Archive for January, 2015

Oscars 2014: ADG Awards

The Art Directors Guild Awards were announced tonight.

Winning in Period was The Grand Budapest Hotel, to no one’s surprise.

Winning in Fantasy was Guardians of the Galaxy, beating Interstellar, which was nominated. So that’s a little bit of a surprise.

Winning in Contemporary was Birdman, also to no real surprise.

Grand Budapest is the only one nominated, so we can be pretty sure that will most likely be the favorite.

I’ll be putting out my commentary on the category in a few days, so I’ll save the analysis for that.


Oscars 2014: ACE Eddie Awards

The ACE Eddie Awards were announced last night.

Unsurprisingly, Boyhood won for Dramatic, and also not surprisingly, The Grand Budapest Hotel won for Comedic. Seemed surprisingly that they’d actually vote for Birdman, given that it wasn’t nominated. These guilds want to be timely, and feel like they affect the race. They’re not gonna vote for something that’s not nominated, unless they want to continue to stick it in and make them look worse, like when The Lego Movie won for Animation Editing.

Oh, and CitizenFour won Documentary Editing, which pretty much cements that as the favorite to win Documentary.

So those are your Eddie Awards, and that’ll make the final category that much more interesting.

http://bplusmovieblog.com


Oscars 2014 Category Breakdown: Best Foreign Language Film

This is a tradition for me. Every year, before the Oscars, I break down every single one of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with each category, how it works, what its history is, how it usually turns out, and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.

How these work is — I go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have went, and how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win.

Today is Best Foreign Language Film. (What’s the best way to emulate the sound of crickets in text form?) (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: “What’s your intention? Do you think one on four is a dogfall?” “I mean to kill you in one minute, Ned. Or see you hanged in Fort Smith at Judge Parker’s convenience. Which’ll it be?” “I call that bold talk for a one-eyed fat man.” “Fill your hands, you son of a bitch!”

True Grit (1969) - 79


Oscars 2014 Category Breakdown: Best Documentary Feature

This is a tradition for me. Every year, before the Oscars, I break down every single one of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with each category, how it works, what its history is, how it usually turns out, and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.

How these work is — I go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have went, and how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win.

Today is Best Documentary Feature, a category that is about a half-step away from being dead to me. (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: “Every man dies, not every man really lives.”

Braveheart - 3


Oscars 2014 Category Breakdown: Best Documentary Short-Subject

This is a tradition for me. Every year, before the Oscars, I break down every single one of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with each category, how it works, what its history is, how it usually turns out, and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.

How these work is — I go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have went, and how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win.

Today is Best Documentary Short, the category we care the least about, yet a category that’s not as difficult to pick as Live-Action Short. So at least it has that going for it. (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: “Just remember, one of these days, that bourbon’s gonna kill you.” “Okay, it’ll be me or it. One of us has gotta go.”

Giant - 88


Oscars 2014 Category Breakdown: Best Live-Action Short

This is a tradition for me. Every year, before the Oscars, I break down every single one of the 24 categories. I do this to familiarize everyone with each category, how it works, what its history is, how it usually turns out, and also as a precursor to my picks article, allowing me to get most of the heavy lifting out of the way beforehand.

How these work is — I go over each category’s history, give you all the previous winners and nominees, then list the current year’s nominees. And then I’ll go over how each of the guilds (if there is a corresponding guild) have went, and how that corresponds to the Oscars (some guilds mean a lot to how a category will play out. Others mean nothing). It’s basically everything you need to know in order to make an informed decision when you make your picks on Oscar night. And then I also rank the nominees at the end in terms of where I see them in terms of their likelihood to win.

We begin with Best Live-Action Short, because nobody cares about this category, so we’ll get it out of the way now. (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: “Always remember this Anna, there are no walls, no bolts, no locks that anyone can put on your mind.”

The Diary of Anne Frank - 39


The 2015 Film Release Calendar: 2014 Holdovers

fEvery January, I preview all the films that are scheduled to come out for that year. Typically, I end up around 80%, since there are always a few that I don’t track, for whatever reason. The point of why I do this has been lost, and now I do it because that’s just what I do. It’s fun, and I enjoy it.

Mainly the idea is to see how accurately I can guess my reaction to movies up to a year in advance. And it gives me a gauge to see which films ended up surprising me for better and for worse.

