Oscars

Oscars 2019: ASC Awards

Okay, final award. ASC. Cinematography.

And if you didn’t think they were gonna give it to Roger Deakins for 1917, you’re high. He’s been nominated at the guild 16 times, one more time than he’s been nominated for an Oscar. He’s won four other times, for Shawshank in 1994, The Man Who Wasn’t There in 2001, Skyfall in 2012 and Blade Runner in 2017. His five wins at ASC ties him with Emmanuel Lubezki for most all-time, ahead of Conrad fucking Hall.

And did I mention — it’s Roger fucking Deakins shooting a war movie to look like it was done in a single take. He’s going to win the Oscar.

Remember eight years ago when we couldn’t buy him an Oscar? Now he’s just flexing his muscles and winning these things like it’s nothing. I love it.

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Oscars 2019: USC Scripter Award

I generally don’t give this its own article, but I’m on a roll and I felt it’s worth mentioning.

The USC Scripter Award is given for Adapted Screenplay. The winner of the Scripter Award has gone on to win the Oscar eight of the past ten years. They’ve only missed twice, once last year, when Leave No Trace won and wasn’t nominated for the Oscar, and then in 2009, when Up in the Air won and shockingly lost the Oscar to Precious despite winning all the precursors.

I say all that because — Greta Gerwig just won for Little Women. Which just thrills me all to hell. I had no idea what the hell to do with Adapted Screenplay. I knew she won BFCA for it, but I didn’t even think that would bore out anywhere else. But this is a huge step forward for her winning and for the film to finally get some damn recognition for being one of the best films of the year.

She’s still gotta clear the WGA and/or BAFTA hurdles over the next week, but man, right now she’s actually the favorite in this category. That’s nuts. She’ll get competition from Taika for Jojo and maybe Zaillian for Irishman, but honestly she could take this down. I can’t see them voting for that Joker script and The Two Popes is lucky to be nominated. It’s pretty much her and Taika and she could win an Oscar. Which would be DOPE.

And that’s really why I talked about this award, mostly so I could get excited about Greta potentially winning an Oscar, which would make me happiest of probably any of the categories they’re gonna announce on Oscar night.

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Oscars 2019: DGA Awards

DGA just announced.

Sam Mendes just won for 1917. So that’s a done deal. We’ve got four acting categories and Best Director all sewn up before the BAFTAs, which will confirm just about everything else we’ve got here. But even if they go opposite, all that really does is make you go, “Oh, that’s cute.” Because the DGA, as we all know… almost always right. So that’s about a done deal in Director. Picture is still up in the air, and really the only interesting thing BAFTA can do now is give someone else (namely Bong Joon-ho or Quentin, but mostly Bong Joon-ho) Picture and Director and make the Picture race more interesting. Because the door just shut on Director. This shit is locked. Because, didn’t we mention — HE SHOT A WAR MOVIE IN A ‘SINGLE TAKE’. Of course the directors were gonna go crazy for that.

Anyway, ASC still to announce, as if we had any doubt that Deakins was gonna win that shit too.

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Oscars 2019: CAS Awards

Okay, second awards handed out tonight — CAS. For Sound Mixing.

The winner was Ford v Ferarri. I should point out that 1917 WAS NOT nominated at CAS, so really that was a foregone conclusion that it would probably win. I was only really looking out to see if somehow Once Upon a Time in Hollywood would win. But really the Sound categories are gonna come down to Ford v Ferrari and 1917, and the question is gonna be — as it usually does — will one film win them both or should you commit the cardinal sin and split the Sound categories?

I’m really curious to see what BAFTA does next weekend, because right now, Ford v Ferrari technically has more precursor wins than 1917 does. But BAFTA will really tell us where this is all likely gonna go come Oscar night.

Meanwhile, Toy Story 4 won their Animation award, in case there was any doubt about where that category was headed. That’s won like every single guild there is to win thus far except animation, which is its own weird thing.

Anyway, that’s Sound Mixing. DGA and ASC still to come.

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Oscars 2019: Annie Awards

The Annie Awards were handed out tonight. The first of four major precursors. They’re the ones who got finished first, therefore they’re the first article to go up.

Klaus won every category it was nominated for, which is seven in total: Animated Feature, Directing, Character Animation, Character Design, Production Design, Storyboarding and Editorial.  I Lost My Body, meanwhile, won three awards, for Independent Animated Feature, Music and Writing. And Frozen II won for Animated Effects and Voice Acting for Josh Gad as Olaf.

So basically the two extra nominee we weren’t sure about that the guild pushed through to the nominations list won all the awards. I’m not really that surprised. It must be boring as hell voting for Disney or Pixar every year. So I get them doing something like this. Klaus was a breath of fresh air, just like I’m sure Spider-Verse was last year. And I feel like part of what they do is like when LeBron James doesn’t win MVP every year despite being acknowledged as the best player in basketball. And the other part feels like them trying to spur these other people to actually make good movies and not leave it all to Disney and Pixar.

I’m not really putting much stock into this, though thank god this finally gives me something other than Toy Story to consider as a choice in that category, because it was looking like a straight runaway. I mean, it’s still probably a straight runaway, but I do wanna see what BAFTA does first. Maybe Klaus can win there and make things spicy.

I mean, in the end, the Academy only understands Disney or Pixar unless something really obvious like Spider-Verse is put on their plate instead, so I know they’re just gonna vote Toy Story and that’ll be the end of it, but this at least makes things humorously interesting for a minute. So that’s nice.

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Oscars 2019 Category Breakdown: Best Original Screenplay

Here’s how this works: every day leading up to the Oscars, I break down each of the 24 categories. The goal is to both familiarize everyone with the category itself (how it works, what its history is and how you go about figuring out what’s gonna win) while also making it easier to reference when I write my giant article with picks and everything. A lot of the leg work is already here. But really, the goal is to see if there’s anything to look for leading into Oscar night that could be a shortcut to me picking the category.

What we do is — I give you all the winners of the category throughout history, go over all the recent trends if there are any, discuss the precursors and whether or not they matter, and then we talk about this year’s category and how we got to it, and then just look at where we are and rank the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning (at the current moment in time. Of course, things can and will change going into the ceremony). It’s all pretty simple. I’ve done this every year. Everyone should know the drill.

Today is Best Original Screenplay, and boy, do I get happy when more Best Pictures come from original scripts than adapted ones. (more…)


Oscars 2019 Category Breakdown: Best Supporting Actor

Here’s how this works: every day leading up to the Oscars, I break down each of the 24 categories. The goal is to both familiarize everyone with the category itself (how it works, what its history is and how you go about figuring out what’s gonna win) while also making it easier to reference when I write my giant article with picks and everything. A lot of the leg work is already here. But really, the goal is to see if there’s anything to look for leading into Oscar night that could be a shortcut to me picking the category.

What we do is — I give you all the winners of the category throughout history, go over all the recent trends if there are any, discuss the precursors and whether or not they matter, and then we talk about this year’s category and how we got to it, and then just look at where we are and rank the nominees in terms of their likelihood of winning (at the current moment in time. Of course, things can and will change going into the ceremony). It’s all pretty simple. I’ve done this every year. Everyone should know the drill.

Today is Best Supporting Actor. Or, as my mother called it about ten days ago, “Are they gonna give Brad Pitt a pity Oscar?” (more…)