Two guilds announced tonight. First, The American Cinema Editors. As a reminder, only 14 times did one of the winners for the Eddie Award NOT go on to win Best Editing.
The Eddie Awards for Dramatic and Comedy Film went to, respectively, Argo and Silver Linings Playbook. That pretty much seals the deal for Argo as Best Picture and makes it a huge favorite to win Best Editing too. (Hey, remember when I said it was probably gonna end up with Picture, Editing and Screenplay?)
Oh, and Brave won for Animated Film, which makes an upset seem very probable, given that it also won the BAFTA and that Wreck-It Ralph might not have the older contingent going for it. Searching for Sugar Man won for Documentary, which pretty much means we’re all taking that until it loses. And, on a personal note, The Newsroom won one too. I love that shot.
The Cinema Audio Society also announced their awards tonight. That’s for sound mixing. We’ll get into what that actually is if you don’t know when that article goes up soon. But basically, know that the winner of the CAS Awards will impact what happens in the Best Sound Mixing (aka Best Sound, as they seem to like calling it) category. And the winner of the CAS Award this year was Les Misérables. Which, honestly, pretty much means it has that category all but won. They love voting for musicals there when they can. Oh, and Brave won for Animated Film. I see an upset coming…
Oh, so yeah, that’s where we’re at. More categories tomorrow.
I continue going over all the Oscar categories today, with Best Editing and Best Cinematography.
Best Editing is a boring category, because they always nominate the major Best Picture contenders there. Only nine times has a Best Picture winner not been nominated for Editing, which means the Best Picture frontrunners are gonna get in there, which taints the category a bit, since some deserving nominees don’t end up on there. And then, in terms of picking it, it’s made easier by the fact that we can easily throw out a couple of nominees most of the time because they’re only there because of the Best Picture link. This year is no different, really. Though I’ll admit, there doesn’t seem to be a frontrunner this year as there was most other years. Which can probably only mean one thing.
And then, Cinematography is one of the few awards that seems to be without prejudice. It’s the one that, every year, people vote for based on the actual criteria more than anything else. Everything else seems to have so much politics behind it, but this one seems to be pretty pure, which usually makes it interesting to guess. Of course, it’s not without incident (a lot of people preferred Tree of Life to Hugo last year, understandably, though I don’t think either would have been a poor choice), but ultimately, I like how it’s usually a wild card most years, and you can’t really count out any of the nominees.
So those are the two categories we’ll be talking about today. They’re not really set in stone at all this year, which makes things more difficult.
We’ll start with Editing and then move to Cinematography. I’ll give you all the previous winners and nominees, talk about this year’s category, then rank the nominees in terms of what I think their odds of winning are. (more…)