The Oscar nominees were announced this morning. I posted the nominees, but without comment. Now’s the time when we actually see how it all went and what it all means.
What I say every year about this day is — there’s no more “what if” or “could be.” This is it. This is what we have. These are the Oscar nominees. All that is done. Now the reality is figuring out what’s gonna win.
But before that, let’s analyze it all. See what surprised, see what the totals are, and, selfishly, see how well I guessed all the nominees. Why else?
Here are your 91st Academy Award nominations: (more…)
Here are your 91st Academy Award nominations:
A Star Is Born
If you were to list my three favorite articles to write each year, it would be — 3) Top Ten List, 2) Nominations Ballot, 1) Oscar picks article. I love this day. I love it so much.
And, in a way, while I do enjoy writing up the Oscar picks article slightly more than writing up this one, this article means more to me. I much prefer doing better here than on Oscar night. There are gonna be about 120 nominees announced tomorrow. If I can guess 90 of them, I’m happy. And if I can guess 90 of them and be right there on the alternates, I’m even happier. Forget going 20/24 on Oscar night. This is where it’s at. This is what takes skill.
And yes, this is going to be an article where I attempt to guess every single Oscar nominee. I’ve done it every year since I started this site, and I’ve always been above 2/3. The worst I did was 68% in my first year. Since then I’ve been above 70. Last year was 74.5% and my personal best was 78.5%. My next goal is to get either above 80% or over 100 total correct, whichever comes first.
I also, unlike a lot of the other sites (I know, because I used to read them before I realized I could make the same mistakes on my own), won’t just give you a list. I will talk you through my entire thought process. I’ll show you how I get to my decisions. The idea being it will give you all the information you need to do this too, should you want to. And hopefully you can all go forth and pick better than I can and make me proud. (I’m like a middle school teacher, but for useless stuff.) (more…)
If there’s one thing I’m very good at doing, it’s separating my subjectivity from my objectivity. Something I notice most people who talk or write about film are very poor at doing.
On Tuesday they’ll announce this year’s Oscar nominations. Tomorrow, I will write up what I think will be nominated. While that list is, to an extent, subjective in the sense that it’s what I think will be nominated, I’m not letting my personal preference dictate what I guess. But, since I am human and do have opinions, I allow today to be the day where I can voice them. So today’s all about what I would nominate, and tomorrow is about what I think will actually be nominated. You’d be surprised how many people allow their personal feelings dictate how they pick the Oscars. I get all that out now so I can just be honest about what I think is gonna happen, knowing it’s already clear where I stand on each of the films.
This article is basically — if I were somehow given a full ballot and told that I could put in nominations for every single category, what would I choose? Most of the time, it ends up being pretty close to what ends up being nominated, but I also will go off and select stuff I think was great that got no praise throughout the year. This year, I’m wondering how much my hands will be tied because of all the new shortlists they introduced. I guess we’ll see.
Here’s what my Oscar nominations ballot would look like: (more…)
The PGA Awards were last night. Green Book won Best Picture.
Roma had won BFCA. The Globe was split between Bohemian Rhapsody (Drama) and Green Book (Musical/Comedy).
I felt from the start that A Star Is Born wasn’t gonna have the legs to take everything down, so now here we are, with the two other seemingly “top” contenders starting to split all the awards.
Now we have to wait to see what BAFTA does, though I’m suspecting Roma takes that down. If Green Book wins there, then that might be a wrap. But I’m thinking the PGA didn’t go to Roma because they’re still not totally sold about that whole Netflix thing. I’m wondering if and how the Oscars will be different, but right now, you have to consider Green Book and Roma your two frontrunners.
I would automatically say it’s just Green Book, but you have to realize, two of the past three years the PGA was wrong (they had Big Short in 2015 and La La Land in 2016). So really it’s just gonna come down to what all your precursors are and the prevailing winds.
Plus, we still need nominations first on Tuesday. So let’s let those drop before we start proclaiming anything to be over.
Also of note, Won’t You Be My Neighbor? won in Documentary and Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse won for Animated, cementing those two’s statuses as frontrunners in their respective categories.
The Motion Picture Sound Editors announced their nominees today. Which is odd, because they previously said they would announce on Monday. Wonder if the fact that Oscar nominations are Tuesday had something to do with it. They did that shit last year too, where they announced day before Oscar nominations, which did nobody any good.
But anyway, here they are, three days early. Now I’ll be able to go into the weekend with every guild at my disposal. Which is good, since the Sound categories are always their own deep, dark woods.
Here are your MPSE nominees for 2018: (more…)
The Visual Effects Society announced their nominees two days ago and I was too distracted to notice (you’ve see why today and will again tomorrow, and especially on Monday). But here we are.
I’ll have minimal amounts of things to say about each category, because I’ve already moved on to Oscar prognosticating. But still, it’s worth looking at. As a refresher, here’s your shortlist for the category:
Ant-Man and the Wasp
Avengers: Infinity War
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Mary Poppins Returns
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Welcome to Marwen
And here are your VES nominees: (more…)