Originally, I just went through the release calendar and listed about 30 other movies that didn’t have dates. Last year, I had about 200 without dates that I tracked. Now, we’re looking at around 250, on top of the articles currently set for specific months.

How I do this is, I start by going over the films currently scheduled for January through June, then take a ten day break in between to go over the Oscar nominations and Golden Globes, and then finish with July through December. After that, I go over the films currently without release dates, and finish with the holdovers from last year that I’m continuing to track. We have it down to a science here. (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: “If there is a war on drugs, then many of our family members are the enemy. And I don’t know how you wage war on your own family.”

Traffic - 31


The 2015 Film Release Calendar: Films Without Release Dates (M-Z)

Every January, I preview all the films that are scheduled to come out for that year. Typically, I end up around 80%, since there are always a few that I don’t track, for whatever reason. The point of why I do this has been lost, and now I do it because that’s just what I do. It’s fun, and I enjoy it.

Mainly the idea is to see how accurately I can guess my reaction to movies up to a year in advance. And it gives me a gauge to see which films ended up surprising me for better and for worse.

Originally, I just went through the release calendar and listed about 30 other movies that didn’t have dates. Last year, I had about 200 without dates that I tracked. Now, we’re looking at around 250, on top of the articles currently set for specific months.

How I do this is, I start by going over the films currently scheduled for January through June, then take a ten day break in between to go over the Oscar nominations and Golden Globes, and then finish with July through December. After that, I go over the films currently without release dates, and finish with the holdovers from last year that I’m continuing to track. We have it down to a science here. (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: “You don’t understand how I feel! I’m standing there with my pants down and my crotch hung out for the world to see and three guys are sticking it to me, a bunch of other guys are yelling and clapping and you’re standing there telling me that that’s the best you can do. Well, if that’s the best you could do, then your best sucks! Now, I don’t know what you got for selling me out, but I sure as shit hope it was worth it!”

The Accused - 19


Oscars 2014: SAG Awards

The SAG Awards were tonight.

They’re an important awards show, but they’re also boring as shit. They never change the format at all. They start with the boring “I’m an actor” speeches, which are so poorly written. And then they just rush through categories and make speeches about the union and stuff.

But we’re in it for the winners, so we trudge on.

Here are the winners of the 21st Screen Actors Guild Awards: (more…)


Oscars 2014: SAG Awards Predictions

Coming right on the heels of last night’s Birdman PGA win, we have the SAG Awards, which could provide a huge momentum swing in the favor of Birdman. If Birdman walks away with more than one statue tonight, then you need to really look out and see if it’s gonna take Best Director. (And more so, see which way the BAFTAs go next month. Because if they go Imitation Game, and go off the board entirely, then you’re looking at a really close race that’s firmly in the favor of Birdman.)

Anyway, the real factor tonight is going to be who wins the acting awards. As SAG has always been the best prognosticator for who is going to win the acting categories at the Oscar, since the Acting branch is the biggest branch of the Academy.

So, let’s take one last look at the categories and see who is most likely to win the awards in… oh, about thirty minutes. (more…)


The 2015 Film Release Calendar: Films Without Release Dates (A-L)

Every January, I preview all the films that are scheduled to come out for that year. Typically, I end up around 80%, since there are always a few that I don’t track, for whatever reason. The point of why I do this has been lost, and now I do it because that’s just what I do. It’s fun, and I enjoy it.

Mainly the idea is to see how accurately I can guess my reaction to movies up to a year in advance. And it gives me a gauge to see which films ended up surprising me for better and for worse.

Originally, I just went through the release calendar and listed about 30 other movies that didn’t have dates. Last year, I had about 200 without dates that I tracked. Now, we’re looking at around 250, on top of the articles currently set for specific months.

How I do this is, I start by going over the films currently scheduled for January through June, then take a ten day break in between to go over the Oscar nominations and Golden Globes, and then finish with July through December. After that, I go over the films currently without release dates, and finish with the holdovers from last year that I’m continuing to track. We have it down to a science here. (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: “We’ve got to form a vigilante committee and hang him from the highest tree. And I’m going to start it. They say he’ll shoot as quick as he’ll look at you. But if I ever meet him face to face, I’ll kill him like I would a dog.”

In Old Arizona - 12


Oscars 2014: PGA Awards

Well, folks, the PGA Awards were tonight.

