The MPSE handed out their awards for Sound Editing tonight. For some reason I always feel like they end up announcing later than everyone, but this year they manage to come in second to last, with CDG announcing on Tuesday to close out the precursors.
SFX+Foley went to A Quiet Place, while Dialogue+ADR and Music in a Musical went to Bohemian Rhapsody. Into the Spider-Verse won for Music as well as winning the Animation award, further cementing that movie’s status as basically a guaranteed winner in Animated Feature. The Documentary category was a tie between Free Solo and They Shall Not Grow Old, which I mention mostly because They Shall Not Grow Old is amazing. Oh, and Roma won their Foreign Language category, which I guess is something.
The interesting thing to me about this is that First Man, which to me had the best sound design of the year, won zero precursor awards, and based on everything I see here, it looks like Bohemian Rhapsody could legitimately win both Sound categories. I’m not sure how much I buy that, but damn if that’s not an interesting turn of events.
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The WGA Awards were handed out tonight.
Eighth Grade won for Original Screenplay and Can You Ever Forgive Me? won for Adapted Screenplay.
Both of those are surprising results. Eighth Grade isn’t even nominated for the Oscar, so that’s part of that one. The other part — The Favourite wasn’t eligible for WGA. And the Original Screenplay category was long considered The Favourite vs. Green Book. So now you have a situation where Green Book was in the guild without having to face The Favourite, and it still lost. That’s fascinating. And since Roma didn’t win, that means that doesn’t get a boost into “could win” territory. So now we’re back to The Favourite vs. Green Book. You can’t call it just yet because if Green Book is gonna win Best Picture, it almost certainly is gonna take Screenplay too. But man, does this make you look even more sideways at Green Book’s chances here.
And then for Adapted — Can You Ever Forgive Me? opens up the Adapted race to three films instead of two. I thought it would be either Beale Street or BlacKkKlansman, which split BFCA and BAFTA. I figured this would be the tiebreaker. Now we just have another hat in the ring. Though what’s even more interesting about the whole affair — all three of them lost the USC Scripter to Leave No Trace, which isn’t nominated for the Oscar. So now we have three scripts which won one precursor each, and no real idea how the Academy’s gonna vote for the category.
Oh well. That’s the fun of Oscar season, I guess. MPSE is announcing tonight, so those results will go up when I have them. CDG announces Tuesday and then that’ll be it for the precursors. Then I’ve got four category breakdowns left — both Screenplay categories, Sound Editing, which will go up tomorrow, and Best Picture, which will go up last. Then Friday come the Five Word Film Reviews (which are DONE already! Most years I’m rushing to write up like 300 reviews in less than a week. I did that shit already!). Saturday we do our usual Favorite Moments in the Best Picture nominees and prepare ourselves for Sunday. P.S. I’m already 43,000 words into my giant Oscar article. I’m on top of this shit this year. I am ready.
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Hey everyone. The Makeup & Hairstylist Guild Awards were tonight. I remember a few years ago they offered me accreditation to attend their awards as a journalist and I thought, “Man, are you guys that desperate for coverage of your event that you think I’m a journalist?” That was fun. Almost wish I’d taken them up on it. I’m still here if you guys wanna invite me next time. I’m completely meaningless, but I’m all about what you guys do. You’re all unsung heroes of the craft.
Anyway, they gave out five awards that matter. Vice won for Period and/or Character Makeup and Special Makeup Effects, Mary Queen of Scots won for Period and/or Character Hairstyling. A Star Is Born won for Contemporary Makeup (sure, I guess?) and Crazy Rich Asians won for Contemporary Hairstyling.
So yeah. Not much of what we didn’t already know. Vice and Mary Queen of Scots, both of which are nominated in the Oscar category with Border. It’s pretty clear how the category is gonna turn out. But you know what, these people got their due and they deserve it.
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All right. BAFTAs just got given out. This is the last major puzzle we have left for the Oscars. There are still five guilds left to announce. One of them is pretty important, two of them I can use but probably don’t need, one I definitely don’t need because the winner is obvious and the fifth is irrelevant. This is the one where the winners are gonna influence how I see certain races playing out.
I’ve got nothing else in the way of an introduction. So let’s just see how they voted.
Here are your 2018 BAFTA winners: (more…)
The ASC Awards were handed out last night.
Cold War won.
I’m not overly surprised, since the major competition was Alfonso Cuaron, who is by and large a director, and not a pure cinematographer. And ASC is not exactly perfect when it comes to being an Oscar prognosticator. So this doesn’t really change where the Oscar map lies just yet, but it does confirm that Cold War is the likely second choice behind Roma, barring what the BAFTAs do later on.
I don’t really think A Star Is Born, Never Look Away or The Favourite really has a huge shot at the moment. So it seems like it’s still Roma’s to lose, unless BAFTA goes a different way. So we’ll see.
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The DGA Awards were handed out tonight. As a reminder, your nominees were:
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay, Vice
Your Oscar category has Yorgos Lanthimos and Pawel Pawlikowski instead of Cooper and Farrelly, so basically you went into this knowing that Alfonso Cuaron was going to win and had absolutely no doubts about any other outcome.
And surprise, Alfonso Cuaron won. So now with the DGA alone, he becomes something like a 90% odds-on winner of the Oscar. But we didn’t really need the DGA to tell us that, did we? This one seemed pretty obvious all the way through, no matter what way Best Picture winds up going.
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The ADG Awards were also tonight (we’re pretty much going in order of increasing importance of these guilds). I’ve yet to post my write-up of the category because I was waiting to see what the guild was gonna do and what BAFTA does, just since this year feels pretty open for Production Design.
As a refresher, your Oscar category is: Black Panther, The Favourite, First Man, Mary Poppins Returns and Roma. At ADG, The Favourite, First Man and Roma were all going up against one another in the Period category, while Black Panther and Mary Poppins were going up against each other in Fantasy. And then there was also a Contemporary category that no one much cares about.
Black Panther won ADG’s Fantasy category and The Favourite won for Period. Oh, and Crazy Rich Asians won Contemporary, in case you were remotely surprised by that outcome. Isle of Dogs won Animated as well, for those who care. (more…)