Posts tagged “AMPAS

Oscars 2020: SAG Awards

The SAG Awards were tonight. Honestly, this is the one awards show where I was pretty thrilled they cut it down to an hour and just ran through all the winners rather than doing the whole pageantry. Not that they don’t deserve time to celebrate themselves and their peers’ work, but it always was just such a boring show. It’s all just a little too self-serious with the kind of dumb humor that only works in circles where no one’s funny. It’s just not a fun show and I only really ever cared about the winners. So having a really concise little show was pretty helpful for me.

Normally I’d say that this sewed up all the acting categories. Well… this really only sewed up two of the categories, busted one wide open and kept the other one a gigantic mystery that will remain such all the way until Oscar night. Which is legitimately exciting to me.

Here are your SAG winners: (more…)


Oscars 2020: Makeup & Hairstylist Guild Awards

The Makeup & Hairstylist Guild Awards were held tonight.

As a reminder, this is your Oscar category:

Emma
Hillbilly Elegy
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Pinocchio

There were five categories given out that affect this category. Two, Best Contemporary Makeup and Best Contemporary Hairstyling, went to Birds of Prey, which isn’t nominated. Of the other three, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom won for Period/Character Makeup and Period/Character Hair while Pinocchio won for Special Makeup Effects. Which pretty much cements those two as the favorites to win here, and I’m not sure anyone would dispute that. The BAFTA category has all of these nominees minus Emma, and I’m pretty sure what wins that will likely spell out what the Oscar favorite is, though I have a sneaking suspicion about what’s likely to happen even before that. But we’ll see.

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And the Nominees Are… (2020)

Here are your Oscar nominations. I’ll be back later with full analysis:

Best Picture

The Father

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

Minari

Nomadland

Promising Young Woman

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7

(more…)


Oscars 2020: The B+ Nominations Ballot

Last year I remember feeling like Oscar season was rushed upon us. This article went up January 12th. And here we are after March 12th. What a difference a year makes.

After the strangest season ever, tomorrow the nominees will be announced. As I always do, I’m gonna guess what I think will be nominated. This is one of my two opportunities a year to really go nuts and talk about this stuff in depth. Most years I overdo it. Last year’s article was 42,150 words. This year I’ve decided to try to be as concise as possible while still providing all the essential information and the thought process (or idiocy) that goes into all the picks. Let’s see how that goes.

We’ll have anywhere from 115-120 nominees announced tomorrow. I generally try to hit 75%. A turbulent year like this will either make things easier because people are gonna default to the same handful of nominees or harder because it’s just gonna be chaos. I’m excited for either version. (more…)


Oscars 2020: BFCA Awards

The Critics Choice Awards were handed out last night.

The theme of this show is going to be ‘market correction’. That’s my guess. After what the Globes did, I’m expecting the expected winners to come through here in a big way. I don’t expect there to be anything that makes me reconfigure my expectations for the category. And in the case of most of the tech categories, I don’t even have expectations because a lot of the guilds are announcing nominees this week and BAFTA only nominates tomorrow. But for the high-end stuff like acting and what not, I expect this to be more in line with how I’ve been expecting these to play out all along.

I would also like to point out how happy I am that I no longer have to deal with six bullshit categories like “Best Sci-Fi/Fantasy/Comedy/All Other Genres We Don’t Take Seriously Enough to Let Into the Best Picture Race Plus One Best Picture Nominee You Know Is Gonna Dominate This Subsection of Awards Anyway Picture.”

Here’s what happened and BFCA: (more…)


Oscars 2020: Best Documentary Feature Shortlist

And we end with the Documentary Feature shortlist, because that was the one I decided was the one I was gonna focus on for this article. Because, back around Thanksgiving, I decided to start compiling everything I thought could potentially get nominated in the category so that when they eventually did release this shortlist, I’d already have a bunch covered and not have to worry about then finding them. It worked out, since I already had ten of the fifteen docs on hand and ready to go and then immediately found two more that day. And, even better, I knew the final three were ones I could see fairly easily.

So, long story short, I’ve watched all 15 of these in the past two weeks and am gonna give a full breakdown in this article, which will make my life easier in future articles and discussions about this category.