As we all should know, they’re a pretty good prognosticator for picking the Oscars. The PGA Awards began in 1989, making this the 26th time they’ve given out the award. In the previous 25 times, only 7 times did the PGA winner differ from the Best Picture winner.

They were: 1992. The Crying Game wins the PGA and Unforgiven wins the Oscar. 1995. Apollo 13 wins the PGA and Braveheart wins the Oscar. 1998. Saving Private Ryan wins the PGA and Shakespeare in Love wins the Oscar. 2001. Moulin Rouge wins the PGA and A Beautiful Mind wins the Oscar. 2004. The Aviator wins the PGA and Million Dollar Baby wins the Oscar. 2005. Brokeback Mountain wins the PGA and Crash wins the Oscar. 2006. Little Miss Sunshine wins the PGA and The Departed wins the Oscar. Meaning there’s a 72% chance the winner will win Best Picture, based on the history. The PGA also has a seven year streak going where they’ve gotten it right (including the tie last year, which was unprecedented).

The other reason it’s a big precursor is that it shares the type of voting system the Academy does. Which means that it’s based on the most people liking a film rather than just voting for it #1. It’s a big deal, and actually can tell you which film is most likely to win.

And folks… the film that won the PGA Award this year… was Birdman. (more…)


The 2015 Film Release Calendar: December

Every January, I preview all the films that are scheduled to come out for that year. Typically, I end up around 80%, since there are always a few that I don’t track, for whatever reason. The point of why I do this has been lost, and now I do it because that’s just what I do. It’s fun, and I enjoy it.

Mainly the idea is to see how accurately I can guess my reaction to movies up to a year in advance. And it gives me a gauge to see which films ended up surprising me for better and for worse.

Originally, I just went through the release calendar and listed about 30 other movies that didn’t have dates. Last year, I had about 200 without dates that I tracked. Now, we’re looking at around 250, on top of the articles currently set for specific months.

How I do this is, I start by going over the films currently scheduled for January through June, then take a ten day break in between to go over the Oscar nominations and Golden Globes, and then finish with July through December. After that, I go over the films currently without release dates, and finish with the holdovers from last year that I’m continuing to track. We have it down to a science here. (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: ♫ “Don’t bring a frown to old Broadway / You’ve got to clown on Broadway / Your troubles there are out of style / For Broadway always wears a smile.” ♫

The Broadway Melody - 18


The 2015 Film Release Calendar: November

Every January, I preview all the films that are scheduled to come out for that year. Typically, I end up around 80%, since there are always a few that I don’t track, for whatever reason. The point of why I do this has been lost, and now I do it because that’s just what I do. It’s fun, and I enjoy it.

Mainly the idea is to see how accurately I can guess my reaction to movies up to a year in advance. And it gives me a gauge to see which films ended up surprising me for better and for worse.

Originally, I just went through the release calendar and listed about 30 other movies that didn’t have dates. Last year, I had about 200 without dates that I tracked. Now, we’re looking at around 250, on top of the articles currently set for specific months.

How I do this is, I start by going over the films currently scheduled for January through June, then take a ten day break in between to go over the Oscar nominations and Golden Globes, and then finish with July through December. After that, I go over the films currently without release dates, and finish with the holdovers from last year that I’m continuing to track. We have it down to a science here. (more…)


Image

Pic of the Day: “Does it really matter so long as you’re having fun?”

Cabaret - 28


The 2015 Film Release Calendar: October

Every January, I preview all the films that are scheduled to come out for that year. Typically, I end up around 80%, since there are always a few that I don’t track, for whatever reason. The point of why I do this has been lost, and now I do it because that’s just what I do. It’s fun, and I enjoy it.

Mainly the idea is to see how accurately I can guess my reaction to movies up to a year in advance. And it gives me a gauge to see which films ended up surprising me for better and for worse.

Originally, I just went through the release calendar and listed about 30 other movies that didn’t have dates. Last year, I had about 200 without dates that I tracked. Now, we’re looking at around 250, on top of the articles currently set for specific months.

How I do this is, I start by going over the films currently scheduled for January through June, then take a ten day break in between to go over the Oscar nominations and Golden Globes, and then finish with July through December. After that, I go over the films currently without release dates, and finish with the holdovers from last year that I’m continuing to track. We have it down to a science here. (more…)