way there already. (And this is before I’ve even seen the list.)

Here are your CAS nominees for this year: (more…)


Oscars 2018: ASC Nominations

We’ll go to ASC next, because it’s one category and only five nominees. And also because I love cinematography.

Here are your 2018 American Society of Cinematographers nominees:

Best Cinematography

Cold War

The Favourite

First Man

Roma

A Star Is Born (more…)


Oscars 2018: ACE Eddie Nominations

It’s shortlist-apalooza today. Four of them. Big ones, too. Arguably the main four we want to see.

We’ll start with Best Editing, because that’s the one I happened to click on first.

The American Cinema Editors announce five nominees in Dramatic, five nominees in Comedy, and then also announce documentary and animated, which I’ll touch on, but only because it usually just further tells me where things seem to be heading, which we pretty much know already anyway.

Here are your nominees for Best Editing by the Editors Guild: (more…)


Oscars 2018: PGA Nominations

The Producers Guild announced their nominations today. I can already tell you like five of them. This is the year of the mainstream. All the obvious contenders will be there. The real question is how this ends up influencing the final list of contenders… and how many there are gonna be. That will be the most interesting part. Will they get 8 nominees?

We still have BAFTA to come before I really start looking at everything, but for now, this will be an interesting gauge of where we’re at.

Here are your PGA nominees: (more…)