Here’s your Documentary Feature shortlist:

All In: The Fight for Democracy
Boys State
Collective
Crip Camp
Dick Johnson Is Dead
Gunda
MLK/FBI
The Mole Agent
My Octopus Teacher
Notturno
The Painter and the Thief
76 Days
Time
The Truffle Hunters
Welcome to Chechnya (more…)


Oscars 2020: Best International Feature Shortlist

Today is Best International Feature. Because I kidded myself that I was gonna be able to find and see all 15 of these by the time this article went up. And honestly, I had other categories I was more focused on and I really only need to see as many as I can for nominations and not for this. So I’m just gonna do what I did with Live Action Short and Doc Short and just guess my way through it and see everything later.

Here’s your International Feature shortlist:

Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
The Mole Agent (Chile)
Charlatan (Czech Republic)
Another Round (Denmark)
Two of Us (France)
La Llorona (Guatemala)
Better Days (Hong Kong)
Sun Children (Iran)
Night of the Kings (Ivory Coast)
I’m No Longer Here (Mexico)
Hope (Norway)
Collective (Romania)
Dear Comrades! (Russia)
A Sun (Taiwan)
The Man Who Sold His Skin (Tunisia) (more…)


Oscars 2020: Makeup & Hairstylists Guild Nominations

The Makeup & Hairstylist Guild announced their nominations today. As a reminder, this is your Oscar shortlist:

Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)
Emma
The Glorias
Hillbilly Elegy
Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
The Little Things
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
One Night in Miami
Pinocchio

Let’s see what the guild has to tell us about how this category is likely gonna play out: (more…)


Oscars 2020: Best Makeup & Hairstyling Shortlist

We’re going over Makeup & Hairstyling today. I was originally gonna wait until the guild announces on Thursday and go over this Friday, but honestly, who cares. We’re gonna adjust all of this later anyway. This category has also historically been really easy to diagnose, so I don’t think we need to wait on this.

They did, if you forgot, officially bump this category up to five nominees last year, so this is a five nominees from ten on the shortlist situation. So it should be fairly easy to figure out what the top five are gonna be.

Here’s your Makeup & Hairstyling shortlist:

Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)
Emma
The Glorias
Hillbilly Elegy
Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
The Little Things
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
One Night in Miami
Pinocchio (more…)


Oscars 2020: Best Original Score Shortlist

Our second easiest category for me to go over: Original Score. Because I listen to 100 scores every year to list my favorite ones and find good ones to keep in my personal collection. So I’ve listened to the majority of what’s gonna get shortlisted, if not all of it. Not that having listened to them matters in terms of guessing, but at least I feel like I know as much as I possibly can for the moment.

There were 136 scores eligible this year, they’ve pared that list down to 15, of which 5 will be nominated. Here’s the Original Song shortlist:

Ammonite (Dustin O’Halloran, Hauschka)
Blizzard of Souls (Lolita Ritmanis)
Da 5 Bloods (Terence Blanchard)
The Invisible Man (Benjamin Wallfisch)
Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey (John Debney)
The Life Ahead (Gabriel Yared)
The Little Things (Thomas Newman)
Mank (Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross)
The Midnight Sky (Alexandre Desplat)
Minari (Emile Mosseri)
Mulan (Harry Gregson-Williams)
News of the World (James Newton Howard)
Soul (Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross & Jon Batiste)
Tenet (Ludwig Göransson)
The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Daniel Pemberton) (more…)


Oscars 2020: Best Original Song Shortlist

We begin out shortlist breakdown, and begin with the easiest one of the bunch to go over, mostly because I did all the work already when I went over all the eligible songs a few days ago. So if you want to go back and listen to all the ones that didn’t make it and see what my thoughts were about what was potentially going to be on this list, go do that. Otherwise, I’ll post all the shortlisted songs here anyway and we’ll still go over them.

