Archive for January 22, 2024

Oscars 2023: The B+ Nominations Ballot

Oh, hello there.

Guess it’s time to be picking Oscar nominees again. Better put on my cardigan and lace up the old sneakers.

This year feels even stranger than last year. There was a time about five years ago where, if I hadn’t seen every single movie by December 30th (even the insignificant ones), I was freaking out (I once went to a theater on December 28th to see Just Getting Started in 2017. That’s how much I had to make sure I saw everything). Now I’m like, “Ehh, haven’t seen two or three of the top films? Fine. The Top Ten list can go up in February.”

But in terms of this stuff — I’m at the point where I basically just roll out of bed for it. Not totally, because I do love it, so I do try to track it as much as I can and talk about it as often as I can. I just don’t have the time to devote to it like I did previously, so a lot of tit just gets rushed. Which is a shame, but at least I still get to do this. I do really enjoy this.

Fortunately I’ve been doing this for so long (and so much of this is based on empirical data anyway) that quite literally almost anyone can do this well if they care to. It’s 70% precursors, 20% doing it enough to know how things usually go (and learning to remove what you want to see from the equation as much as possible) and 10% unknowable chaos that’s gonna happen no matter how much you try to prevent it. I’m here because I love this and because I hope people, through reading this, can see how not difficult this is to do well even with a minimal amount of prep.

So, as we always do, let’s try to guess all the nominees tomorrow and see how well we do. (more…)


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Pic of the Day: “You know what I think? You’re stealing gold, that’s what I think. We’re fighting Saddam and dying, and you’re stealing gold.” “You’re wrong.” “They have half a million men in the desert and they send four guys to pick up all this bullion? I don’t think so.” (25th Anniversary)