The DGA Nominations are here, and pretty much all the clay we’re gonna get to guess what the Oscar nominees are is in our collective possession.
Based on what the frontrunners are for Best Picture, I’d say they pretty much went chalk here. Though the DGA is notorious for only getting 4 of the 5 nominees, with at least one other entry making it on that feels more like a directors branch choice than a populist “frontrunner.” Think Lenny Abrahamson for Room last year, or Bennett Miller for Foxcatcher in 2014, or Michael Haneke and Benh Zeitlin in 2012. There should be something you don’t expect as much. It’s not like 2013 where all five nominees are major players (that year was Scorsese, David O. Russell, Alexander Payne, Alfonso Cuaron and Steve McQueen, established names or frontrunners based on their films).
So I’d feel safe saying not all of these five will make it on the final list, but it’s also a good measuring stick for where their heads are at.
Here are your 2016 DGA nominees: (more…)
The Costume Designers Guild announced nominees today.
Excellence in Contemporary Film
Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie
La La Land
Contemporary almost never gets nominated, though La La Land will buck that trend this year. The Martian technically did last year, but usually space movies get labeled as fantasy. Still, I wouldn’t expect more than La La Land to make it on the list this year, even if Nocturnal Animals sounds like something they could nominate.
Excellence in Period Film
Florence Foster Jenkins
This is your bread and butter.
Jackie will be nominated. Florence Foster Jenkins seems likely. The Dressmaker stands a decent chance, since costumers don’t really go by what the “big” films were and pick based solely on costumes. Hail Caesar would be an interesting one. My gut says no, but it’s definitely possible. Hidden Figures could also easily make it, though that seems like a bland choice for them.
Surprised to see no Love & Friendship here. They tend to go for overt period costuming like that.
Excellence in Fantasy Film
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Kubo and the Two Strings
Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Love seeing Kubo on here. There’s a lot of love for that film all around. And I hope it matters in the final voting, but I’m sure it won’t.
Tim Burton movies always get guild nominations. This one shouldn’t get an Oscar nomination too. It’s just not loved enough for that. Even Alice in Wonderland had some sort of likability factor going for it. This one stands no chance.
Rogue One — I doubt it. Star Wars last year didn’t get on, so I have no reason to think this is any different.
Fantastic Beasts stands a decent shot, even though it’s weird for me to fathom a Harry Potter movie getting multiple Oscar nominations, since they so rarely got anything before.
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Costume Design is always a tricky one, since there’s always a random one or two that manages to get on. Or you figure, “They can’t miss with these corsets,” and then it’s nowhere to be found, even though normally that wouldn’t be anywhere near the Oscars. You can usually get 3/5, but guessing those last two can be real tricky.
Off-hand, movies that seem like they have some period/flashy costumes they might like…
Live by Night is always a fringe contender, but it feels like that ended up too little too late to make any noise.
Allied would normally be a big player here, but it feels like an afterthought.
Silence… doubtful. Rules Don’t Apply is period. That jumped out at me. But again, maybe that gets one or two token nominations in random categories, if that. Maybe a fringe contender at best.
Loving is period, but probably too subdued for them.
The Birth of a Nation, had it made any more noise, would have made a showing somewhere.
I mean… yeah. This might be what your category is. La La Land, Jackie, Florence, and then a combination of either The Dressmaker, Love & Friendship, Hail Caesar, Fantastic Beasts and maybe Hidden Figures. We have a week, but that’s sounding pretty good to me right now.
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DGA nominations out in a few hours.
Okay, and now for the one guild I hate writing up, because they have too many categories and I have to cut most of them out just to deal with them. Visual Effects Society.
I cut most of the categories out because visual effects is such a major part of filmmaking now, in order for them to do their members justice, they need to have a million categories. But only like six to ten matter for me, so I only deal with the six to ten. And even then it’s a fucking chore, since there are all these categories, and a shortlist, and you don’t know which categories mean more than others — it’s chaos.
So here are your VES nominees: (more…)
Our next shortlist today is the one that’s easiest for me to deal with. Cinema Audio Society. AKA Sound Mixing. We all love us some sound mixing, don’t we?
Quick, what’s the difference between sound editing and sound mixing? Yeah, I know. That’s like when people ask you if you think their baby is cute. And you have to on the spot try not to look like an idiot because you think the baby looks like a garden gnome in a onesie.
Sound mixing is the entire sound design of the film. We’ll deal with sound editing when we get to it. Basically all you need to know this year for sound mixing — this is the one that includes musicals. Which means that La La Land ain’t gonna lose.
Here are your CAS nominees: (more…)
A lot of shortlists today. They’re coming fast and furious in time for nominations day next week. We begin with the American Society of Cinematographers and their nominations.
I haven’t particularly clocked what the best shot films were this year, and without a mental checklist of the big names of the past few years/most years (no Chivo, no Deakins) having films this year, I’m feeling like the list they chose is pretty much chalk. It feels like the obvious choices. But when pressing myself for alternatives, I couldn’t really think of a whole lot. I’m sure I could if I really thought about it, but on an initial attempt, I feel like they did okay.
Here are your ASC nominees: (more…)
The Makeup and Hairstylists Guild announced their nominations today.
However, because the Makeup & Hairstyling Oscar category is so bizarre in their voting methods, we really don’t have a whole lot to talk about.
Here are your nominees: (more…)
The PGA Awards were announced this morning. They are the one group that best predicts what is going to happen for Best Picture.
To get it out of the way, for all the idiots writing articles today and tomorrow to get clicks — no, fucking Deadpool is not going to be nominated for Best Picture. Don’t be stupid.
Typically they’re good for seven or eight nominees out of their list, depending on how many nominees there are. If there are 8 overall nominees, I figure they will guess 7 of them right and miss one. They always miss one. (more…)