But, here’s your shortlist for Best Original Song this year:

“Turntables,” from All In: The Fight for Democracy
“See What You’ve Done,” from Belly of the Beast
“Wuhan Flu,” from Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
“Husavik,” from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga
“Never Break,” from Giving Voice
“Make It Work,” from Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
“Fight For You,” from Judas and the Black Messiah
“lo Sì (Seen),” from The Life Ahead
“Rain Song,” from Minari
“Show Me Your Soul,” from Mr. Soul!
“Loyal Brave True,” from Mulan
“Free,” from The One and Only Ivan
“Speak Now,” from One Night in Miami
“Green,” from Sound of Metal
“Hear My Voice,” from The Trial of the Chicago 7 (more…)


Oscars 2020: BFCA Nominations

And it’s BFCA day. Which means that, for the acting categories, we now have 3/4 of all the major precursor help we’re gonna get (and partially the fourth, since BAFTA released longlists for all the categories). So, if one were so inclined (which I am definitely not), you could start lobbing category predictions a month early. But anyone who reads this site knows I’m not inclined to spurious speculation before it’s time to make guesses and abhor clickbait articles, so go somewhere else for that nonsense.

The importance these nominations to me is twofold: BFCA is usually a broad smorgasbord for everything that’s roundly in contention and usually is a catch-all that helps uncover some of the ‘false’ nominees that come from elsewhere. And also, this is our first look at what some of the tech categories might look like. Since guilds won’t start announcing nominations until at least a week from now. So this is where things start to take shape in a nice way.

The one thing you have to keep in mind, though — these are critics. They’re going to hit a lot of populist narratives are both something to listen to (because you do get to see some of the broad ‘narratives’ that will be taking place and do influence some of the voting, because publicity departments use that to get people to vote certain ways) and also ignore, because, again… critics. So, helpful, but grain of salt.

Here are your 2020 Critics Choice nominees: (more…)


Oscars 2020: Best Original Song Eligibles

Aww shit, it’s that time again.

I’ve been on pins and needles every year since they went to this new shortlist system in 2018. That year, they didn’t give us the list of eligible songs and just gave us the shortlist, and I thought we might be deprived of the fun that list brings forever. Then last year, the list came out and all was right with the world. And I had no clue what was gonna be this year. BUT IT’S BACK!

This year, 105 songs were deemed eligible, and as we do every year, I’m about to find as many of the 105 as I can, listen to them, give my own personal opinion (which basically just means an off-the-cuff rating out of 5 just to show how much I like the song and a general idea of whether it sounds like it might stand a chance at a shortlist/nomination) and then try to figure out which 15 are gonna end up being shortlisted on Tuesday.

This is legitimately one of my favorite articles to do each year. To the point where I just straight up dumped what I had set for tomorrow to go up some other day and did this all last night. That’s how much I enjoy this. (Plus I didn’t actually have tomorrow’s article written yet, so the procrastination search I did ended up being the best possible scenario.)

So here are all 105 Best Original Song eligibles for 2020: (more…)


Oscars 2020: SAG Award Nominations

The SAG nominations were announced today. I always have the same reaction every time it’s SAG nominations day, which is, “Oh man, this is big.” And then the nominations happen and it’s just four categories. And I’m like, “Oh, right, it’s just that.” They mean so much and yet you can go over them in about five minutes (‘How did he do such fantastic stunts with such little feet?‘). I think it’s because PGA and DGA are just one thing. This gives the impression of a full show like the Globes or BFCA (which it is… if you care about TV, which I do not).

Anyway, the acting branch has spoken. They are the majority of Oscar voters and what happens here is usually a major sign for what’s to come at the Oscars. Now, I’ve said for about five years now that SAG has gotten oversaturated with voting members and that a lot of the nominees in recent years have felt more like a popularity contest more than anything else. Which is why you always see certain people and performances always seem to make it on even if logic says they’ll never get nominated for the Oscar. I’ve also noticed a definite trend toward a deliberate desire to vote for non-white performers. Which is admirable. But you also have to realize — you’re still dealing with a base of old, stodgy white people, so what happens at SAG does not necessarily equate to everywhere else. These are the things you need to know if you’re trying to guess this shit as I do each year.

So here’s what SAG has given us for 2020 (my guess is this is the year of inclusion and makeup awards since they have no fucking clue what to do and we don’t have the usual publicity cycle where people (who largely don’t watch anything) are told what to vote for and generally do): (more…)