It’s that time again. Tomorrow, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will announce their nominations for the 84th Academy Awards. Naturally, I am going to guess what I think those nominations will be.
Something like this is easy to do up to an extent. The big categories — normally you get 4/5 or 5/5. It’s the Techs where you slip up the most. Shorts, Foreign Language — things like that. You easily miss 2, 3, maybe even 4 of the nominees. And those are generally where your misses add up. And of course, there will always be surprises. That’s to be expected. Especially this year, when we don’t even know how many Best Picture nominees there will be. There will be films or performances that get on that will be what most consider alternates going in. There will be films that get on that no one saw coming. It’s the nature of the beast. Plus, me being a person who will, most of the time, vote for what I want to be nominated over what will probably be nominated, I’m used to having a percentage lower than I would have if I picked objectively.
Also, what I’m going to do, before I guess what I think will be nominated, is put what I would nominate for all of these categories. I’ll keep it mostly to “Oscar” films. I won’t put on a film like Hanna on the Best Picture list, even though I had it in my Top Ten. I won’t stray too far from the wheelhouse unless there was nothing else that I liked that much (which is rare, but happens).
That said, here are what I would nominate for the Oscars, and what I think the Academy will nominate. (more…)